The Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 0.5%..and signal further reductions over the next few years is generally positive for Genting Berhad in several ways...
Policymakers see the Fed’s benchmark rate falling by another half of a percentage point by the end of 2024, another full percentage point in 2025, and by a final half of a percentage point in 2026 to end in a 2.75 per cent to 3 per per cent range.
Genting Berhad has substantial USD-denominated debt, amounting to about USD 6.53 billion. The Fed’s decision to lower rates reduces Genting’s interest expenses on its USD borrowings...leading to immediate savings on debt servicing (recurring benefits). As interest rates fall further over the next few years, these savings will likely continue to improve Genting’s cash flow.
interest rates generally boost economic activity by encouraging borrowing and investment. Genting’s U.S. operations, such as RWLV, RWNYC and Empire Resorts, could benefit from increased consumer spending, driven by improved economic conditions and cheaper financing options for U.S. consumers.
Genting Berhad holds significant assets in the U.S., Singapore and UK. These assets contribute to its NAV but are vulnerable to exchange rate fluctuations. When the USD, SGD weakens against the MYR, the value of U.S. assets in MYR terms decreases, affecting the company’s overall balance sheet and potentially its stock valuation.
Since Genting Berhad is trading significantly below its NAV, the market may already be factoring in the risks and uncertainties surrounding these assets, including currency fluctuations and the performance of U.S. operations. As a result, further reductions in U.S. asset values due to a weaker USD may not have an immediate or substantial impact on the share price, as it is already deeply discounted.
The Fed’s rate cuts provide a strong tailwind for Genting Berhad's potential U.S. IPO. The combination of lower borrowing costs, stronger consumer demand and improved equity valuations increases the likelihood of success for Genting’s IPO of RWLV, RWNYC and Empire Resorts..
If the current USDMYR exchange rate of 4.3 is sustainable, then Genting will benefit from the lower cost of servicing its substantial USD debt on a recurring basis, for as long as this exchange rate remains stable..
With the decline in the USDMYR exchange rate from RM4.71 to RM4.3, Genting Berhad has effectively reduced its USD-denominated borrowings.. which total USD 6.53 billion, by approximately RM2.6 billion. Moreover, if the USDMYR exchange rate drops further to RM4.0 by 2025, an additional debt reduction of around RM1.9 billion is anticipated.
Analysts' net debt forecasts for Genting Berhad appear achievable:
2023: MYR 15,000 million 2024: MYR 13,157 million 2025: MYR 11,072 million 2026: MYR 8,978 million.
This progressive reduction strengthens the company's financial position and prospects.
It's easy to calculate the savings on interest due to the reduction in debt. By applying the 5% interest rate to the debt reduction..we can estimate the recurring annual savings..
Previous secured loans are fixed loans that are already in force at agreed fixed interest rates until due.
Therefore, there is no impact of any financial gains in term of reduced interest payments even with Fed lowering interest rates.
Only future loans that have yet to be agreed upon and signed may enjoy any financial gains from any possible interest rate reduction by the Fed. An alternative of renegotiating existing terms and conditions favoring a lower interest rate of an existing loan is difficult.
As at 30/06/2024 (QR result page 11) Singapore : 18,815.3m (Exchange ratio of 1:3.4781) UK : 4,082.2m (Exchange ratio of 1:5.9633) US & Property : 27,326.8m (Exchange ratio of 1:4.7195) Oil Palm/Power/O&G: 16,009.7m (Exchange ratio of 100:0.0288; 100:64.9563; 1:1)
Total: 66,234m
As at 30/09/2024 (Estimated) Singapore : 17,905.93m (Exchange ratio of 1:3.31) UK : 3,901.96m (Exchange ratio of 1:5.70) US & Property : 24,897.82m (Exchange ratio of 1:4.30) Oil Palm/Power/O&G: 15,689.51m **
Total : 62,395.22m
Estimated loss due to Strong MYR : rm 3,838.78m (P&L paper loss)
** Oil Palm/Power/O&G, due to some mix with IDR/RMB/MYR. I simply deduct 2%
Question 1. How much interest can be save for the loan from 18/9/2024 until 30/09/2024 ? 2. Foreign currency liabilities is near 5,761.6m (with some plantation unknown amount denote in MYR). How much it can save ? around 307.22m ?
GB next quarter likely to huge loss due to paper loss ? My account not so good, enlighten me if I calculate wrongly. Kindly discuss rather than attack. Thank you.
from chart can see 4-4.20 price area should be the immediate support,unless big crash....then can break below the prices of last year june to nov......
when the whole masses expect big crash after this US big rate cut,the market always kill those who expect the what they THINK they should be expecting.sp500 futures up over 100+ points!those who shorted after last night closing or bought PUTS all gotten slaughtered!
Price already so low still got so many people selling. Under value stocks From 4.80 drop until 4.15.....when could recover ???????? I am also worry about TauRX.....can it happen before year end ????
chart is NOT JUST ABOUT CANDLESTICKS,its just part of the chart,zoom out look at the bigger pattern,and yes closing 4.15 is currently positive even after div date.
Where is ATKlown? lose until mother cannot recognize already? Genting cannot move up, this forces me to hold until Christmas, until Taurx announcement, until Genting rocket up to RM 6-7-8 tp.
