Voices: Russia is about to play its most dangerous cards and the west is not ready.
A few weeks ago, the US bank JP Morgan offered an apocalyptic warning that barely made a ripple outside the financial press. It said that if Russia completely halted oil exports, the shock to the world economy could be so large it would instantly quadruple the price of oil to nearly $400 a barrel. Right now, it’s hovering at around $100 a barrel.
Since the world is still heavily reliant on oil, the shock to the world economy would be far worse than during the 1970s and plunge us into a deep recession.
lower crack spread is due to govt interference to fight rising inflation so as to bring down d price of car fuels n gas to help d consumers! these can b in d form of subsidy (govt commitment/moves to absorb d difference of product cost n selling/pump cost ), fuel tax cut (lower taxable profit on oil & gas companies) n pushing d oil n gas companies to increase production to meet supply n demand of crude! the sanctions on Russia's oil n gas has resulted in high shortages of oil n gas globally especially in EU countries! the increasing oil n gas production has helped to control d rising prices of these products but a lower crude price do help d refiners on their profit margins of crack spreads!
so, a lower crack spread has slightly impacted d profit of refiners but current crack spread is still at all time high! these r reflected in their higher revenue n profit report!
as long as inflation persist, d petroleum n gasoline refineries will make huge profits!
crack spread price will always b subjected to intervention by govt (by ways of subsidies, tax cut/rebate to refiners, lowering price of crude oil, etc.) to help d consumers facing hardship during d high inflationary period.
Gas prices often move like "rockets and feathers," meaning they shoot higher and sink slowly.
Just don't expect prices to fall as quickly as they rose. Gasoline is perhaps the best example of asymmetric pricing in the real world, a term that's more casually known as "rockets and feathers." The dynamic is used to describe how prices can soar higher like rockets but decline with the urgency of a falling feather. And although it's unclear what exactly is behind the trend, various signs point to "greedflation."
govern can say-- if i pull subsidy now, your price went up. in return, your sales of oil will drop. because its too expensive to travel by car. so, you must give me some discount so that i can keep the subsidy on. haha
and by the way, they are stopping the subsidy soon.. for T2 and M4 maybe.
essentially those Corruption Monkey Gang needed RON95 for their Bentleys, Porsches, Lamborghinis, Maseratis, Astons etc etc.
can see how US stuck with RON88 coz market forces selected RON88 as most appropriate. Using RON88 maintenance costs for petrol engines are lower and end of life for engines are much longer.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
supersinginvestor
3,369 posts
Posted by supersinginvestor > 2022-07-18 15:46 | Report Abuse
How come here so silent..where everyone....