Companies with big planted acreage in Indonesia will be hit. With covid 19 outbreak and lack of medical facilities in remote areas and the outflow of migrant workers coming Raya [a social potential time bomb] Indonesia has reported alarming high fatalies rate among the infected
erm..im new here...but i was thinking whether indonesian care about covid...if i look at total population versus total tested person...a bit surprise...look like they dont care at all...
As well as the bargain oil image, local media reports that say palm has a high saturated fat content have turned people off. That’s kept a lid on household demand, which account for just 18% of total palm usage.
Now, Covid-19 has exacerbated the problem as more people avoid eating out, hurting demand from a service sector that makes up more than 30% of imports. Total palm oil purchases shrunk 31% in the first eight months of the marketing year that began in November, while sunflower grew 17% and soybean oil climbed 13%.
To boost household consumption, the palm industry needs to launch a nationwide campaign similar to how poultry farmers began promoting eggs in the 1980s, said Angshu Mallick, the deputy chief executive officer (CEO) of Adani Wilmar Ltd, a vegetable oil processor.
Do your homework and look at other planter results. CPO prices has a direct impact on plantation performance. Higher CPO prices , better P&L { good dividend } and higher stock prices.look at glove makers. Share split , higher dividend payout, darling's of the stock rally.
Will budget 2021 pass? Tengku Razaleigh and a few BN MPs refuses to support the budget, if Budget fails, market will crash? Buy now or sell? How? If budget fails, parliament dissolve? market crash?
Pm { Mooohidin} sure "kawdin" appoint more deputy and minister posts .plenty of Glic and statutory bodies appointment. minister{s} and deputy in the PM Dept can be increase { not forgetting government controlled banks , pnb , mara, Felda, felcra, risda, mpoc, Mpob,KWSP, KWAP, Ltat etc
I still remember when sifu calvin 1st promoted Gloves beginning of the year, if Raider just listen to sifu calvin n buy....b4 the price spike up, raider would have make few hundred percent gain loh...!!
Raider regret did not follow & do it immediately, when gloves still at a very low affordable price loh...!!
Raider now realise plantation stocks are something like Gloves situation beginning of the Year mah...!!
Just buy b4 spike up loh...!!
Posted by calvintaneng > Nov 25, 2020 11:54 AM | Report Abuse
As cpo prices maintain above Rm3300 a tonne all palm oil stocks will be good to very good
Posted by calvintaneng > Nov 25, 2020 11:56 AM | Report Abuse
As a rising tide of lifts all boats so rising cpo prices will be universally good for all palm oil share as a whole
A Genuine Bull Run Comes like Incoming Waves on the Sea Shore
IT COMES IN 3 STEPS. THEN PULLS BACK 2 STEPS
AND IT RETURNS AGAIN IN 3 WAVES THEN WITHDRAWS IN 2 WAVES
THESE WAVES PATTERNS ARE LIKEN TO A GENUINE BULL RUN (AS OPPOSED TO QUICK PUMP & DUMP STOCKS WHICH ARE JUST FLASH IN THE PAN: IT FLASHES UP!. DRAWS IN SORCHAI. BURNT THEM KAW KAW. THEN GAME OVER)
NOT FOR GENUINE BULL RUN STOCKS THAT TAKE MONTHS OR EVEN YEARS TO RUN
Advanced Vocabulary for English Language Learners: A flash in the pan
ABOVE: FLASH IN THE PAN. PUMPED LIMIT UP. THEN DUMP TO SORCHAI
BELOW: BOILING WATER:
IT TAKES TIME TO SLOWLY BOIL
FROM ROOM TEMPERTURE
TO WARM
TO HOT
TO STEAMING HOT
IT ALSO TAKE QUITE SOME TIME TO RETURN
FROM STEAMING HOT
TO HOT
TO WARM
TO ROOM TEMPERATURE
The physics of a boiling kettle – my question to the commission! | Roger Helmer MEP
WHILE PALM OIL SHARES ARE TURNING FROM ROOM TEMPERATURE TO WARM (IT WAS LUKEWARM)
MEDICAL GLOVES ARE DESCENDING FROM STEAMING HOT TO HOT = LAT
Agreed with all the sifu moments. Somehow plantation stks still lack the punch. Lack lustre performance despite CPO prices on the uptrend for the past 8-9 months{ punters prefer the pump and dump penny stocks}
The direction is strong accumulation for IJMPLANT mah...!!
This company has 60k planted hectarage in sabah & indonesia, alot of its plantation is emerging as prime stage mah! This will boost its revenue & profits with good cpo price loh...!!
U can expect superb result this coming December qtr mah...!!
Strong buy, do not missed loh!
What does this cpo price trend below tell U leh ??
Date Settlement Price RM 3 Dec 20 3332 2 Dec 20 3316 1 Dec 20 3347 30 Nov 20 3305 27 Nov 20 3338 26 Nov 20 3227 25 Nov 20 3285 24 Nov 20 3249 23 Nov 20 3326 20 Nov 20 3288
Ans; Rising CPO price and Rising Profit loh!!
Until Sept latest qtr result cpo average is roughly rm 2600 mah!!
December QTR we will be seeing conservatively Average Price Rm 3200, that is 23% increase in price n this increase revenue will all goes to the bottom line profit as there are no cost applicable to revenue generated from price increase loh...!!
Just imagine if Average palm oil price is Rm 2800, U already see super strong profit loh!! But now we are at above 3500 loh...!!
Can U forecast & project what will palmoil company potential profit at rm 3500 cpo leh ?
That means the upside of palmoil above Rm 3500 is still sustainable going fwd loh!!
