no idea , but what i think is might due to political issue, as for construction industry nowadays , alot of govt project has been divert to political link company , we will have clear picture by this 15/12
https://www.malaysiachinainsight.com/2020/12/13/malaysia-to-fly-solo-pay-off-singapore-in-hsr-deal/?amp This is a good piece of news. Why should Singapore enjoy free ride built with Malaysian's sweat and blood? Bloody Singaporean wants to dictate terms even it is just build very very small portion of the HSR. HSR should have last terminal in Nusajaya, that will save billions extra cost. If Singaporean really want to enjoy fast train ride, just come over with a Grab car.
If the project cannot make reasonable profit or loss. It's good to cancel the project and let some other company taking over since the project cost has been cut too low. wasting time continue doing. might just concentrate on other project on hand.
the different in between MRCB & Gkent is MRCB purely political link company with heavy mismatch on its financial , no surprise prasarana boot gkent out from lrt3 & replace with another politic link company which current govt did to secure the parlimen seat... ,
1. Think of the rumours(not long ago), sources say that gkent is selling off their water meter business. But, what's now? Are they selling it or making good profit every qoq? 2. For cancellation or termination, it is worth to look at the exit clause and might be interested to see what compensation gkent is able to get out of it(based on its 5.5billion contract).
4+% of progress had been registered so far, would everybody be happy to change everything from start(with new partner). If not saying not possible, perhaps at this point, the "unnamed sources" is not happy with gkent for sure..lolx
Remember what Philip wrote: So instead of Gkent is allowed to use a better subcon the political reality is Prasarana want to boot out Gkent.
Apr 6, 2020 2:41 PM | Report Abuse
If you look at 2017, you already the figures that were coming into Gkent from lrt3 progress claims. After it was stopped in 2018 and revised to change them into main contractor instead of PDP partner. You can see the EARNINGS drop. Meaning the difference should be coming in from LRT3 progress claims. Now those claims were not cancelled, only delayed as per revised redesign of systems.
Now that all those progress claims for work done have been submitted and received to begin in 2020(48% completion), you will begin to see more revenue and earnings resolution from lrt3.
In any case, as a PDP partner their profit was capped at 6% of the project size previously,
But gkent/mrcb is required to accept bigger risk as a fixed contract supplier instead of PDP partner. So they are allowed to use better subcons( no longer BN crony company sub like IJM), but hire specialist companies ( like the one I used to work for before retiring) who can give better price and do directly instead of sub sub like a standard bumiputera company.
I believe their profit margins will be in the range of 1.2 billion or 10% of the contract, similar to standard main contractor margins.
Meaning Gkent earnings will be around 50% of the JV, 600 million divided by 5 years, with a safer number similar to pre-najib lrt3 fees of 60-80 million a year.
Of course with PDP structure Kent took zero risk, as their fees were based on contract value. With new structure more risk, direct control as main con, better profit margins.
And if you believe that gkent used to be valued at rm4 reflecting the results? Knowing that lrt3 is still continuing and full payment guaranteed by federal government?
Don't sell, hold, wait for Q3'20 result first. Prasarana may compensate Gkent with a lot of money and in return Gkent could use the money to provide better dividend for shareholder.
the LRT3 was awarded to MRCB George Kent Sdn Bhd as an entity. prasana cannot just remove GK alone. they have to remove MRCB GK S/B. then that would be wrongful termination unless prasana has good ground
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skc761103
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Posted by skc761103 > 2020-12-09 22:03 | Report Abuse
Unlikely