hopeman, dont forget their other projects. If you drive pass Summit USJ, you can see their Da:Men project, which has RM1.2 billion GDV and construction is in progress
trading 70+ to 80+ range for a long ,long time......if u follow the forum, peple buy at 70 plus and sell at 80 plus for min 10 pct profit. I did try and was successful....
when in stock market, I usually aim for big, chunky profit
I choose to forgo small trading profit like this
the reason is because I am exposing myself to equity risk, whixh can be very high. For that kind of risk, I would target to reap 100%, 200%, 300% kind of return.
It is not really an academic concept. It is being practical. Because if I expose myself to high risk and yet reap small reward, one day the risk will catach up with me and wipe out my previous gains.
This is a big subject, usually will evolve into heated debates (I have experienced it too many times before).
I will stop here. Different people have different investment / trading philosophy. I wish you good performance in your trading activities and makes money
Today's traded volume at 11:40am of 9.5m shares has nearly surpassed yesterday's total volume of 9.8m shares. And the buy rate is almost 80% indicating an accumulation phase is currently ongoing. We can expect GOB to rise further.
- Meanwhile, we are bullish on the Penang real estate market. The newly completed Second Penang Bridge with its vastly improved accessibility to the island is fueling strong buying interests from developers looking to arbitrage land value in the Batu Kawan area on the mainland. The Bridge is driving an economic transformation with the associated job creation underpinning inward residential migration to the Batu Kawan area. Aspen Group, a private developer, has established a joint-venture with Ikano to construct an integrated retail mall anchored by IKEA while Paramount will be building a new KDU college.
- We expect Batu Kawan to be transformed into the Northern Region’s newest urban centre. Given its significantly lower base compared to residential prices on the island, sustained economic development and rapid urbanisation will narrow the price gap in the area, we believe. Another key appeal here is the availability of landed homes at significantly cheaper prices compared to houses on the island.
- Global Oriental is the largest developer in the Batu Kawan area. Its flagship project Bandar Cassia (350 acres) is strategically located about 1.5km from the Batu Kawan Interchange of the Second Penang Bridge. As of end Dec-2013, its book value stood at RM1.19/share. GOB recently proposed a rights issue of 227.3mil shares (1:1) together with 113.7mil free warrants (2:1).
GOB is attracting the right attention. I foresee a new research coverage on GOB by AmResearch soon.
warsurfer, I do not have a short term price objective as I am in for the long run. If you have read my earlier write ups on GOB, I think it is easily worth RM3 or more base on the new valuation at the Batu Kawan land and the recently concluded Seri Kembangan land sold by Ekson.
Icon8888, yes let's enjoy the ride up. Everyone huat with GOB!!!
Icon, DaMen is slated to open in 2015. GOB will have a NLA of 420k sqft of recurring earnings. Will you do a Part 5 on the GOB series of write ups on this area?
Thanks Icon8888 for yr write up. Was a bit unsure at 79c. Finally bought in, in a small way at 87. Will hold till rights issue and beyond and see. Did read all yr articles though but as usual was slow to move . They were very informative Thanks again
NP Icon. Looking at Pavillion REIT, it seems that they have the first right of refusal to purchase DaMen and inject it into the REIT. GOB could be looking at hiving off the DaMen to PavREIT which could bring in RM300-400m.
james, your figure is likely correct. Recently I have written so much about malls (some of them by coincidence), I have developed a rule of thumb.
First of all, according to my earlier calculation, OSk Prop's Atria Mall has 470k sq ft NLA and works out that net profit could be RM19 mil (my own calculation, not necessarily correct).
As such, Damen's 420k will generate 420 / 470 x 18 = RM16 mil net profit.
Let's say if they sell it based on 6% yield, valuation should be RM267 mil
I think with Pavillion managing DaMen, the average rental rate per sqft per year is higher than RM80. I am assuming an average RM100/sqft/annum rate and this will give a RM42m turnover/year. With an implied margin of 60%, this translates to a PBT of RM25.2m/year. Assigning a 25% tax rate, this results in a RM18.9m PAT. A 6% yield will value it at RM315m.
All these numbers are purely conjectures. Let's wait for it to unfold. A new golden chapter.
If able to clear 0.945 convincingly this week with good volume, then should have no problem to reach immediate target of 1.2 within this month or next. Good to hold for long term.
Note that the 2 parcel of land at Batu Kwan based on net book value was purchased at RM8++ & RM10++ psqf. Just the revaluation of these 2 parcel based on current values would value GOB at least RM1 sth
after what james told me this morning about Damen mall, I have high hope with GOB now. I think this stock can potentially double in 3 years time
matrix6050 you penang kia kah ? This means you have never seen Damen project construction site ? Maybe one day I can go and snap some photos and post them here
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Icon8888
18,659 posts
Posted by Icon8888 > 2014-04-03 21:03 | Report Abuse
part 4 of GOB articles
http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/icon8888/49550.jsp