Philip ( buy what you understand)

sleepywolf | Joined since 2017-11-22

Investing Experience Advanced
Risk Profile Moderate

Followers

60

Following

0

Blog Posts

70

Threads

4,794

Blogs

Threads

Portfolio

Follower

Following

Summary
Total comments
4,794
Past 30 days
0
Past 7 days
0
Today
0

User Comments
News & Blogs

2019-04-15 09:20 | Report Abuse

Let me put it into perspective.

1. Their power plant business is VERY badly managed and their concessions end in 2019. There goes 11 million in revenue and negative profits. Which is subject to renegotiation at tough rates. Sesb didn't like inconsistent power anymore than you or I do.
2. Their Eden restaurants are also VERY badly managed with outlets closing left right and centre.
3. Their manufacturing business of LV switchgears are in a really bad market right now, especially when there are specialists like kinta and central switchgear which sells lower prices and have bigger profits ( efficiently run).
4. Eden has not made a profit since 2012. Every year losing money, since it hasn't diluted it's shares the money has to found from assets.
5. The assets in question have dropped from 295 million 2012 to 247 million in 2019. It will continue to drop in the foreseeable future, bar a share dilution to stem the tide.
6. They do not have the capability, financial resources or management acumen to properly manage those land sales in kuantan at good rates. Even if they did, do you know exactly where the ecrl route will be and where the Eden lands will be in relation?

This is speculation, gambling, NOT investment.

Call it what it is.

News & Blogs

2019-04-15 09:02 | Report Abuse

This part I totally agree 100%. Value is what you get, price is what you pay. However how do you define a great company? Amazon and Netflix and topglove and harta was once a cheap company ( in price) but a great company ( management, market size, delivery, growth).

Just because JAKS is cheap ( by which estimation), doesn't make it good if you don't know what the risk is: let me outline.

1. CEO wants to control the board of directors with his own elected board. There is ZERO representation of the majority shareholder (70%+ ownership) who will protect their interests. When KYY wanted to do so, he was rejected. RISK.
2. JAKS is losing money on its property development business. RISK.
3. The IPP which is the reason everyone buys the stock is not operational and no profits yet. Everything is ASSUMED. RISK.
4. a lot of being spoken about an PPA contract that is profitable but very few have seen. RISK.
5. The projections for JAKS has gone from negative to very optimistic (tp7-9) such volatility is the same reason why most banks don't deal with bitcoin. RISK.
6. what will JAKS do with the money from IPP? Historically, they have not been sharing it's wealth and profits with its minority shareholders in terms of share buybacks, dividends etc. RISK.
7. If JAKS decides to go back into property development, this time in Vietnam with all your IPP money, knowing how it performed with its Malaysia development, will you be happy or sad? RISK. (inside knowledge says this will happen.)
8. Is JAKS management a capable management(that can grow its future business) or a one trick pony like INSAS which stumbled into inari ameritron? RISK.
9 do you know for a FACT that the IPP will be profitable? Three same thing was said about evolve mall( great location, lousy management. I was there).RISK.

If you can still buy Jaks after weighing ALL these risks, then I salute you. Either you know something the CFO doesn't, or you have only started your investing journey 3-5 years ago. In icon8888 case, you can't teach a dog new tricks.

>>>>>>>

Buying great companies is great, but doesn't mean buying cheap companies are stupid. IF everyone believe in that, there is more of a reason that buying cheap proves more profitable than buying great. All that matters is if Icon8888 think he is well compensated for taking the risk. If the expected value is positive where odds is in your favour, buying cheap can be as good as buying great.

News & Blogs

2019-04-15 08:41 | Report Abuse

My friend Shai went to Macau and made 600% in a few days at the Baccarat table. To bad he only brought 100k sgd to play.

Is that a source of pride icon8888? How much did you put into your 160% speculation?

Please don't mistake speculation with investment. In investment we look at long term wealth.

In speculation, one day you make short term money, the next you lose it all again in cut loss.

I read your article on imago and asianpac. While you were busy gambling there in 2014 onwards, I was busy building up my long term position in ql, topglove and yinson.

You obviously cannot evaluate risk. Most speculators don't.

That's why you can't build long term wealth.

Have fun at your Baccarat table. With your investing attitude, I doubt after 20 years of investing you have a growing portfolio of 160% a year. Much less 1m in portfolio assets.

