Time to be a little bit more contraian in view of mkt at reasonable high level mah!
Warren buffet says inflation is definitely coming in view of low interest interest and speculative sign such as bitcoin, rubbish stock price run up sky high and unrealistic stock valuation & expectation and now raw commodities price run up mah!
Bill Gates already bought alot of farmland at low in preparation & in anticipation for the coming armmagedoom coming mah! Why would one the world tech best richest owner switch alot of his investment into farmland, this bcos farmland or value real estate if it is bought at reasonable low price, u cannot go wrong over longterm bcos the availability of land is limited, u cannot manufacture land like bitcoin mah!
Coming back to msia the equivalent to farmland is oil plantation, u still can get it real cheap & it is paying u reasonably good dividend loh...this is the best defensive & offensive play like bill gates and warren buffet had highlighted mah!
As calvin sifu said timber is at record price & palmoil at record price surely some optimism will spillover to plantation & timber share price mah!
But this up 1 to 2 sen is chicken feed mah, why up so little leh ??
Timber & palmoil share r suffering from lack of production mah and also huge impairment losses on its assets mah & previous falling share price mah! Thus they are jittery on recovery of palmoil & timber share loh!! They want to see actual profit b4 jump in loh!! That means if u base on profit...as indicator that means the share price will be lagging loh!
Then why promote Wtk leh ?? 1. The owner , directors and insiders already accumulating quietly without fanfare mah! 2. The palmoil & timber production volume of wtk, mhc, jtiasa, boustead, ijm plant already creeping up loh...this is further support by the record price of its commodities. Just imagine u have higher prices & higher volume....that will be a very important sign of higher big profit coming mah! 3. The share price already corrected over 3 yrs of downtrend previously, when there is a big shakeout of all the weak holders...u can only grow more optimistic as time past by loh! 4. Wtk is sitting on some prime land that invested at a very low cost near major town & city, they are good development mah! 5. With all the liquidity & quantitative easing & low interest rate environment, u can see big inflation will be coming loh...!! Wtk in commodities business plus very big cheap land bank is a very good inflation protector mah!
Based on the above i think wtk , jayatiasa & ijmplant is the best pick to make profit & this is concur by sifu calvin findings also mah!
Remember 2 of the world most richest & savvy investors w.buffet & bill gates like investing in farmland now mah!
U can emulate them now too mah....!!
Thats why the 2 richest savvy investors have taken note the point of concern that palmoil & commodity price cannot going up forever like the case of glove & eventually the commodity price will also fall 1 day mah!
To address this issue or concern w.buffet & bill gates, say buy farmland & palmoil plantation, even the commodity price fall, u still have great protection on the value of cheap plantation land & farmland mah..!
If u buy into cheap land, u have both margin of safety accorded by cheap land plus prospect of reaping great profit from high palmoil price loh!
Thus u should Quickly Buy into palmoil plantation now, b4 its price shoot up mah!
Time to be a little bit more contraian in view of mkt at reasonable high level mah!
Warren buffet says inflation is definitely coming in view of low interest interest and speculative sign such as bitcoin, rubbish stock price run up sky high and unrealistic stock valuation & expectation and now raw commodities price run up mah!
Bill Gates already bought alot of farmland at low in preparation & in anticipation for the coming armmagedoom coming mah! Why would one the world tech best richest owner switch alot of his investment into farmland, this bcos farmland or value real estate if it is bought at reasonable low price, u cannot go wrong over longterm bcos the availability of land is limited, u cannot manufacture land like bitcoin mah!
Coming back to msia the equivalent to farmland is oil plantation, u still can get it real cheap & it is paying u reasonably good dividend loh...this is the best defensive & offensive play like bill gates and warren buffet had highlighted mah!
As calvin sifu said timber is at record price & palmoil at record price surely some optimism will spillover to plantation & timber share price mah!
But this up 1 to 2 sen is chicken feed mah, why up so little leh ??
Timber & palmoil share r suffering from lack of production mah and also huge impairment losses on its assets mah & previous falling share price mah! Thus they are jittery on recovery of palmoil & timber share loh!! They want to see actual profit b4 jump in loh!! That means if u base on profit...as indicator that means the share price will be lagging loh!
Then why promote Wtk leh ?? 1. The owner , directors and insiders already accumulating quietly without fanfare mah! 2. The palmoil & timber production volume of wtk, mhc, jtiasa, boustead, ijm plant already creeping up loh...this is further support by the record price of its commodities. Just imagine u have higher prices & higher volume....that will be a very important sign of higher big profit coming mah! 3. The share price already corrected over 3 yrs of downtrend previously, when there is a big shakeout of all the weak holders...u can only grow more optimistic as time past by loh! 4. Wtk is sitting on some prime land that invested at a very low cost near major town & city, they are good development mah! 5. With all the liquidity & quantitative easing & low interest rate environment, u can see big inflation will be coming loh...!! Wtk in commodities business plus very big cheap land bank is a very good inflation protector mah!
