The current price is high enough to allow decent profit-taking by short-term investors, while low enough to allow accumulation by long-haul investors for handsome gains over long run.
1) Increasing revenue; 2) PBT of RM110mil (more than my estimated RM90mil) before fair value changes in biological assets; 3) Fair value changes in biological assets relates to timber and not palm oil (expected as to get fair value for forestry, it depends on the yield, and since the company shifted focus to concentrate on palm oil in 2023, there will be a write down), however this is only paper loss; 4) There might be a reversal in write down as timber production starts to pick up again; 5) Huge operating cashflows; 6) Reducing finance costs; 7) Increasing dividend payout
Can keep for long term with a TP of RM1.40-1.50 at end of 2024 (with an expected larger increase in dividend for 2H)
Finally, Jtiasa has turned into a net cash company. The company can save another RM 20m in interest expense from paying off all loans or earn interest from the banks on its excess cash.
Jtiasa is the darling stock of foreign funds 30 years ago. It was a blue chip and the share price is > 10.00. I cannot understand the reason the share price is so cheap now. Likewise, WTK.
Logging and plywood were great businesses 30 years ago when timber concessions were easy to get and environmental issues not of great concern. Those very profitable heydays are gone now for JTiasa and WTK. Their timber divisions lost money the last 5 years and have been continually downsized. Many small independent plywood factories have closed down. The move into oil palm plantation was a life saving diversification.
OTB , if you are that old you should know. Back then timber stocks are high flying due to demand of timber from japan...and rising log prices.... so back then several stocks like aokam , they call it "black gold" shoot up.. so was other timber stocks also.. but this is purely due to "goreng"...
Hush77, Yes. I remember the old story. I bought WTK (Old name Samanda) around 2.00 and sold at 18.00 when Joseph Chong is pushing this stock. Thank you.
Jtiasa have started to diversify into palm oil 14 yrs ago, it take 14 yrs to plant the 69k Hecate, costing almost 2 bil +…it is a huge effort and long journey. With limited land now, no one can do this again. Expecting it will be another blue chip plantation stocks soon.
OTB Hush77, Yes. I remember the old story. I bought WTK (Old name Samanda) around 2.00 and sold at 18.00 when Joseph Chong is pushing this stock. Thank you.
i am happy for the gurus who manage to spot counters at RM2 and then sold at RM18.00. Good for you. I am more interested to hear from gurus who screw up big time and lost their pants on one wrong stock. If only they are willing to share so that I can learn from their mistakes. tq
Technically if you draw uptrend channel of Jtiasa, a few day back it drop below bottom channel at around 1.22, today with strong come back to the channel and you may see ceiling of the channel at around 1.47
Jtiasa is in the best position for huge cash flow coming yrs among the plantation stocks. Forget other plantation stock like SOP or TSH which has either fully value or limited upside.
Where JTiasa goes from here depends on its BOD. All the ingredients are there for the development of a good plantation company well respected by its peers and stakeholders. Looking back 10 years, JTiasa at 1.28 still stands at half price its 2014 price whereas TaAnn at 3.69 is double its 2014 price. That is a world of difference. The main reason for the wide divergence? How these companies, engaged in similar businesses, are managed ; and how they are perceived by investors and stakeholders. JTiasa has a long way to go in this respect but has made a positive start by increasing dividends. Investors must feel they are given a fair shake, not taken for a ride.
By Surin Murugiah | theedgemalaysia.com | 2024-03-04 07:57:15 KUALA LUMPUR (March 4): RHB Retail Research said Jaya Tiasa Holdings Bhd has formed a bullish setup after breaking past the resistance on strong volume.
In a trading stocks note last Friday, the research house said the counter jumped above the RM1.23 resistance to form a bullish candlestick.
It noted that the 21-day simple moving average line is pointing upwards, indicating that the underlying trend remains bullish.
“The counter should trend upwards and head for RM1.35, followed by RM1.48.
“Meanwhile, falling below the RM1.17 support will nullify the bullish setup,” it said.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Ytl2023
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Posted by Ytl2023 > 2024-03-01 09:14 | Report Abuse
Pls do come back after eat few days of medicine