Random Trading

Reach - Initial Public Offering or Internal Party Organizing?

Random Trading
Publish date: Sun, 17 Aug 2014, 10:49 PM
Too dumb to be an expert, too green to called a veteran and certainly not an insider. what's left..... RANDOM!

Disclaimer - I'm too dumb to be an expert thus all the contents of this blog are just my random thoughts and may be incomplete or contain any informational errors. It is certainly not recommendation to buy or sell. You'll be responsible for your own decision. Please consult your investment consultants before making any investment decision.

SPAC is a wonderful thing..... for the promoter, initial investor and of course selected investors including the so-called cornerstone investor that can get the share directly by private placement. Take the latest SPAC IPO, Reach Energy for example.

When I went through the prospectus of the IPO, I'm quite puzzling about the allocation of the shares available to the public. Basically there are 1 Billion shares issued with 1 Billion free warrant attached with it. What makes me baffling is that 980 Million of those shares are applicable to 'Selected Investors' which include cornerstone investors. Looks, 98% of the 'Public' portion goes to the 'Selected Investors' and the pathetically 20 Million shares are allotted to the 'Real Public' like you and me. Seriously, only the meager 2% are offering to the Malaysian Public and you call it IPO. Why don't you guys just ask another 'Selected Investor' subscribe the rest and keep the company private for your club members. The 42 times oversubscribe is just another joke. Why did our authority allow this blatantly abuse of IPO a green light. You know what is the worst part of it? There is moratorium on the promoter and initial investor BUT NOT THE 'SELECTED INVESTOR' & CORNERSTONE INVESTOR!!! WHY? Ohh... because they are deem to be pubic allocation so no need for moratorium. WOW!!! NICE!!!

Then, who is these 'selected investors'? I don't know because I can't find any of that information from the prospectus. If any one knows please let me know. Also they didn't mentioned the criteria to become 'selected investors' because I believe the real public really want to know so that we can qualify ourselves to become 'selected investors'. Why Bursa didn't compel them to disclose the information of these 'selected investors' since they take up almost all the IPO's shares? Are they related to the promoters or initial investors? Don't you think it is important since if they are related then there is a very high chance they can circumvent the moratorium to make a quick bucks out of it. Why the Minority Watchdog didn't bring the issue to the authority?

Further breakdown of the shareholding of the enlarge Reach Energy as below:

Reach Energy Holding (Promoter) - 20%
Daya Material (Initial investor) - 1.74%
Selected investors - 76.7%
Real Public - 1.56% (Who ever successfully subscribe this portion can consider themselves extremely lucky)

Then below is the effective cash cost per shares for the various shareholders: (This is mind-blowing)

Reach Energy Holding (REH)
113.6M shares + 113.6M Free Warrant (FW) @ 0.045
142M shares + 142M FW @ 0.099
Total cost RM 19.17 Million for total 255.6 M shares + 255.6 M FW

Daya Material (I will just provide the cost directly instead of showing the calculation)
Total cost RM 20 Million for total 22,222,225 Shares + 22,222,225 FW

Selected Investors & Real Public cost is RM 0.75 per shares + FW

So just take the closing price of 1st trading day, Reach - 0.705 & Reach WA - 0.225

Paper gain for :
REH = RM 218,538,000
Daya = RM 666,667 ( not so much, probably that's why its share price fall)
Selected Investors = RM 176,000,000 (ohh ya! this is not paper gain since they can actually sell it)

Real Public = RM 900,000

Ya. They do gave the reasons to justify why the promoter should allow to have that potential gain :

1) They invested RM 10M before the IPO so if IPO failed to go through then they will have to absorb the lost. (basically they are telling us that they make a bet of 10 M for potential of more than 200 M)

2) The remuneration of the management team came from the fund that promoter put in, not the public subscription money. But they forget to mentioned that the management team is actually the promoter so the money is just left hand out, right hand in. So, where is the risk?

3) In case they failed to make QA within stipulated time, they might not get the pro-rata refund from the trust money. Well, since they already cycle back their initial fund from the remuneration, I don't see they have anything to lose at all.

Ya, I forget to show you the management team remuneration package: (I purposely took off their names)


So, whether they are justified to allow the potential WINDFALL or not, I leave it to you to make your judgement.