Based on the above i think wtk , jayatiasa & ijmplant is the best pick to make profit & this is concur by sifu calvin findings also mah!
Posted by pjseow > May 8, 2021 6:08 PM | Report Abuse
Calvin and Ahbah , Investment timing is very important and be at least medium and long term horizon . Dont buy at the peak . Gloves stocks had came down 50 to 60 % from the peaks in August last year . I did not promote glove counters then because the earnings were still not proven , PE were high . Glove stock prices peak before its ASP peak . There was a 9 months to a year lead of the share prices over its ASPs . Glove stocks had finally PROVEN to deliver fantastic results in the last 3 qtrs after August 2020 while their prices came down 50 % . THeir PE are less than 5 while they will continue to deliver superb results in the next few years with double and tripling of capacities . The palm oil price cannot keep going up forever since it started picking up 2 years ago in 2019 .Likewise , the oil palm counters will peak soon or already peak now before its palm oil ASP peak which may happen in 3 to 6 months time or even earlier . When palm oils ASP came down finally , do the plantation counters have doubling of capacities to compensate for the drop in ASPs ?
The direction is strong accumulation for IJMPLANT mah...!!
This company has 60k planted hectarage in sabah & indonesia, alot of its plantation is emerging as prime stage mah! This will boost its revenue & profits with good cpo price loh...!!
U can expect superb result this coming December qtr mah...!!
Strong buy, do not missed loh!
What does this cpo price trend below tell U leh ??
Date Settlement Price RM 7 May 4788 3 Dec 3332 2 Dec 3316 1 Dec 3347 30 No 3305 27 No 3338 26 No 3227 25 Nov3285 24 No 3249 23 Nov 3326 20 Nov 3288
Ans; Rising CPO price and Rising Profit loh!!
Until Sept latest qtr result cpo average is roughly rm 2600 mah!!
December QTR we will be seeing conservatively Average Price Rm 3200, that is 23% increase in price n this increase revenue will all goes to the bottom line profit as there are no cost applicable to revenue generated from price increase loh...!!
Just imagine if Average palm oil price is Rm 2800, U already see super strong profit loh!! But now we are at above 4788 loh...!!
Can U forecast & project what will palmoil company potential super profit at rm 4500 cpo leh ?
I think it is a good strategy putting some money in palmoil stocks.
This sector beside will be making coming windfall profit due to record high cpo price above rm 4500 per ton, it is still very safe as it is still undervalue and hold huge landbank.
U must understand loh...a weaker USD is a strong case for commodity to go up mah!
In that case investing plantation is the best hedge against inflation beside giving good cashflow in the form of dividend loh!
Thats the reason why bill gates/ w.buffet says investing in farmland or equivalent plantation mah!
Posted by pjseow > May 9, 2021 1:03 PM | Report Abuse
Miao Miao 7 , I tends to agree with you on the effect of US dollar downtrend due to huge QE by Biden . I remembered when Obama did a 2 trillion QE in 2009 and 2010 , our Ringgit strengthen from 3.8 to 3.0 . Last year D TRump did a 4 trillion QE . THis year Biden will do another 6 trillions money printing for pandemic , infrastructre and high tech investments .With oil price on the up trend our Ringgit will rise with respect to US Dollar . Unless Malaysia also print faster than US because of lower tax collections due to covid pandemic , our ringgit may remain at 4 level .
From Permafrost to Precipitation, Calvin Tan Research (At what stage is Glove, Steel/Aluminium & Palm Oil Stocks currently?
The Eight Stages of A Hot Air Balloon Stock
NOTE: THIS ALSO APPLY TO CYCLICALS LIKE GLOVES, STEEL/ALUMINIUM & PALM OIL
Stage No. 1. PermaFrost
Snow that is frozen for 2 or more years are called permafrost
perma - as in perma-nent
frost - be freezed over
This is the stage of a really dead stock that no research house will bother. Not a single soul is interested. The exception must be the only one in ten thousand who dare to buy any.
Stage No. 2. Thawing
Frozen Solid Ice starts to thaw or soften a little
A very slight passing glance by some value investors or deep value hunters. Only the very brave who SEE VALUE Will dare to buy some.
Stage No. 3 ICE Now Turning to Cold Water.
