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[转贴] 专家：油价或跌至每桶10美元
2017-10-16 16:18
据CNBC报道，美国经济咨询公司Longview Economics的首席执行员克里斯．沃特林（Chris Watling）在近日接受CNBC采访时说道，原油价格将在未来六到八年时间里下跌至每桶10美元，原因是替代能源燃料将继续吸引越来越多的投资者。
（美国．纽约16日讯）据CNBC报道，美国经济咨询公司Longview Economics的首席执行员克里斯．沃特林（Chris Watling）在近日接受CNBC采访时说道，原油价格将在未来六到八年时间里下跌至每桶10美元，原因是替代能源燃料将继续吸引越来越多的投资者。
沃特林在对2018年原油市场前景作出展望时承认，对这个市场来说，至关重要的一个刺激因素最有可能是沙地阿美公司（Saudi Aramco，即沙地阿拉伯国家石油公司）计划于明年下半年进行的IPO（首次公开招股）交易。在被问及沙地阿美公司将在国际股市挂牌的问题时，他回答道：“我认为，他们需要尽快采取行动，不要等到油价下跌至（每桶）10美元。”
虽然沃特林解释道，他预计油价不一定会在未来几个星期或是几个月时间里大幅下跌，但从长期来看，“电动汽车的发展是非常重要的”，原因是大约70%的原油都被用作交通用途。
“不要忘了，在120年以前，世界还并不是依靠原油的，那时候油价并非全球经济的推动力。某些类型的替代能源正在加速发展，情况正在发生变化。”他还补充道。
由于需求疲弱、美元汇率上涨以及美国页岩油产量增长的缘故，油价已从2014年6月份的每桶120美元下跌到今天的低水平，而当时油盟不愿减产也被视为一个关键因素。但是，油盟随后在2016年底采取了限产行动。
文章来源：
星洲日报‧财经‧2017.10.16http://www.sinchew.com.my/node/1692068/专家：油价或跌至每桶10美元
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Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 7 of 7 comments
Stupid remark. Reserve is limited but not the human population. Apart from that crude is not just meant for vehicles.
2017-10-17 22:11
The lowest cost of production is USD27. If price less than USD27, there will be more oil producer to produce crude oil.
Author common sense is worst than a primary kid.
2017-10-17 22:56
专家=仙家， 反正到时不对的话也不会有什么人记得他说过什么话，包括他自己，如果万一这个仙家对的话，他应该会像Calvin Tan一样唱通街，就好像上次他家母鸡生了一粒鸡蛋，搞到全世界都知道那样。
2017-10-19 22:58
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