>>>>>>>
@Philips

I made 160% return with my Jaks wb while you were busy talking days and night about your high quality investment

Anybody can talk

News & Blogs

2019-04-15 08:27 | Report Abuse

Thanks Calvin tan for sharing. Now I really know the quality of icon8888 investing, I was wondering since he likes to look down on 3iii and me so much what kind of companies he has bought historically.

Of all things imago mall? You could tell even at 100% occupancy the mall would barely break even need on the back breaking loan it took.

Ok time to ignore fake investment banker icon8888 like I do Stockraider.

News & Blogs

2019-04-14 21:40 | Report Abuse

>>>>>>>
qqq3 Philips...go buy some Jaks.

News & Blogs

2019-04-14 21:39 | Report Abuse

You need to understand the most important thing in investing is the protection of capital. I don't invest in one trick pony and companies with shoddy management. I would rather invest in well run companies long term instead of buying companies which I can't judge the long term prospects.

That's the difference between people like me and icon8888. He only looks at profit profit profit. I look at how much risk I am bearing versus how much profit I stand to gain.

You can tell by how he only looks at his total returns that he has no clue to evaluate risk.

I wonder how much losses he had to bear through the years. Or how much opportunity cost he lost because he invested in companies like Jaks and hengyuan instead of dumb dumb hold good companies like PCHEM, QL, topglove, Nestlé throughout the years.

My advise qqq3, learn to evaluate risk. Once you do, you will understand why I buy companies like gkent, yinson, pchem, ql and topglov throughout the years.

Fake investment bankers and ex engineer like icon8888 will never be able to understand why a company like QL is still holding strong at 11 billion, instead of doing to the 3-5 billion mark.

Instead he continues buying cheap companies.

News & Blogs

2019-04-14 21:29 | Report Abuse

Yup, I talk so much but I have confidence to put my wife money my father in law money and my own money in huge numbers into a big investment in PCHEM.

Your Jaks wb is pure speculation and gambling. If not how many percent can you put into it? 5% of your networth? What is that?10k? 50k? Make 160% feeling good about yourself?

Funny little girl, make money on risky speculation you think it is investment.

I believe you also put money into PCHEM, so it makes it Our plant got blasted.

How about your LCTITAN? Put money into it at 4.15 more drop to 3.99. and dropping.

Lousy investor what is your risky total returns over the years Mr ex investment banker, ex engineer?I doubt you are any better than Calvin tan out 5% into 50 stocks and the rest into FD.

>>>>>>>>

Icon8888 Talk so much , I am already making 160% return from my Jaks wb

You pchem just blasted its plant
14/04/2019 8:44 PM

News & Blogs

2019-04-14 20:40 | Report Abuse

IPP will definitely move ahead.I am sure China and CEO Andy will be very profitable. Profit to minority shareholders like icon8888 however remains cloudy. Based on my experience, he will not be getting his tp7 anytime soon. If ever.

This is what happens when directors in a company are chosen for their allegiance to the CEO and not to the shareholders.

General

2019-04-14 13:37 | Report Abuse

This is the exact reason why I no longer buy middling companies like LCTITAN, success, jaks, PPHB, sapnrg etc.

During bull market those shares can rise up fast, if you know exactly when to sell then you can trade successfully. But how many people can buy hengyuan at the bottom and sell at the top?

I buy quality companies for (2), as during bear markets those stocks will drop like the rest, but they recover much faster, and you have the confidence and conviction to buy more, instead of being locked in uncertainty.

The question remains, if the stocks of success,topglov,ql,LCTITAN,jaks pchem, and PBB dropped by half in 2020. Which will you put all your networth into?

Those who can think deep will realize what wealth preservation really means, and how moats really work.

>>>>>>

Long term Sustainable stockmrket performance comprises two key components :
(1) wealth creation. Your dayang did it this year; and
(2) wealth preservation , which you are pondering what to do now

News & Blogs

2019-04-14 12:10 | Report Abuse

Being an investor in bursa since 90's my only advice is to understand where the money is coming from. If bursa was stringent there would be far less companies being listed and more delisted, but this would reduce the market cap and volume of listing transactions from which bursa earns it's cash.

I would say if 1mdb and xinquan and protasco can continue to exist, I'd put less trust on third part auditing and more on the business performance itself.