Some brave souls dare to venture in. Of course it's cold. Every where people pour scorn and cold water on the stock. Very few pay any attention. Remarks are usually negative. From Remisiers, fund managers, one and all. Same conclusion - the stock is not in their investment radar. So most reject it..
Stage 4. Cold Water no longer cold. It is now at room temperature.
Ha! there is a little attention paid by value investor. For the rest it is neither cold nor hot. So lukewarm response. No longer negative like before. But not positive either. A few hopeful investor starts to accumulate.
Stage 5 Water starts to boil
Ha! the heat or fire cause the water to stir a little now. There is warm and movement.
Company reports a good quarter. Or some great contract awarded - real or assumed. Some by merger news. Some favourable factors due to ringgit crash and strong US Dollar translating into higher profits. Or cheap oil benefiting rubber glove, logistic stock like transport or airline. There is now a stir in the stock.
Newspapers, analysts, experts, punters and all are paying attention now. More people talk about it in internet forum and even the media reports it.
Buyers are coming in and there is a great stir at last. Things are now coming alive. Prices moving upward. Many are making monies.
Stage 6. Boiling Water Turning Very Hot in the kettle. The water now churning in violent waves in the pot or kettle with steaming hot movements.
At long last the stock is very hot. Post after post by i3 forum member. All are universally drawn and sucked in. Like insects flying into bornfire at night there is a red hot wild attraction. As more people telling how they made killings in the stock market even more and more people are drawn into the red hot hot stock.
Those who made money early are now piling more and more monies into the red hot stock. Some even go into margin account to buy more.
Prices leap up to the cheers of all and sundry. Everyone is so happy. Happy in a sure winner. Emotion is now flying high. Any opposing view is slammed down in a frenzy. Reason is now overtaken by exuberance.
Stage No. 7. Hot Steam Rises Up The Sky As Hot Air To Form Cloud
All are now in cloud nine. Naysayers are condemned and proven wrong. The sky is the limit for the price. Can now fly to the moon or mars. More monies piled in. More suckers drawn in by greed.
This is the happiest time for all. But throwing all caution to the wind this is also now the most dangerous time to hold or buy more.
In Bursa every day the hot stock is traded in top 10 volumes
In internet forum this is the stock conversation revolves around day and night. Media reports it and tell why it should go even higher. Experts suddenly appear to tell you this time is different. The sky is the limit. Or the sky is not limit. It should fly to outer space.
Palmoil is 7 times more efficient than soya bean loh!
Just imagine without palmoil....u need 7 times more the size of palmoil estates, to produce equivalent volume of soya bean oil to replace palm oil, that means u are damaging 700% more of the environment mah!
Posted by MuttsInvestor > May 13, 2021 11:19 AM | Report Abuse
ENEMY NUMBER ONE to TO ENVIRONMENT ============ HUMANS ( Animals are MUCH more Environment Friendly ) ......... So ... Remove HUMANS from This World ???
Ijmpltn has about half of revenue from Malaysia and shall benefit from high CPO price . Indonesian portion will be better than last qtr too though not as much compare to Malaysia portion. Overall should be higher .
60% of the palm oil plantation mature areas is contributed from Indonesia segment . The companies won't be able to profit much during the CPO price rally for the operation in Indonesia due to heavy tax and export duty.
Ijmplnt planation area in AR 2020:
Mature areas : 21,576 hac (Malaysia ) 32,793 hac (Indonesia)
Immature areas: 3,322 hac (Malaysia ) 3,275 hac (Indonesia)
Extracted from PublicInvest :
Not all players will fully benefit from the CPO price gains. Despite stronger CPO prices, not all players will enjoy the full benefit of CPO price rally as upstream plantation players in Indonesia are subject to hefty CPO export duty (USD144/mt) and CPO excise levy (USD255/mt), there would be huge income losses for them as they are only able to recognize a net CPO price of RM3,000/mt based on the current spot level of RM4,700/mt). This is significantly lower compared to Malaysia’s RM4,324/mt (after netting of 8% CPO export tax). Only players with refinery plants would be able to capture the full market price of CPO given the hedging nature.
Calvin Tan is Pump and Dump mastermind. Wrote so many article on how palm oil company will make crazy profit... today a few palm oil company qr out liao, how? got super profit or not? lao sai got lah... Calvin Tan dont even understand the palm oil industry, probably never even eat palm oil but only buy olive oil.
Minyak masak sawit sangat berkualiti, Makan rendang sehingga mejilat jari, Plantation rally sudah mari Banyak Farmer senang hati Labur plantation boleh untung berpuluh puluh kali.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
stockraider
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Posted by stockraider > 2021-05-04 16:31 | Report Abuse
IT IS COMING LOH!