Base on international the wastepaper row material at lower price and the corrugate box selling price stay at higher price. So muda should be get good coming quarter report vs previous quarter report.
The management of Muda is clever & intelligent .They will quietly to collect the share from the bottom and sell to those like to chase high buddy 3.0+..
Like last quarter the management has known that the market is aiming their good year end result, many goreng kaki had collected the share early , therefore,even-though they had lower down the material cost to increase the profit, but they finally add up the re-valuation fee in order to reduce the profit in term of yoy , so that goreng kaki unable to goreng the price...
But now, seem TY**P is not aiming the share openly, therefore just waiting their good result coming.Especially the waste paper index price is getting lower & lower compare to last year. And in their annual report also had stated they confident to remain profitable year in 2019. Therefore, dont simply throw your golden chick to other. Be patience , normally at the end of May will see the move.
Muda Holding margins should improve further given the increasing industrial paper price (which is the main revenue component) and the decreasing waste paper price ( which is the main cost component).
The reason for these are mainly due to China's government stringent import criteria of waste paper products imposed since July 2017. The affects of these new policy changes by China governments are:
1) A drop in demand of waste paper especially for wastepaper coming from the US and Europe. This resulted in US and Europe waste paper looking for other markets besides china of which most of the waste paper ends up in the Asian market (Malaysia included). This resulted in a sudden high supply of waste paper in the global market which resulted in the falling price of the raw material.
2) Closure of paper mills in China due to difficulties of getting supply of waste paper into the country. This has resulted in the sudden fall of industrial paper in the China market which indirectly increase the price of industrial paper in China. Other paper mills in Asian that used to serves market like Malaysia decides to go to China instead as it would command better profit margins and higher volume. This reduces supply of industrial paper in other markets including Malaysia which resulted in the increase of price of the product (in tandem with other market price).
Another event that had contributed to the fall in waste paper price is the China government decision to imposed a 25% import tariff on waste paper coming from the US.
In conclusion the change of policy by the chinese government has indirectly improved the business environment of Muda Holdings.
At the current price and assuming a target profit of RM100mil for FY19, the company is currently only trading at a forward PE of 5.5x. PB is currently trading at 0.6x.
Once the company have bright for future, many shareholder will confident to hold more...Like if u know A company is good in future, it is strongly believe that u will buy more share in order to get the juicy earning laterly..
somemore, many company's 30 top shareholders also obtained about 80% of total shares and 20% at market...for example, car#m##...Actually, It is normal case..
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Redpeople
270 posts
Posted by Redpeople > 2019-04-30 00:04 | Report Abuse
high dividend so far these 3 years