Office furniture manufacturing companies does not have any long term competitive advantage. Id skip it.

>>>>>>
However, we should note that the company and its auditor is governed by the accounting standards and reporting guidelines as issued by Bursa Malaysia & SC which I believe are quite stringent....if needs be; upon these being triggered: a provision need to be done.

News & Blogs

2019-04-13 20:34 | Report Abuse

I think I need to elaborate your understanding of the word reader receivables.

If your trade receivables (DSO) it says outstanding is below 15 days, it is basically cash term, which is very good.
Below thirty days, is standard outstanding for collection.
Below 90 days, is credit limit and start to get phonecalls.
If you owe money more than 6 months don't pay, then we start to worry.
If your receivables take 1 year to collect, then it is similar to Sendai and it is very very bad.
If your receivables is l takes more than 18 months, then it might as well be impaired.

Normal companies should have a healthy spread between trade payables ( company got credit with suppliers) and trade receivables ( payment from customers) so they can use suppliers as adjust for delayed payment from customers.

Ahb is not healthy at all. That is why the share price drop so bad after 2017 and not much difference in earnings since 2014.

EPF? They are the same Jokers that invested in sapnrg and bumi armada. And also renong, Malaysia airlines, aokam perdana and many more.

You want to trust them blindly?

Good luck my young friend. I hope your investments do well.

Stock

2019-04-13 15:14 | Report Abuse

inilah muka sebenar penipu calvintaneng... penipu yg menggunakan nama jesus kristus utk menipu umat umat i3 yg sdh hidup susah, tetapi terus ditipu alasan ECRL calvin tan. Kompeni TalamT memanglah kompeni yg sdh lama rugi, tetap akan rugi di masa depan, dan dia masih terus menipu cakap ECRL cuma 16KM jauh. faham ke di mana tapak ini, tahap penipuan yg menyebabkan keluarga kerugian, dan merosakkan masa depan.

Percaya lagikah penipuan orang singapore ini yg tak fhm bahasa cina dan bahasa melayu?

Penipu yg jelas akan diberikan balasan di akhirat.

Stock

2019-04-13 15:03 | Report Abuse

sarifah selinder nk baca tdk cerita power plant/desalination plant hyflux? lepas baca nanti mungkin lbh faham kut? klu cuma fikir nk profit profit profit ja, tak nk tengok risk risk risk nt ku risau seluar dalam pun hlng nt. kikikiki....

http://theindependent.sg/the-cautionary-tale-of-hyfluxs-olivia-lums-rags-to-riches-story/

inilah yg cuma tau untung untung untung gomen guarantee konon... tak fikir dulu kuda satu kaki klu patah macam mana? takde plan b dah... paham?

gud luck la klu nak main jaks counter. My rekomen, klu nak untung blh... main trading and go la. nak main long term investing long term profits TP 7 la, TP 10 la... pikir betul betul risk vs reward dulu. klu teda clarity baik jgn main sembarangan je. jgn salah faham speculation dan investment.

practising my kl malay, apologies if no comprendo.

News & Blogs

2019-04-13 14:47 | Report Abuse

you fail to make a note of the of the huge trade receivables of 11 million and its impairment losses (which is more than the company profit) and the effect of the late payment of customers for their products. Mind to elaborate more on that portion in your adjusted tp? As you did not touch on this subject at all. If the customer continues to not pay for goods sold (11 million so far and counting) which is half of the company market cap, how will it affect AHB?

In 2017, RM337K was impaired.
In 2018, RM344K was impaired.
what happens in 2019 if this amount increases?

General

2019-04-12 16:25 | Report Abuse

Just realized there is a stockraider impostor on the loose. Double the trouble, double the headache.

News & Blogs

2019-04-12 16:10 | Report Abuse

It's sounds like a big savings until you realize all they did was remove double tracking to single track.

Then everybody happy happy joy joy.

Stock

2019-04-12 15:37 | Report Abuse

But full disclosure, from my info so far ECRL will not involve any local companies for the major portions, most likely gkent will not get any contract from CCCC on this. this from the gkent technical manager that I am close with.

News & Blogs

2019-04-12 14:54 | Report Abuse

There are perpetual securities, and there are "perpetual securities". yinson perpetuals are protected by fpso charter contracts that are fixed period(minimum 8 years+x) with a penalty clause for early cancellation which is enough to cover the cost of FPSO conversion which can be used to bid for new projects. Hyflux was a debt fuel, and grew too fast without looking at the cost of growth.