Expect a one-time forex loss. However, the accounting treatment of forex gains and losses can be complex when it comes to financial reporting. We didn’t see a significant forex gain in the past two years, even though the USDMYR and SGDMYR rose significantly..By recognizing these gains or losses in Other Comprehensive Income (OCI), the company can smooth out earnings volatility and defer the impact of forex fluctuations..
Posted by MoneyMakers > | Report Abuse No wonder soo cheap US regulator sue RWLV (money laundering violation) + GenS QR terrible ------------ Dont bother with TauRx - got hundreds other alzheimer med under Phase 2/3 clinical trials Current share price values TauRx at 0 - so TauRx failure only minimal affect share price ------------ Stuck even when bursa up 1650 pts Feel people wait sell expecting bad QR soon ----------- 2 more days margin call b4 bad QR (expected Thur) - lets see how low can go ----------- Late selloff continue ystrdy red Seems people want exit b4 bad QR (GenS bad) out ----------- Crazy evening selloff - wait&see how bad QR later ----------- Woww big revenue drop + profit cut half..bad econ people no money travel?? Ystrdy Dollar General shares drop 30% after bad QR (weak consumer) Economy soo bad..GB Q2 revenue alrdy drop 1st time - disaster if nxt QR more revenue drop ----------- 2023 still ‘covid recovery’ so shouldnt compare y-o-y Q2 suppose seasonally strong (raya holiday etc) but QR soo bad - Q3 later even worse?? ----------- Everywhere weak economy - GenS/GenM alrdy affected Inflation destroy wealth ----------- Walao afternoon red alrdy - just need break under 4.30 then bye2 ----------- If GB future soo good (look forward) - wouldnt be 4.3 now ******************
<Before MM buy, he will always do his evil bad karma tactics non-stop fear mongering here>
Posted by mushimushi > 1 month ago | Report Abuse SGD 500m sudah mau mari, go go go!!! ---------- Tomorrow confirm gap up!! Tomorrow 4.8 ##################
Posted by AngTayKor > 1 month ago | Report Abuse ATK a ghost or not you decide lor. Hope some traders / trader cum investors here have read and exited promptly near the 5.20 top.
Then buy again at around 4.50 zone, exit at around 4.8+ zone. Then buy again at around 4.50 zone, exit at around 4.8+ zone. Then buy again at around 4.20 zone, exit at around 4.50 zone.
Its not difficult to trade this stock. I started buying when price was 2.97. When I stopped trading this stock long time ago, i think its equivalent to profit of selling the stock at over 8.00. -------- I have never shorted a single GenB stock. Better watch the stock's price action, the market is already whispering something now.... --------- Trader has already given his views if you have read his posts carefully over the past couple of days. *******************
See the difference in skill? At 4.50 zone trader gave prompt exit warning, the delusional ones keep promoting nonstop. Those kena stuck high at RM8 should learn some trading skills instead of doing delusional shortie bashing. If my brokerage account can trade short on Bursa stocks, I would have made double the money when I was actively trading this stock long time ago .
Posted by MoneyMakers > 19 minutes ago | Report Abuse Remember AngTKlown fearmonger heavy drop under 4.0 few days ago - unfortunately seems alrdy delete that post kikiki Fella left only 3post this week kikiki -----------------
Read carefully la:
Posted by AngTayKor > 1 week ago | Report Abuse
Posted by prudentinvestor > 3 days ago | Report Abuse Don't dump at this level, already very low. May be should adopt a wait and see strategy. Not likely to go down to RM4. ---------- Posted by kent9988 > | Report Abuse @atk 怎么看哦 一直跌😔 ----------
ATK: My cutloss advice only for MM (follow at your own risk). I think better listen to @prudentinvestor. Shut off your Bursa computer screen, come back after Christmas. It could be either near 3.50 or near 6.00. Popi popi 🙏🙏
Posted by Mikecyc > | Report Abuse Haha Tin Kosong MonieM give lectures here ke …no more Shouting Rocket Limit Up ke as in Tsh .. don’t own deleted own posts loh …hahaha ----------------
Aiya who always spinning BS here ownself delete own posts everyone here know la
By reducing its debt load, Genting can lower its annual interest payments. With debt reductions of this magnitude, the interest savings could be substantial. The interest savings from this debt reduction could result in an annual recurring saving of as much as RM250 million..
Why malaysia need to rate cut? Only maintain bro.... pls check back our malaysia BNM previous interest rate history.... so funny u guys .... saying without thinking lol
Situpid investor still hold Genting , smart investor already sell Genting ,change portfolio ,buy YTLPOwER , last week lower 3.38 , a lot situpid investor kena stuck 4.50 , smart investor ,last week sell Genting , BUY in YTLPower , he portfolio already profit gain now , all break even ,
A lot situpid kena stuck Genting , rumour coming next month Gaming tax will increase. again , Genting will plunge below RM 4
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Michaelchan2024
1,174 posts
Posted by Michaelchan2024 > 1 month ago | Report Abuse
The Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 0.5%..and signal further reductions over the next few years is generally positive for Genting Berhad in several ways...
Policymakers see the Fed’s benchmark rate falling by another half of a percentage point by the end of 2024, another full percentage point in 2025, and by a final half of a percentage point in 2026 to end in a 2.75 per cent to 3 per per cent range.