That's why to me, SPAC is the most brilliant invention of modern stock market.

Discussions
5 people like this. Showing 21 of 21 comments

speakup

Institutions & funds investors of Reach:
Lembaga Tabung Haji
Koperasi Permodalan Felda Malaysia Bhd
Pelaburan Mara Bhd
Norges (world’s largest sovereign wealth fund)
CIMB Principal Asset Management
Hong Leong Asset Management
MTD Capital
Kenanga Investors
Areca Asset Management
Allianz Investment
Chua Sai Men (Chua Ma Yu's son)
Poh Yang Hong (Tan Sri Quek's associate)

Just shows how good Reach Energy is.

http://hongwei85.blogspot.com/2014/08/ipo-reach-energy-well-known-cornerstone.html

2014-08-18 07:46

Random Trading

Like I said. It is great for them. They can make their money anytime now. What an investment!

2014-08-18 07:51

sosfinance

New broom sweeps well is the best analogy for SPACs. In theory, there is no logic of paying a RM1.35 for a company who only have cash per share of RM1.00 for SPACs, while ICap NAV is RM3.05 (50% listed shares and 50% cash) is traded at RM2.45, a discount of 20%?

Well, Randomtrading provided a great analysis on who gain about RM200mil? The selected investors. And the public loves it. Hibiscus did well while SONA and CLIQ is yet to show anything eventhough SONA has the QA. Well, bottom line, stocks and securities is part science, part art, part perception and part GAMBLE, part legal con job. Lets not spit hair over it.

Should ask Tan Sri Liew Kee Sin to do a SPAC on property, and Tan Sri Lee Sin Cheng to do a SPAC on plantation. SPACs was a failure in Australia and some other countries (not verified).

2014-08-18 10:51

cheeseburger

brilliant

2014-08-18 11:53

speakup

If I got IPO shares, I wont sell knowing that I can get more within 3 years, than quick small profits if sell on listing day.

2014-08-18 11:56

speakup

the Small money is made quickly. the Big money is made patiently.

2014-08-18 11:57

mbge7clt

Greedy wolves!!

2014-08-18 11:58

kkng0819kk

No business fundamentals at all,just go for com with track,business and consistent profit record

2014-08-18 12:53

Random Trading

Well, whether SPAC worth investing or not is the topic for another day. My point here is that an IPO is suppose to be public offering and I don't think 2% justified that. I get that any IPO needs cornerstone investors but the ratio of 98% is just too much. Whether they will sell immediately after IPO is up to them, but the fact that they are allow to do so and the general public (who are interested) are practically force to buy the share at 'premium' from them after IPO is just simply outrages.

2014-08-18 14:33

goldisgold

94.75% of the money is locked in trust, that translate to 0.710625 per share?

2014-08-18 16:27

speakup

At the end of 3 years, it will be 76sen (assuming 3% interest rate)

2014-08-18 16:57

speakup

This is like a Call Option which expires in 3 years at 76sen.
Your downside already known.
There is a sayinf from a wise investor "Take care of your downside, and the upside will take care of itself".

2014-08-18 17:00

cnyang

its a con job in a massive scale ... when the market down , then youknow who suffer the most... Haha ,, Happy trading

2014-08-18 17:43

alicia_ng

is that advisable to buy some now?thx

2014-08-18 21:41

Random Trading

Hi alicia, I don't make buy call or sell call due to my own policy. I'll always state my opinion on stock trend and my analysis. U have to make ur own call. :)

2014-08-18 21:49

L2

very incisive, Random Trading. tqvm for sharing.

2014-08-19 08:13

yuanlong57

Salute Random Trading for your razor-sharp incisive analysis. You put the so-called institutionalised watchdogs of minority investors to the hall of great shame.

2014-08-19 20:54

yuanlong57

Alicia_Ng, still can't see the OBVIOUS?

2014-08-19 20:57

Foresight123

Good article. Write the next one to bursa :)

2014-08-19 21:39

yuanlong57

Bull or SC probably got myopic vision. Bull's favourite is giving UMA card when investors enjoying good run.

2014-08-20 00:49

kkng0819kk

Jangan pechaya itu shell com.,belum ada business fundamental dan track record lagi

2014-08-21 10:35

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