But definitely you are right, there is a very small difference between a yinson and a bumi armada and sapura.

I remain confident that this malaysia-norwegian company can be prudent and wise in its investment. I remain confident in the long run.

Stock

2019-04-12 14:41 | Report Abuse

this on the other hand is a very very old hand. I also have the same reasoning in why I dont invest much in smallcaps like rce and opensys etc.

>>>>>>
Junichiro Hi Jon, I notice that u have Petron in yr portfolio. What puzzle me is why do u invest big time in a company with little liquidity? Most of the time, the seller is at the mercy at the buyer.

When I was very young, I bought shares in a company which has little trading. When I wanted to sell, I found a big gap between the buyer price n seller price. My senior advised me not to trade in illiquid shares. That was my first lesson.

Stock

2019-04-12 14:32 | Report Abuse

Truth. Reeeeeeaaaaaaaallllyyyyy long article little boy.
>>>>>
Patron i realize many of these fundamentalists like to write long essays quote this quote that but their results ain't that impressive. IMO
01/07/2018 1:51 PM

Stock

2019-04-12 13:10 | Report Abuse

Despatch accountants are very funny these days.

Stock

2019-04-12 12:21 | Report Abuse

Ok stockraider you win! You go and borrow rm10 to the beggar in the street tomorrow and tell him pay you back rm11 next year, see he Choi you or not ok? He take your money, say thank you and declare bankruptcy for you big big smile. Nothing to lose if poor.

Enough storytime with despatch kids who don't know how to handle money.

Stock

2019-04-12 12:17 | Report Abuse

Yes... Everybody was a stockraider once. Luckily once is enough. Over and done with.
Whole stockraider continue to put money into counters like talamt and sapuranrg and make fun of me investing in gkent and pchem and STNE.

I keep making money, and I try to look forward.

>>>>>>>
titus Wow....philips bought renong ah?...hehe....

Stock

2019-04-12 12:04 | Report Abuse

You quarrel but based on stupidity I can't say anything... Let you say whatever you want. I lazy argue with office boys.

Injection Via Bonds

The S$40 million investment from RCE Capital comes via the purchase of five-year bonds issued by Credit Culture. The debt securities are in turn secured against loan receivables from Credit Culture.

The coupon rate on the first S$20 million is 10 per cent per annum, while the rate for the balance S$20 million has not been set, RCE Capital said. The bonds can be redeemed ahead of their maturity at the discretion of Credit Culture.

The Singapore fintech has also granted call options to RCE Capital, which give the latter the right to take a stake of up to 30 per cent in Credit Culture, on the fully enlarged shareholding basis.

Stock

2019-04-12 11:47 | Report Abuse

Obviously when I say say oh god I back it up with facts.

Here is fact number 1. RCECAP is selling bonds at 10% to credit culture. Sounds good? Wait.

Here is fact number 2. Stop looking at profits, think on the risks ( as someone who borrowed and borrow money to others repayment is more important than profits). In this case there is no collateral or capital guarantee. The bond repayment is based on the loan portfolio receivables. Meaning upon collapse, rcecap will have to do the loan chasing themselves in Singapore. And these will be those b40 people, very hard up already. Got funds? Bankruptcy lo.

Here is fact number 3. What is the basis of lending? Basically it is based on their proprietary internally processed credit scoring system, which we are not privy to. As this is an online, quick lending system, I suspect credit culture will not have the capability to chase after major defaults, and their marketing tool in getting clients is based on lowered borrowing costs, faster approval, no collateral. That is the worst combination I will ever hear in the lending business ever. The best performing banks in Malaysia is public bank and Hong leong, they are successful because they are the most conservative and stringent lenders in town. How safe do you think credit culture will be?

Fact number 4? Look at the founders and the management team. They won after a pilot award from the government of Singapore. Young people and money management had never been a good mix. Ever. Just because it is a cool sounding proposition doesn't mean it will succeed. Especially since it has no track record and a good business fundamentals historically.

Fact number 5? Here is the killer. If you go to the website, the charges are as follows, rates are 0.8% monthly, with 1% setup fees. That means of you borrowed 10,000. You will pay back after 1 year 9.6% + 1% = 10.6% ON YOUR TOTAL LOAN. Let me put it mildly, if we round up and say you are paying 11%, basically credit culture is making 1% profit a year on its loan portfolio. Rce 10% right?

