Investhor's Mighty Hammer of Wisdom

DRAGON IN THE DEN, WAITING TO SOAR !!

Investhor
Publish date: Sat, 27 Apr 2019, 10:11 AM
This is a blog I created as an information sharing to all the BSKL community. Hopefully it will bring benefit any of you in some way.

All the posts I make in my blog are purely my own personal opinion and shall not be regarded as a buy/sell call for the said counter.

Every investor is responsible to make their own decisions for their investments.

Hi to all fellow investors and traders !

Today I would like to highlight a stock which has been underlooked by many, as the price remains low and in accumulation mode. That stock is SMRT HOLDINGS BERHAD or SMRT (Code 0117, ACE, Technology).

SMRT (BSKL Code 0117)

Personal TP Short To Mid Term : 20c, Long Term : 30c

Here are my thoughts :

1. Major Shareholding Changes Recently - A Possible Takeover Situation ??

a. Addition by Director - TAN SRI DATO' DR PALANIAPPAN A/L RAMANATHAN CHETTIAR

Refer below screenshot of his latest shareholdings in SMRT. The above director had been accumulating shares since last year 2018 until recently in March 2019. His total shareholding now is brought up to 130.8 million shares (32.149%) which is considered rather significant and indicating plans to make major moves in this company.

b. Addition by Substantial Shareholder - Dato' Abd Aziz Bin Sheikh Fadzir

Refer screenshot below. Dato' Abd Aziz Bin Sheikh Fadzir is not one of the company directors. But recently, his total shareholdings stood at 78.3 million shares (19.241%). 

Combined with above director, these 2 individuals already hold about 51.3% of the company. We should be on the look out for further shareholding movements in anticipation of a major event.

2. Financial Analysis - Undervalued As Now Trading about 2 X Forward PE

Refer below latest Quarter Report released by company on 1 March 2019.

I would like to highlight the result of latest March 2019 quarter report, which the company had reported earnings per share (EPS) of 1.36 cents. Should this earning be consistent through out the whole year, full year forward EPS should be at 5.44 cents. With the current price os 11.5 cents, this means that it is currently trading at a mere 2.11 X Forward PE.

The company also has strong assets with NTA at 43.6 cents. 

As commented in the QR, this improvement is primarily attributable the inclusion of revenue from Asia Metropolitan University, Asia Metropolitan Colleges and Asia Metropolitan International School following the consolidation of Minda Global financial results from 1 February 2018.

Also refer below prospects of company taken from QR. Basically, the Group's outlook for the year remains positive despite challenging business conditions and competitive landscape. The Group's strategy remains unchanged and continues to focus on human resource development and technology.

3. Technical Analysis - A Good Entry in Accumulation Stage

Refer below monthly chart of SMRT. As you can see, the current downside on this stock is very low as it had peaked at 93 cts in Nov 2014 and has been on downtrend since then.

The recent low was 9.5 cts in December 2018, which was when the market sentiment was very negative and most stocks had touched lows. 

With the diminishing volumes being transacted at current prices and with the company financials turning around, I foresee that accumulation period will be ending soon and the stock shall start to uptrend towards first resistance of 20 cts and second resistance of 30 cts.

Therefore current entry, is considered a low downside, but high upside potential returns.

CONCLUSION

Based on my opinion, SMRT should be soon be going on uptrend mode, based on below:

a. Shareholding Changes - More Acqusitions by Director and Substantial Shareholders

b. Financial Analysis - Latest QR results had turnaround from loss to profit

c. Technical Analysis - Low Downside, High Upside Potential towards R1 20 cts , R2 30 cts

Thanks for reading and see you in the next post.

Yours Truly,

INVESTHOR

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Discussions
2 people like this. Showing 5 of 5 comments

gobu86

Better go for ECOFIRS. Look at how good their QR is and no movement in value. Accumulation mode as well.

2019-04-27 14:49

Heavenly PUNTER

wa sia, this title steady bompipi, PUNTER read it also got inspiration liao wakakaka

2019-04-27 16:25

Investhor

@ gobu86 - ECOFIRS market cap is RM 240.95 million which is significantly higher than SMRT RM 46.81 million (roughly 6 times bigger market cap)..therefore larger market cap needs more capital to move it up compared to smaller market cap

@ Heavenly Punter - you may choose to buy low..or chase high..best is buy at low

2019-04-28 00:00

Trouble Huat

The price seem to be at support, possible to surge on next week if accumulation phase done

2019-04-28 11:48

moneykj

Also in my watch list. Accumulation phase haven't completed yet. Parkson accumulation is completed and ready to surge, probably next week. @investor pls check Parkson.

2019-04-28 16:20

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