March 5): Stagnating production and dwindling stockpiles will underpin palm oil prices relative to other edible oils in the near term, according to veteran trader Dorab Mistry.
Production in top grower Indonesia may fall by at least a million tons in 2024, while Malaysian output could remain flat, said Mistry, a director at Godrej International Ltd. The trend is likely to last at least five years, as the industry contends with ageing trees, erratic weather and little improvement in farming practices, he said in an interview.
“I think you have to be reasonably bullish on all oils, but particularly palm,” due to output constraints, he said on the sidelines of the Palm & Lauric Oils Price Outlook Conference in Kuala Lumpur. While production of other oilseeds is set to climb this year, “palm is unfortunately the laggard”, he said.
These supply problems are upsetting the hefty discount palm typically has to alternative oils. The tropical oil is trading at a premium to soybean oil and sunflower oil in some markets, an unusual phenomenon that’s set to continue until around October when palm production seasonally peaks, said Mistry, who has traded vegetable oils for decades.
Benchmark palm oil futures have risen about 6% this year and traded at RM3,942 a ton on Tuesday in Kuala Lumpur
Jayatiasa should start stingless bee farm, which require minimal investment: > bee hive cost rm100 in unit (basically consist of wood plank > bee work for free, and they only required unpolluted environment, which jayatiasa huge forrestry also has that > bee hive management and harvesting is also not labour intensive On top of that > bee increase pollination of plants, which is good for environment.
Here's an article on RH Bee Farm (RH stands for rimbunan hijau, mother company of Jayatiasa) https://vulcanpost.com/742509/kelulut-stingless-bee-honey-farm-malaysia/ " Currently, R H Bee Farms has less than 20 beekeepers with over 7,000 bee hives, whereas Bayu Kelulut has 4,000 bee hives. Both these farms are supported by MARDI and MATRADE in R&D and overseas market penetration respectively. As of now, both these farms export to Asian countries like China, Hong Kong, Japan, Taiwan, and Singapore."
Regretted selling when price down before Q4 results out as it was very late in announcing. Buying again as CPO physical as well as Futures price is around RM4000 !! Will be making tons of money from peak production of Trees. Worth a try, no risk no gain. OTB likes All Time High shares, and the price now highest for quite some time. !! Low PE for CPO shares !!
Dorab Mistry's prediction at POC2024 Shangri-la Hotel Kuala Lumpur
Stagnating production and dwindling stockpiles will underpin palm oil prices relative to other edible oils in the near term, according to veteran trader Dorab Mistry.
Production in top grower Indonesia may fall by at least a million tons in 2024, while Malaysian output could remain flat, said Mistry, a director at Godrej International Ltd. The trend is likely to last at least five years, as the industry contends with ageing trees, erratic weather and little improvement in farming practices, he said in an interview.
“I think you have to be reasonably bullish on all oils, but particularly palm,” due to output constraints, he said on the sidelines of the Palm & Lauric Oils Price Outlook Conference in Kuala Lumpur. While production of other oilseeds is set to climb this year, “palm is unfortunately the laggard”, he said
Pretty sure Jtiasa will hit RM3.50 At RM3.50, Jtiasa's market cap would be around 4 billion MYR. UTDPLT's market cap is 9.78 billion MYR. Insane upside
Lots of traders from Saudi Arabia/UK attended the POC 2024 conference which ended today. Heard that the conference received the highest number of participants since 2010.
Vege oil traders from Trafigura/Syngenta (biggest commodity trading houses in EU) attended also. But whether or not FCPO hit Dorab's price target is another story.
Keep this stock in your portfolio until end of year and you will see Jtiasa hit RM3.50 Cause hot money has nowhere to go except into mid caps like Jtiasa and UTDPLT
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
calvintaneng
56,552 posts
Posted by calvintaneng > 2024-03-05 13:54 |
Post removed.Why?