Just read that the participation of local contractors in the project is 40%. Just calculate how large will be the figures. GK with its good record stands a good chance.
Don't worry. Healthy correction. Cannot go up everday. Wait till all contra players and short selling players finish first. Then will go for second round.
This article first appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, on March 22, 2018.
-A+A George Kent (Malaysia) Bhd (March 21, RM4.29) Maintain buy with a target price (TP) of RM5.66: We attended George Kent (Malaysia) Bhd’s (GKent) fourth quarter of financial year 2018 (4QFY18) results briefing yesterday, which was represented by Bernie Ooi (executive director), Phoon Hee Yau (general manager for strategy) and Ong Kum Weng (finance manager). To recap, core earnings for FY18 were above expectations at RM138 million (+47% year-on-year), forming 136% of our full-year forecast.
The 4QFY18 engineering profit before tax (PBT) margin (excluding associates and joint-venture [JV] profits) was exceptionally high at 47.1%, which management explained was due to significant recognition of variation order (VO) works on the light rail transit (LRT) extension. There is a remaining RM193 million worth of works comprising the Bukit Jalil siding, depot equipment, roofing and platform. As such, we opine that the strong engineering margin will persist into FY19.
Apart from the bus depot, all major LRT Line 3 (LRT3) packages have been awarded and work progress is estimated at 3%. The contribution from LRT3 (share of JV profits) was RM17 million for FY18, and this is expected to accelerate strongly for FY19.
The Gamuda-MMC-GKent JV and China Communications Construction Co Ltd are the finalists for mass rapid transit Line 3 (MRT3) (RM45 billion). Although management did not reveal its stake in the JV, it has been agreed that GKent will undertake the system works potentially amounting to RM6 billion to RM8 billion. Securing this would double its order book, which currently stands at RM5.5 billion.
We remain optimistic about the JV winning the turnkey role given its pure local set-up and the lower rate of financing offered.
Last month, a consortium was formed between GKent and four European names (Siemens, Alstom, Italian State Railways and PORR) to bid for the high-speed rail (HSR) asset company role. Management expects bidding competition from Chinese, Japanese and Korean consortiums. The tender will close at end-June.
Other potential jobs include Singapore MRT track works (S$150 million or RM446.25 million), a hospital (RM500 million), East Coast Rail Link (ECRL) systems (RM1 billion) and water-related jobs.
Any possible delays in LRT3 would be a key risk. Our forecasts are unchanged as the briefing yielded no surprises.
GKent is a key proxy for the booming rail project roll-outs in Malaysia. We believe that it is in a polar position to participate in jobs such as MRT3 and HSR. It also boasts a net cash position of 82 sen per share (19% of its market capitalisation). Our sum-of-parts-based TP of RM5.66 implies a price-earnings ratio (excluding cash) of 19 times and 17 times respectively for FY19 and FY20. — Hong Leong Investment Bank Research, March 21
Other potential jobs include Singapore MRT track works (S$150 million or RM446.25 million), a hospital (RM500 million), East Coast Rail Link (ECRL) systems (RM1 billion) and water-related jobs.
GK could submit competitive bids for the contracts then GK could win these contracts. Additionally GK has the expertise and record. PH loves competitive bids which give good values to the rakyat.
HSR to Singapore nice to have but priority is to improve Malaysia's existing rail system, says Mahathir Last September, both neighbours agreed to the deferment till May 2020, and Malaysia has reimbursed Singapore $15 million for abortive costs incurred by the delay. At a retreat last week, Dr Mahathir and Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong noted that Malaysia is exploring the possible way forward, with the aim of cost reduction. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/mahathir-says-improve-malaysias-existing-rail-system-before-building-hsr-to-singapore
CYBERJAYA: Dr Mahathir Mohamad says the high-speed rail (HSR) project between Malaysia and Singapore which was suspended last year is still on hold pending talks between the two governments.
“For the time being, we are not going to build.
“We have asked for two years before we talk again,” the prime minister said. “At the moment, we have not given any contracts. So we have to compensate Singapore.”
