There are some clear signal that year 2020 will be ok
For Malaysia it will be bull run time
1. Trump needs to prepare for Reelection in year 2020. He must pacify the farm belt as there is where he gets his votes
So Trade war will abate as China will import more soy bean and US will hold back tariff
2. FED already reduced interest rates 3 times which mean more money will return to stocks seeking for higher yields
3. In Malaysia There will be double barrel spending in year 2020 (2019 cash allocation delayed till year 2020. Plus year 2020 cash will be disbursed speedily)
4. Brent crude up good for Petronas in turn more Cash dividend for Govt
5. CPO price rebound good for rural economy
6. Roll out of Rm50.3 billions for fiberisation is internal stimulation
7. More Keynesian stimulation by jobs from Ecrl, Bandar Malaysia, pan Borneo highway and other infrar works
8. In a world of negative or subpar growth Malaysia at 4.5% growth rate looks attractive. A matter of time Foreign Funds must return
9. Govt reducing Threshold to Rm600k will encourage inflow for property purchase
when the world top 2 economy powerhouse tumble, i highly doubt malaysia or even any country can survive.
trump as of now, does not show any sign of backing out from tariffing YET. and seems like the US kept printing money to stabilise the 'REPO' but Powell kinda slip it out pointing its for QE measurement.
as for china, multiple report claiming few china bank run and much higher defaulter on loans with much lower production estimation.
well, we cant predict when recession will come exactly but we can sure do preparation from it.
AGREE WITH ANNMIX 100%. WE SUFFERED OUR RECESSION IMMEDIATELY AFTER THE STOOOOOPID PH GOVERNMENT TOOK OVER. FOR THE FIRST 15 MONTHS, WE ARE SUFFERING REAL HARD. NOW OUR FINANCES ARE RECOVERING SLOWLY. WE HOPE THERE IS NO MORE RECESSION LIKE YOU SAID. DIVIDEND4LIFEZ.
If you know where to invest Recession or depression also got stocks that will perform
During the Great Depression Years of 1929 to 1939 in USA John Maynard Keynes managed 2 Funds. Both did well
He invested in Govt Stimulation Growth stocks which depend on Govt spending for USA internal infrar jobs of building roads, drainage and highways
So in Malaysia we have the internal stimulation jobs Nfcp fiberisation for Rm50.3 millions
Another one is Ecrl with Rm44 billions spending these 2 jobs will be good for digital economy as well as construction company that will win ecrl jobs
So think positive and be versatile at all times
In Spore without any resources the Founder Mr Lee Kuan Yew told us this
Always be prepared to face World changes and adapt. Be agile to always meet new changes and demand or challenges of the market place
THE ability to dismantle, breakdown then reassemble and rebuild quickly to meet the needs of world market condition is crucial
Mr Bong of Uzma told me why Barakah failed. Barakah has bulky assets which cannot change nor adapt to new changes in the oil and gas industry so it failed
A oil and gas entity should have equipments that can change or modified to meet different needs and challenges to survive
Those that are versatile and adapt will survive. Those that are like clumsy behemoth that cannot change will fail
in my video, i did mentioned do your research and periodically reviewing your portfolio. some might say, blue chip/growth stock/unit trust/mutual fund does not need frequently review, its for long term, its growth stock but like you said, market is versatile and we will need to adapt to survive.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ahbah
6,238 posts
Posted by ahbah > 2019-12-08 10:26 | Report Abuse
My respectful Tan Sri, 2019 is no boom, so guaranti next yr 2020 no recession lah.
yr 2019 is a mkt recession, next yr shall be a mkt boom yr !