Ha... Investing long term we don't judge quarterly performances... Average must at least 5 years...n within 5 years to 10 years...a maximum contracting earnings mustn't be more than 2 years. Unless financial crisis...even a negative outcomes...need to analyse thoroughly. How is the company sales, margins, profit, cash flow, debts, retained earnings, dividend policy, capex n R&D, etc. Of course not 100% bullet proof...70/80% is enough. We cannot analyse how efficient the management teams going forward in the long run. But good business model, even you brought at reasonable price...it just keep on going...but you cannot buy a discounted bad business model... turnaround seldom happened...for poor business model. Good days...!!!
Crucially as what Uncle Buffett said, "I just want to walk over a one foot hurdle, rather then a ten footer." That means we cannot attempt to turnaround a company by buying at cheap price...we must buy a wonderful business at reasonable price. Most of the times the reputation of a brilliant management are single out to be inefficient... because of running a business model that's going nowhere. Business model remain as it's...but people with good reputation are affected. So think logically or rationally. Don't invest with too much emotions...n blaming the whole world n have grudges with anyone. Nobody can help you n you need to help yourself. "Never give up...!!!...giving up is the greatest failure," Jack Ma...!!!
Finally most of the time when you invested in a lousy business model... minority shareholders are the victims. All the BODs n especially the CEO aren't penalised. I think these must change. Whatever failed business...all assets accumulated by CEO must be frozen... including wife's assets. But did you see any thing happening at present...Not even in US. That's why the highest cons...is still management. How to see these... probably you look at BODs who are accumulating their own shares, reading annual reports, going to AGM...n ask serious questions...how the management benefit minority shareholders n others. TQ.
Ha...nothing is foolproof... historical data is a guide...future positive or negative outcomes...many don't know. It still come back to basic equation of Aesop, "a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush." So what are the possibility of having extra birds in the bush, n who will take away the bush. Probably you have zero bird n the bush is gone. So please understand what product ELSOFT is selling. It is a sunset or sunrise industry, cyclical or defensive, who are its competitors, its customers, cash flow generating efficiency, etc. If you want trade or momentum traders...this is different cup of tea. Please understand what you really want. But overall at the end of the day...buy quality business is better then running around like headless chicken. You need to have some stable income from dividend or others...then only you can look for 'momo'...life is so short...time is a friend of the wonderful business, but an enemy of the mediocre. TQ.
Hahaha...besides...VITROX n PENTA...ELSOFT is probably the third largest ATE, AMS n probably AMH...in BURSA... Don't anyhow Invest in company with too much debts plus sales n earnings volatility, plus with negative cash value n net current asset value...these companies are technically bankrupt...any worldwide financial crisis they have hard times repaying their debts n interest payments. Margin of Safety must be higher than Margin of Error...!!!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Stocker
1,506 posts
Posted by Stocker > 2019-05-16 17:54 | Report Abuse
Buy in after qrt released