The agreement saw the project deferred until May 31, 2020. If by then Malaysia does not proceed with the project, it will also bear the agreed costs incurred by Singapore in fulfilling the HSR bilateral agreement.
In July last year, Singapore said it would seek to recover over S$250 million (US$181.66 million) in costs incurred to date should Malaysia cancel the project.
Penang LRT project to start next year. Chow said the LRT project would take between six to eight years to be completed and a public display will be held for three months to gather feedback from the public on it.
General Raider has Sold Gkent at Rm 1.26 and take profit loh....!! A return close to 40% consider very good loh.....!! Furthermore share price weakening loh....!!
The ECRL whether gkent will definitely get anything is uncertain loh...!!
If it go down below Rm 1.10 maybe raider will consider jump in again loh....!!
My advise to all just dun believed all fake news bcoz GKent dun have expertise on Building railways like big2 contruction their basic bisness is water paip and Building contruction not infrastruktur... so jgn tertipu dgn rumous and fake news...ECRL will be given PH gengbeng group not GKent lor
As I said before, current price 1.24 is the fair value for Gkent even without any new rail projects. LRT3 still got a few years to go. If in future got any new Rail projects will be a BONUS.
Don't know. No announcement. Could be open tender. Gamuda good in building tunnel, road and fly over. But rail or train ? I think Gkent better. Could partnership.
on domestic construction industry has been boosted by positive newsflow and we opine that the worst is over for the industry. ECRL will resume with lower construction costs and rerouting. Separately, MyHSR corporation plans to appoint a technical advisory consultant to review the technical aspects of HSR project’s cost reduction options and this sparked revival hopes of the project. Maintain NEUTRAL sector rating as we deem YTD surge in construction counters has reflected the positive sentiment. In terms of TP changes, we maintain HOLD for both Gkent and IJM but upped TP to RM1.41 and RM2.30 respectively.
Surveying Shares of George Kent (Malaysia) Berhad (KLSE:GKENT), i3 Verticals, Inc. (NasdaqGS:IIIV) Tweet Share Share By Caroline Biscotti on April 16, 2019
The Value Composite Two of George Kent (Malaysia) Berhad (KLSE:GKENT) is 18. The VC2 is calculated using the price to book value, price to sales, EBITDA to EV, price to cash flow, price to earnings and shareholder yield. Similarly, the Value Composite One (VC1) is a method that investors use to determine a company’s value. The VC1 of George Kent (Malaysia) Berhad (KLSE:GKENT) is 27. A company with a value of 0 is thought to be an undervalued company, while a company with a value of 100 is considered an overvalued company. The VC1 is calculated using the same metrics as VC2, but without taking into consideration shareholder yield.
Investors looking to make big gains in the equity market may be looking to fine tune an existing strategy or create a whole new one. It may sound quite easy, buy low and sell high. Obviously, navigating the stock market typically entails much more than that. Identifying market tops and correction levels may be very difficult. Of course, it always hurts to take a loss, but figuring out how to shrink losses can help keep the ship afloat during turbulent market conditions. The situation for the average investor may vary greatly from one person to the next. Some investors will be working with a short-term plan, while other may be focused on a longer-term investment horizon. Goals may also vary from individual to individual. Keeping these goals in sight may help clear up the sometimes foggy investing waters, and provide clarity for creating a winning portfolio.
Valuation Scores
Shifting gears, we can see that George Kent (Malaysia) Berhad (KLSE:GKENT) has a Q.i. Value of 31.00000. The Q.i. Value ranks companies using four ratios. These ratios consist of EBITDA Yield, FCF Yield, Liquidity, and Earnings Yield. The purpose of the Q.i. Value is to help identify companies that are the most undervalued. Typically, the lower the value, the more undervalued the company tends to be.
Just let them sell. Maybe they want to push down so that they could buy cheaper when they got their dividend. The boss got a lot share and dividend. He could collect more from open market.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
FairTalk
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Posted by FairTalk > 2019-04-15 15:07 | Report Abuse
Just read that the participation of local contractors in the project is 40%. Just calculate how large will be the figures. GK with its good record stands a good chance.