This is obviously ok if you are lending to the super rich or VIP to buy another house, buy that new Mercedes. Especially if it is covered with a huge current/savings/fixed deposit account at the bank. It's perfectly safe.

If you are making 1%, and lending to kids who can barely make ends meet, and need that "personal loan" to pay for things which they can't normally pay for? It's just stupid.

Especially when the chickens come home to roost.

Even rce isn't that stupid.

Stock

2019-04-12 11:14 | Report Abuse

You don't have to be a genius to know Bitcoin bubble was going to burst, Warren Buffett called it a long time ago.

I buy fintech companies with a specifc purpose that fulfills a certain market need. I don't buy it just because it says fintech. I also don't think the management of RCECAP has the same level of financial acumen.

Maybe you can read more on my fintech investment here ( and the share price today)
https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/philip2/191042.jsp

>>>>>>>

GLNT Philip just simply wanna whack the credit culture deal without without bothering to look at the terms of the deal. Everything RCE is rubbish. George Kent is the best. Got it. Thanks.
04/04/2019 7:30 AM

Stock

2019-04-12 11:08 | Report Abuse

Totally agree! I usually wait until Westerly earnings come out before making my choice.

>>>>>>
probability i have some other reason (so far not disclosed) which i think pchem next earnings will be bad...i would like to verify this by seeing the earnings next qtr before concluding on pchem...

Stock

2019-04-12 11:03 | Report Abuse

I have never bought lousy counters thrown away by shell to China companies before, or near bankrupt heavily in debt mergers like sapura. But I often read on the company in i3, and especially certain select individuals who say it is worth rm35 - rm45. Then quickly change their tune when it turns out their prognosis was incorrect to begin with.

Despatch boys and accountants are always like that, they can always give you whatever delivery time you want ( or intrinsic value you can dream of) without putting in the reality of the acting on that promise.

I bought PCHEM for the value of it's existing business at rm8.15, not only for it's future valuations, which if comes is wonderful, but if it doesn't come, I can still enjoy 3.9% dividends@50% earnings.

You on the other hand, buy loss making companies like sapnrg and talamt hoping that the future will come save you.

It won't.
>>>>>>>

...u soh soh like Philip advice u to buy Hengyuan when it fall at Rm 11.00 to Rm 12.00....u will end up bankrupt loh...!! This is bcos the fall is not so little loh....!!

Stock

2019-04-12 10:30 | Report Abuse

The real money is not in the buying or selling... But in the waiting.
The question always remains, once you sell, buy what?

I have always struggled to push my investment philosophy, buy when you see a company has a distinct competitive advantage, sell only when that competitive advantage changes, the company changes, the management deteriorates, or when your financial circumstance changes.

If the business fundamentals did not change when you guys bought the stock, or you found a more compelling stock to purchase that you do not have enough funds for, why sell at all?

It's like selling your house just because there is a +/-15% change in value.

Why bother the small changes in share price?
>>>>>>>

i sold at 9.10...break even with the dividend at 18 cents

Stock

2019-04-12 09:39 | Report Abuse

From office boy to accountant, very impressive. Almost as impressive as fake engineer to investment banker specializing in sukuk and m&a.

Clap clap clap.

Stock

2019-04-12 09:39 | Report Abuse

No wonder stoneraider is such a bad investor keep buying sape and talamt etc... He reads pundits from Malay mail. Can suddenly come out so many unconfirmed theories from something that happened at 130 am this morning. Clap clap clap!

No one told you that pic is not operational yet? No earnings from here yet little kid. What accounting policy, yours?

>>>>>>
This means u will see lower earnings for pchem for q2 30 june 2019 result loh....!!
Beside Pchem will also suffer from project delay too, which the operations will be affected by higher overheads and financial cost loh....!!

Stock

2019-04-12 09:31 | Report Abuse

Can't you just let Simon RIP? I really feel like running you over now in my Hitachi 350.

Stock

2019-04-12 09:22 | Report Abuse

It is in very poor taste to bring up investar in this forum. Icon8888 you are really a piece of shit.

Stock

2019-04-12 08:51 | Report Abuse

Yeah, because not fully operational. If fully operational the fire will not be so small.

