To diversify from cyclic business, can take a look at MCement's parent YTL Corp which will benefit from surging earnings from MCement and rebounding hotel business in Japan, Australia, Singapore and Malaysia
Price risk The domestic cement market was liberalised on 5 June 2008 by the Ministry of Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs after numerous dialogue sessions with industry participants and other stakeholders. With this liberalisation, cement is no longer classified as a strategic industry and the cement selling price is now determined by market forces and regulated by Anti-Profiteering Act and Competition Act (MyCC) to prevent collusion.
We are cautiously optimistic that the solid dynamics of the Group’s main markets remain intact and the key growth drivers, including infrastructure requirements and demand for housing from urbanisation will continue to underpin demand growth in the longer term. The consolidation of MCB and YTL Cement’s cement and ready-mixed businesses in Malaysia has bolstered the effectiveness and efficiency of MCB’s operations. Our ability to deliver seamless solutions to our customers bodes well for the outlook of MCB and the industry going forward.
In 2019 YTL Cement acquired the company from Lafarge at RM3.75 per share. At the time of acquisition, the company already experienced 10 continuous quarters of losses. Right now the company is in a much better position.
The rating affirmation on MCement by RAM is well expected as MCement is in a much stronger position now after incorporating the cement business of YTL Cement, which collectively control 65% of the cement market in Peninsular.
With minimum capex going forward but strong operating cashflows, MCement will be able to pare down debts quickly or pay high dividends to its parent YTL Corp. With its credit rating reaffirmed by RAM now, MCement will choose to dividend out more once satisfying the debt cover ratio.
Maintain BUY, TP: RM2.78. Maintain BUY with unchanged TP of RM2.78. Our TP is derived based on fully diluted target P/B multiple of 0.87x based on c.50% discount to 10 year P/B average (implies -1.5SD to 10 year mean). MCement trades at a depressed P/B multiple of 0.54x (more than -2SD below 10 year mean) implying most negatives are priced in. Downside risks: higher interest rates, mega project cancellations, prolonged high coal/electricity costs.
Source: Hong Leong Investment Bank Research - 24 Feb 2023
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During five years of share price growth, Malayan Cement Berhad moved from a loss to profitability. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining.
murah murah sapu mcement sebelum ia kian bertumbuh ekoran pembukaan ekonomi kita secara total
On May 2, YTL Cement entered into a sales and purchase agreement with Associated International Cement Ltd for the acquisition of 433.34 million shares, or a 51% stake, in Malayan Cement for RM1.63 billion or RM3.75 per share.
Following the acquisition, YTL Cement was also required to extend the offer to the rest of the shareholders of Malayan Cement to buy the remaining 416.35 million shares at the same price.
The mandatory offer, which closed on June 13, saw 220.72 million shares accepted, with YTL Cement holding a 77% stake in Malayan Cement.
“The acquisition is expected to deliver operational efficiencies in logistics, distribution, and procurement; and cost synergies realised from economies of scale, and elimination of duplicated functions and corporate overheads; which would contribute positively to future earnings and cash flows of the enlarged YTL Cement group,” says Maybank IB.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
investortrader88
3,233 posts
Posted by investortrader88 > 2022-01-04 15:36 | Report Abuse
Managed to get some tickets at RM2.38 from my queue.good luck guys.