you r right CK...if your dividend yield is 6% and you reinvest 100% of your dividend and if the share price does not move up...you are assured a CAGR of 6% then!....:)
all unit trusts and all professional fund managers practice diversification.
but if you are remisier cum internet sifu, you can get carried away and go for performance. ...the sort of things all business schools warns you about.
The object is to recognize the TREND whose premise is false, ride that trend, and step off before it is discredited"
I wanted to ride the currency trend until the Dec 2015 results were announced but others started unloading by mid January ahead of me...........in game theory fashion, everyone started discounting backwards.
PureBULL . > Mar 13, 2016 01:30 AM | Report Abuse X
WHY don't try to short cut all of the above with this ?
This is the invincible model :
G SOROS - "Economic history is a never-ending series of episodes based on falsehood and lies, not truths. It represents the path to big money. The object is to recognize the TREND whose premise is false, ride that trend, and step off before it is discredited" G Soros is an uptrend purebull follower n is advising us to focus on the big money.
Jim Rogers - "Figure out the money and you’ll figure out what’s going on." Jim Rogers is asking us where is the big money in charts n to find them ourselves.
All stocks that can fly very high for 1 to 2 yrs continuously r momentum FA stocks with scalable biz. n they must need catalysts to do so.
I learned very well from owner of TOPGLOVE, also my neighbor at TGCR for 10 yrs, his at 33 n 35, my at 36. LIM always mentioned about tailwinds helping to generate easy bottom lines. n his stock will fly high like the recent run up because of 2 tailwinds, cheap raw material r. latex n weak rm.
Every cycle, look for current stocks that r on the way to enjoy 1 to 3 tailwinds in their biz. Start with stock charts 1st. n scan them thru. they must be uptrending of course. Importantly like what Uncle KYY said, Buy stocks that can make more profits next year than the current year. Among them analyse its biz model n have a good feel of the biz.
AIRASIA a recovery stock, looks good to me, though am bias to bear side of general mkt mode for now. Still Awaiting retracement at 156. 13/03/2016 01:22
Kudos, Ben Gan. You have your own selection criteria that scrutinize major aspects of a business. Keep it up.
Some people will always see this as being 'complex', 'complicated', or think that you 'can't find anything with this'. Well, I can only encourage them to have a look at Warrent Buffett's 12 tenets when it comes to buying into a business. It might broaden their view a bit.
My answer to WHY great winning export stocks r collapsing.
Ex. to a friend who has lots of POHUAT: It took Tay kim huat 20+ yrs to build POHUAT to listing n priced at 55 sen publicly just 2 yrs ago. Only 2 yrs forward, POHUAT went to highest of 450 sen cum all. who is smarter to make money , the original owner/bizman or smart money ?
The beauty of stock mkt is designed for smart money to take profits. If not they will be fool in the greater fool game. All good things that fly up will have to come down at certain maturity pt. many people in the game r not prepared for this. Pls refer to the high 'mountains' in the charts for inspiration n clarity. After having so good times of long 2+ yrs, That explains why many momentum FA stocks r having bad times. Now they r weak. At best hope for good rebound n consolidation phase will take over. unlikely they can go near their last high pts.
There is also a different result between stocks play by high net worth individuals n fund co.
The point is.....everyone jumps on a trend. The idea is to jump off at the right time but humans being humans will buy more and more as they gain confidence and so forgot to dismount from the tiger.
To me also, it is never easy to make profit in the equity market.
Some analysts were already showing interest in plantation stocks, foretelling that CPO could fast approaching the RM2,650+ level.
If this prediction or early trend detection is not-too-far off target, I might buy more shares of Kim Loong Resources Bhd which is both a cash-rich and quite a high dividend yield mid-cap plantation stock.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
CKWan11d
567 posts
Posted by CKWan11d > 2016-03-12 23:54 | Report Abuse
There are quite many listed companies which fail to meet these criteria of stock selection. The likes of Utusan, KUB and etc.