Stock

2019-04-12 08:46 | Report Abuse

Ok thank God, just called up my friends working there. Its from a leaking gas tank at the petrochemical (PIC) facility not the main refinery ( which would be catastrophic). Fire contained in 30 minutes, thank God no one died ( 2 injured). Luckily good ERT at 130 am still alert as it was still running monitoring for the testing and commissioning phase.

Stock

2019-04-12 08:41 | Report Abuse

Let's all not catch the falling knife and pick up only in may when the earnings come out. This is why I always only buy when the quarterly results come out. Most likely this will not affect earnings as still under construction and not operational. So no losses to PCHEM ( insured and still under construction), however there will definitely be a big delay and will miss September q4 earnings date.

As my daughter is so fond of those poster t shirts these days, "Keep calm and Carry on".

Buying opportunity arises.

Stock

2019-04-12 08:37 | Report Abuse

Omg such a huge explosion. Testing and commissioning really not easy... Share price will definitely drop today.

News & Blogs

2019-04-11 21:08 | Report Abuse

This is actually a very very well written article. I like it! I totally agree.

Stock

2019-04-11 19:39 | Report Abuse

Wow, the consistent share buyback is impressive. Just like Berkshire share of American express, without buying a single new share, their shareholdings of YINSON can grow and grow and grow. I am blessed.

Stock

2019-04-10 21:49 | Report Abuse

I wish I can buy more, so sad... Ran out of money. Have to wait for next dividend run.

Stock

2019-04-10 17:39 | Report Abuse

Yes I realized that, people like icon8888 only hear what they want to hear, alternative views are heavily discouraged. I at least spent some time to dig further and meet with Steven Ang himself directly for drinks and q&a session. Maybe I should charge 5k to show JAKS investors the salient details of my discussion line that choivo boy.

Bye, this is a toxic counter I won't be commenting here anymore. Everyone is only interested in getting confirmation bias. And not discussing what issues are pertinent.

Probably dK66 is the only real investor here.

>>>>>>

aiyo Unker Philip I thought you know better lah, you can't argue with people who has skin in game de mah! It's like this de lo!!! I not saying JAKS is bad ah don't shoot me!!!

Stock

2019-04-10 17:30 | Report Abuse

Hi little girl trader, I look at long term results, not short term trading. When I said the future, try looking at success in the longer term (2017 rm1.90, 2018 rm1.02 versus today 0.75) and the revenue and earnings quarterly results. You want to be proud of 3 months results? Then give you lo, sifu, you make 100% returns consistently every year for 10 years?

Sorry I follow you into LCTITAN lose money leh... How?

>>>>>>
10/04/2019 5:11 PM

Icon8888 When I called for buy of success transformer at 57 Sen, little girl also jump into conclusion about china competitors etc said no future

Now success is 75 and latest Q result chun chun

Stock

2019-04-10 17:22 | Report Abuse

See? Can't respond with actual figures and results, you start reaching for random events such to JAKS, do you have real empirical results to show that the IPP they have is doing well? It is not operational, so anything you say goes. I have empirical evidence that QL has diversified far beyond just chickens and culling did not even slow it down ( unlike layhong).


>>>>>>
i3Value You talk down all business without looking at your own business biggest risk.

Stock

2019-04-10 17:17 | Report Abuse

The only contract uncertainty they had was resolved when my boss signed the LA last week. For you and your 70 billion net worth in 3 years 3 months, let me ask you a simple question, can you name their entire order book? All the clients that has give the orders to sape, what the irr and expected profit margin of those orders are? What ships are being deployed and in what sectors? All within 5 minutes of Google searching? I'm think you probably don't even know how many ships sape has today. I am confident in 3 mines you can find all the FPSO that YINSON has, where it is deployed, and it's names. If I give you 10 mines you could probably find out all their contracts, margins and irr quite easily ( hint: its in their latest company presentation in the website)
>>>>>
Thats why Gkent...with all the complicated contract uncertainty is not a business easy to understand loh...!!

Stock

2019-04-10 17:11 | Report Abuse

The only thing you can say is ok you are right, we can only look to October 2020 when the testing and commissioning is fully done and the death Star is fully operational. Only then do you have real actual results.