"Soya Bean Oil {SBO} price premium over CPO currently stand at USD 195 per tonne. Consumers in India, Pakistan and other sub continents are price sensitive."!
I have bought in IJMPLANT but unfortunately to inform u that they will hit by Indonesia new export levy that is extremely unreasonable. The latest export levy is worst than sins tax. If price hit 4000 then they might really get benefit (asp could only 3100+ after deduct export levy). But tbh I can see CPO beyond 2008/2012 high so despite the bad news(export levy imposted) the trend will still be around.
The one will benefit the most at this moment is those company without indonesia operation. Pure Malaysia plantation. And thanks to Indo gov policy that out of mind.
THEY CAN SELL CPO TO LOCAL VALUE ADDED INDUSTRY, AFTER PROCESSING THEY CAN EXPORT HIGHER VALUE ADDED PRODUCT WITHOUT BEING TAX LOH..!!
THE INDONESIAN GOVT WANTED TO DISCOURAGE RAW MATERIAL LIKE CPO BEING EXPORTED WITHOUT VALUE ADDED MAH...!!
Posted by Chua Zhi En > Dec 5, 2020 11:54 PM | Report Abuse
I have bought in IJMPLANT but unfortunately to inform u that they will hit by Indonesia new export levy that is extremely unreasonable. The latest export levy is worst than sins tax. If price hit 4000 then they might really get benefit (asp could only 3100+ after deduct export levy). But tbh I can see CPO beyond 2008/2012 high so despite the bad news(export levy imposted) the trend will still be around.
The main usage for Soy Bean are as food for human & Pigs and the oil for cooking. It is therefore more economical compare to Oil Palm as it has dual purpose. So, market willing to pay higher price for Soy Bean compare to Soy Bean. Soya Bean food for human, Soya meals food for animals & soya oil {SOB} for cooking.
SOB 4th Dec is USD0.3841 per pound or RM0.3841x4 x 2.2x1000 = RM 3380 per MT. Which is lower than RM3502 for CPO on 3rd Dec.
SBO has been traditionally USD50-80 higher price than CPO.
But Since Nov 2020, CPO price overtook SBO by USD15/MT and now is higher by USD30. This happens could be few reasons,
1) Africa Swine Flu have killed many pigs. The main food for pigs are Soy Bean Meals. When number of pigs are low, the demand for Soy Bean also lower. Cause is not economical if just buy to press oil.
2) Market shortage of Soy Bean due to dry weather and Soy Bean Oil from the bean are very much lower % compare to Oil Palm, so, it will not be economical if purely press the Soy Bean just for the Oil but not to feed the pigs and human. So, the SBO become shortage.
3) The main exporter for Soy Bean is shortage of Soy Bean and have to import Soy Bean this year. When SBO shortage, price for SBO increase, CPO price also increase.
4) End November 2020 India reduces Taxes for CPO to 27.5% from 37.5%. This has increase the demand for CPO.
But, what ever reasons are. The most important good CPO price is good to Malaysia, good to Oil Palm planters, good for Oil Palm investors like us ..
For those serious mature sensible minded long term investors among y'all ... Do consider TopGlove as another egg in your basket, another arrow in your quiver, another string to your bow
Bonus issues: 2002 3:10 ==> 2,600 units 2003 2:5 ==> 3,640 units 2005 1:1 ==> 7,280 units 2007 2:5 ==> 10,192 units 2010 1:1 ==> 20,384 units 2016 1:1 ==> 40,768 units 2018 1:1 ==> 81,536 units 2020 2:1 ==> 244,608 units
Today 244,608 units x RM8.70/unit = RM2,128,089
Capital Appreciation = From RM5,400 to RM2,128,089 in just 19 years
This is clear solid undoubtable undeniable evidence of the awesome benefit by way of exponential growth that you get from investing long term in TopGlove
Anyways, this is not a call for buy or sell, but just sharing of some inspirational motivational confidence-building information.
CHICAGO: U.S. corn futures dropped on Tuesday after the U.S. Department of Agriculture projected supplies of the grain above market expectations in a monthly report, taking prices down from 7-1/2 year highs posted earlier in the day.
Soybean futures rose to a three-week top on a tighter supply outlook by the USDA, rebounding from an earlier slump triggered by sinking corn futures. Wheat ended down even as the USDA slashed its global stocks view by far more than analysts expected.
Corn led the sell-off as the USDA only minimally trimmed its U.S. end-of-season stocks outlook and raised its export forecast by less than many traders had anticipated following record-large sales to China.
Tightening supplies of the feed grain and rising prices have prompted a shift by some livestock producers to use other feeds, including wheat.
"The surprise in the report is that the government only took (U.S. corn) exports up 50 million bushels despite the fact that we had huge Chinese buying," said Don Roose, president of U.S. Commodities.
"With global wheat stocks down 9 million metric tons, the USDA is trying to say that we are going to feed more wheat globally," Roose said.
USDA projected U.S. corn ending stocks for the 2020/21 marketing year at 1.502 billion bushels and soybean ending stocks at 120 million bushels, both down from January. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected corn ending stocks of 1.392 billion and soy ending stocks of 123 million.
Chicago Board of Trade March corn futures were down 7-1/2 cents at $5.56-1/4 a bushel after peaking at $5.74-1/4 before the report, the highest for a most-active contract since June 2013.
March soybeans were up 14 cents at $14.01-3/4 a bushel after briefly trading lower on the day. CBOT March wheat was down 6-1/4 cents at $6.49-1/2 a bushel.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
dlau8899
915 posts
Posted by dlau8899 > 2020-02-06 13:51 | Report Abuse
Palm oil price up