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KLCI Outlook, Rebound Exhausted.

Jack Kong
Publish date: Sat, 28 Jul 2018, 04:28 PM
Jack Kong
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KLCI 在来到了跌幅目标后，而做出的回升反弹比我想象中强劲得非常多，一个小整理的突破可以去到两波段涨幅。如今看似回升反弹即将竭尽，20 号和 26 号均出现了收低行为，虽然27 号收高，可是量不足，大约1764 为目前支撑。

如果从周线来看，这只是纯粹一个反弹，而往上的关键压力就在1794。



从 FKLI 8 月份期货走势来看，在跌深后做了一个小三角收敛，然后往上做突破，然而这个突破后的回升也大幅超出了我的预期，所以我就变相是提前做空而遭到了损失，一旦操作不如预期，停损就必须马上执行。目前价格已经来到了目标区间，基于前段的头部结构比这个小三角收敛还大，而我认为往上走的压力远比往下来得大，基于"价格会往最小阻力迈进"的原理，所以我估计应该会开始往下跌。

操作上，我会在这个点布下空单，毕竟指数期货是非常高风险的金融商品，所以我会将停损设在1769.5。



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Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 4 of 4 comments

jiunn

Jack, the Risks to downside have finally been taken down as the index recently surpassed the resistance of 1,794 and is now also just above 200-day SMA at 1,790.45 on 8 August 2018....is that the good timing to BUYBACK now?

2018-08-09 14:47

CharlesT

Looks like ClSA fengsui chart more chun....

2018-08-09 15:09

Jack Kong

@jiunn, Sorry for late reply. KLCI is the strongest if compare to neighbour market, but do you think this is reasonable? Well, If really wanted to enter stock market, then I think should be patient, the best timing should be the external (trade war, strong dollar index) and internal (new government economy policy and direction) factor is settle down.

2018-08-15 23:23

Jack Kong

@CharlesT, CISA?

2018-08-15 23:24

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