My bet on PCHEM is based on the same reasoning. However, if PIC explodes or doesn't work out, I will still have 25% earnings from other plants elsewhere. If the IPP for some reason doesn't work out, where is the margin of safety for JAKS?

Stock

2019-04-10 17:03 | Report Abuse

This is arguing for the sake of arguing. I have 10 year sales record, earnings growth record, historical record, revenue and earnings figures. My prediction and management guidance is within an expected band. You have zero actual results from hai duong plant. Your only comparison is with another plant somewhere else, done and managed by another party, using a different PPA agreement. How to predict?

>>>>>>>
Can you tell me how much QL will made from selling chicken this year? It is already operational? You dont know the revenue budget details? So you are guesstimating? I see.

Stock

2019-04-10 16:39 | Report Abuse

Obviously easier than understanding sapura businesss.

>>>>>>

stockraider Bullshit loh...Gkent business easy to understand meh ???

Stock

2019-04-10 16:38 | Report Abuse

OK I lose, so how much do I owe you now for losing? Can I pay end of the month?

FYI. My investment in QL is based on 10 years of quarterly earnings follow up i.e, every quarter since 2009 I top up whenever the results are good (no losses and results good for 40 straight quarters). IT is based on real results. That is how I find peace in QL. For the convenience store I paid for the maxincome sdn bhd financial report every year from SSM to see how it is doing (yes I pay money for the annual report RM75 from SSM), so I know exactly how it is doing every year before I put more money into QL.

Can you tell me how much JAKS made from power plant this year ? Not yet operational? You dont know the PPA details? So you are guesstimating? I see. what about the last 5 years quarterly report? How did the earnings and revenue grow? Why did Andy not allow KYY a substantial shareholder with skin in the game (more than andy) to join the board? Is there something to hide? No?

OK then. Your idea of nonexistent operational variables are ALL based on guesstimates, not realized values. Without any realilzed returns on profits , it is very clear who is the one who is a business owner and who is the one who is speculating on share probabilities.

If you say the share price going up from 50 cents to 80 cents is not a speculative rise then I dont know why you bother even reading financial reports.

>>>>>>>

i3Value Philip very clear is not business owner. With your mindset, you cannot do business. All things must fixed and no unknown for you to be confident.

Stock

2019-04-10 16:20 | Report Abuse

I give up, this little girl after I refuted his engineering credentials and his ex-investment banker status he now drops in quality of investing pieces and goes into insults, childish remarks and totally uncalled for remarks. Just because I dont agree and don't invest in trading stocks like JAKS.

OK LA, U WIN I CON U. LETS ALL INVEST IN JAKS. IT IS THE BEST STOCK FOR 2019, WOW WOW WOW UP FROM 0.5 TO 0,9!!

MONEY COME MONEY COME TIME TO COUNT SOME MONEY!
>>>>>>>


Icon8888 Correct. Little girl is a very good cook. Give her an egg, a piece of garlic and cinnamon stick, she can come up with a feast for 100 people

(Give her any stock , she can write a 10 page essay about its prospect. Whether correct or not doesn't matter to her. Very judgmental)

Stock

2019-04-10 16:13 | Report Abuse

It is why I invest in companies that are easy to understand and is idiot proof... because one day an idiot may be in charge of the company. Notice how I dont buy into fintech, biotech, internet, etc etc one client companies. It's just to difficult to predict how they will do in the long run.

I dont know about Johan, but I have have working relationships with GKENT since 1995, when they did the selangor WTP and STP projects. Company culture and business moat still there.

I dont trust the CEO, I trust the business. GKENT has never lost money, is net cash, doesn't need to do warrants and RI (without affecting shareholder value), gives out 6% dividends a year, and has a great business model (name me another water meter manufacturer in malaysia, or a local railway specialist, water treatment specialist and hospital contractor).

Pipe maker turned failed developer turned IPP JV.

If you make money, I salute you, but for all the confidence, who here put 90% of their networth into the "sure thing" that is JAKS?

Even baby girl Icon8888 who was so confident only put in 5% networth into JAKS at 0.5, and another 5% at 0.7.

even qqq3 is only putting in his trading profits.

How many people have conviction and did enough research into this "sure thing" to put large sums of money into JAKS? Only KYY I assume.

>>>>>>

how come you can trust CEO of Johan....He run the company to the ground for 30 years already. 10 sen now, and golf buddy of Najib.