one more important things is,the company grows every year since 2003, except for year 2009. property business contributes mainly in its earning because of its high profit margin.. i aint too sure on property business.. someone willing to share something? thanks
will hold on until first 20% declared dividen expire on 30/10. Thereafter will shot down to its support level at 4.60 until another 18% declared dividen expires in Jan 2014. Just prediction....
make some n switch counter to kseng which offers more exciting potentials esp its hidden treasure land assets in n around Iskandar region not to be missed?
20% dividend means what? how to calculate? lets say i have 1000 units of Scientex... the par value is RM0.50... means the dividend $$ that i will get = 20% x 0.50 x 1000 = RM100 ?
TP 12.00 in 5 years, PJ Lim mentioned size is important and double its revenue and profit, a very clear direction for its senior management team achieve it and proposed ESOS for its employees as reward and same direction. long term investment. ^^
Scientx should reach sky high one day given that its EPS is 51.04 cts PE 11.70 div 26 cts div yield 4.63% NTAB 2.84 Charts uptrend now ....how far it may go is anyone guess! Trade with de;igent is the motto..
TP will double sooner than 5 yrs time coz its business vol had surpassed 1.2 B already . If double this coming yr , u may see the price up at least extra 2/3 or double in the more positive note. This is really a growth stock by looking at the previous charts....
scientx performed better than kseng in its earnings . Another plus factor is its dividend has been increasing all the times . another 19% in the offing in the coming Jan 2014 disclosed much earlier in 2013. So its price is much cheaper than kseng ....which will be a star contender in 2014.
anything might happen coz our Bursa is too high ? When u r in trade , do calculate how much u may tolerate the hidden risks as well before plunging into the seas of sharks! Can be considered as advice if u preferred to!
Co is making money but price falls? Revenues 1.352 billion Net Profit 115.244 mi EPS 52.74 cts/51.04 cts PE 10.96/11.45 Div 26/26 DY 4.74/4.74 NAB 2.88/2.84 Tp 6.28 by Kenanga !
This company has an outstanding management team that is laser focused on growing its market share and top line, as well as continuously generates shareholder's wealth in the long term. The management has a target to double it's market cap (which also means share price) in the next 5 years. They payout good dividend too.
However, the stock price has been moving down trend in recent weeks from the high of RM5.70 to RM5.00 today. Is this a buying opportunity for investors?
Here are the few things that I will pay attention to for this company: 1. Debt level: The management team has chosen to increase its debt leverage following the acquisition of Great Wall Plastic at the end of 2012 to early 2013. Although the debt level is at manageable level and could provide tax benefit to the company, I expect the debt level to maintain at this level or even better if it is being reduced gradually using internally generated funds. This move will help reduce financial distress risk the company face when global interest rates gradually rise in 2014 (including Malaysia) as well as if sales of its property business does not perform as good as the company expected.
2. Profit margin: The venture into the food packaging business will provide higher profit margin for the company. The ability to maintain (or even increase) profit margin is crucial to the company's manufacturing business. Further improvement in this area is a good indicator of the management's ability (and hence management quality) in harvesting the synergy generated from the Great Wall Plastic acquisition.
3. Sales from Property Business: One of the thing that I like about Scientex is that the business itself is somewhat diversified - Manufacturing & Property. With the cooling measures to the property sector announced by the Malaysian federal government in Budget 2014, it is crucial to monitor the Revenue growth in the company's property business arm to see if it is affected by this measure.
With the LIM family recent acquisitions of the company's stock, it gives investors some confidence that the company is doing well and is still on track to meet its goal of doubling its share price in 5 years time. We'll see in the next quarterly financial report release.
keanpoh, care to enlighten on 2 things :- 1. How much from the PBT is contributed from property vs packaging 2. How does its margins in the packaging side compare to say Thong Guan ?
You can always look at contribution from property and manufacturing of Scientex from the notes to each financial reports.
According to its Annual Report 2013, page 157: Revenue from Manufacturing = RM 918,846,809 Revenue from Property = RM310,197,804 Segment Profit from Manufacturing = RM57,267,927 Segment Profit from Property = RM98,340,370
The company did not state separately what is the PBT for individual business segment but is lumped together for the entire group. But from the information above, we can quickly see that its manufacturing business contributes to lower Segment Profit Margin than the property business (6.23% vs 31.7%).
These margins can be compared with its own 2012 result, which is 5.81% vs 29.49%.
A quick look at TGUAN EBIT based on data from Bloomberg: FY2012 = 4.66% Q3 FY2013 = 7.08%
However, we are not comparing Apple to Apple here simply because different sets of information are used and both companies do not produce exactly the same kind of products.
The information provided above can just be used as a quick reference only.
Thanks KeanPoh. I have not looked into detail but I am interested in this company. I think a sum of parts valuation makes more sense to value Scientx because of its 2 diverse businesses. I would use different industry average PE or EV/EBIT from property and packaging companies as a guideline and apply the necessary premiums or discount to that industry average depending on SCIENTX efficiency / growth.
Posted by kcchongnz > Jan 27, 2014 05:58 PM | Report Abuse
Scientex has very good growth after acquisition of GW Plastic and became one of the world's leaders in industrial packaging. So at RM5.04, the PE and EV/Ebit of about 10 is attractive. This business will take over its property development as a major earner very soon.
Using a super-abnormal growth assumption of 10%-12% for the next 5 years, the average intrinsic value I got for Scientex is about RM7.00. I think it may worth more than this in vies of its growth and heaps of FCF.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ipomember
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Posted by ipomember > 2013-09-27 12:51 | Report Abuse
one more important things is,the company grows every year since 2003, except for year 2009. property business contributes mainly in its earning because of its high profit margin.. i aint too sure on property business.. someone willing to share something? thanks