MIECO CHIPBOARD BHD

KLSE (MYR): MIECO (5001)

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Last Price

0.675

Today's Change

0.00 (0.00%)

Day's Change

0.675 - 0.68

Trading Volume

1,095,900


8 people like this.

3,358 comment(s). Last comment by ddd ccc 2024-04-02 11:07

77huat77

1,782 posts

Posted by 77huat77 > 2015-10-22 10:51 | Report Abuse

Selling pressure very strong

Lim

334 posts

Posted by Lim > 2015-10-22 17:03 | Report Abuse

closing higher and higher

Lim Xiong Jun

6,929 posts

Posted by Lim Xiong Jun > 2015-10-22 23:21 | Report Abuse

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-10-22/existing-u-s-home-sales-rise-to-second-highest-level-since-2007
With US home sales to a record high & appreciation of USD, no chance Mieco can't surge pass RM1.20, I think RM2 also achievable next year.
Cheer!!!
=)

Posted by BearbearDrop > 2015-10-22 23:41 | Report Abuse

I will sell the unproductive property as well
It is a waste of resource and time to keep them for another few years to grow grass

77huat77

1,782 posts

Posted by 77huat77 > 2015-10-23 10:02 | Report Abuse

People selling wait for 2016 budget confirmation ..

Posted by kokchengkai > 2015-10-26 12:05 | Report Abuse

tday jump to 1.12..strong backup at 1.07

certified

265 posts

Posted by certified > 2015-10-27 01:15 | Report Abuse

Sleeping srill

77huat77

1,782 posts

Posted by 77huat77 > 2015-10-27 09:59 | Report Abuse

Will klci index drop below 1700 ? Gan jiong bearish market formed again

Posted by kokchengkai > 2015-10-28 16:13 | Report Abuse

wau..stay strong in 1.10...im guess most of ppl here oledi sell at 1.07

Lim Xiong Jun

6,929 posts

Posted by Lim Xiong Jun > 2015-10-28 16:26 | Report Abuse

Walao, I cut loss at RM1.07, now hit RM1.11.
Sienz...

ccp78789

201 posts

Posted by ccp78789 > 2015-10-28 17:17 | Report Abuse

my cost at 1.05 bought long time ago..lucky didnt cut loss last time..

papaya

3,086 posts

Posted by papaya > 2015-10-28 17:27 | Report Abuse

meico still in bullish trend and trending up.....next month qr coming out...expected to be good....any weakness...opportunity to buy .....hold guys...you'll reward...

bracoli

2,579 posts

Posted by bracoli > 2015-10-28 20:35 | Report Abuse

tp 1.78.

samyew1234

1,362 posts

Posted by samyew1234 > 2015-10-29 17:25 | Report Abuse

Some of the customers from Hevea is now switching to Mieco as the production line is at full capacity d

sarahdeaton

1,609 posts

Posted by sarahdeaton > 2015-10-29 17:42 | Report Abuse

huh, how u noe? i thought i am the only one who noe this. WTH..WHO TOLD U DE???

bracoli

2,579 posts

Posted by bracoli > 2015-10-29 17:59 | Report Abuse

hahaha sarah so funny

funitec

639 posts

Posted by funitec > 2015-10-30 10:29 | Report Abuse

tried to buy 1.09..... yesterday once more. ran away to 1.10 n 1.11. Today .....?

funitec

639 posts

Posted by funitec > 2015-10-30 11:33 | Report Abuse

No more overbought. Now in oversold region.... so!( comment on above reviews).Good export trade. US currency!!

ykinvestor

586 posts

Posted by ykinvestor > 2015-10-30 16:35 | Report Abuse

The Homeriz lastest Q4 earnings up 28 %(see pg5 of the dailyedge page http://tefd.theedgemarkets.com/2015/FDsetia/FDsetia_20151030cvx0e0.pdf)
This is an indication that other furniture related stocks such as Hevea and Mieco should do very well in the coming qtr results.

Mieco's last qtr EPS was 3.21 cents so the coming qtr EPS should be over 4 cents.
Thus the conservative estimated whole year EPS = 4 X 4 = 16 cents. Based on PE of 10, the FV/TP for Mieco is RM1.60 at least.
HLBank Research has already used PE of 11x to get Homeriz's its FV/TP http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/hleresearch/85357.jsp)
If PE of 11x is used for Mieco, its current year FV/TP should be RM1.76

At the current price of RM1.12, Mieco's current PE is 7 only, probably the CHEAPEST among the furniture related stocks.
Hevea has a PE of near 10 based on the current whole FY EPS so should Mieco too which means its price should be near RM1.60 or RM1.70 by now.

People with longer term in view should collect it as it has 57 % return upside from the current level based on the current year EPS and some more its PE is on 7.
Mieco is the next Hevea !!

bracoli

2,579 posts

Posted by bracoli > 2015-11-01 00:41 | Report Abuse

mieco turn around profit became positive on yr 2014.. its a good sign...

snake_eye

958 posts

Posted by snake_eye > 2015-11-01 11:51 | Report Abuse

mieco going to break new high this week..watch out...

Icon8888

18,658 posts

Posted by Icon8888 > 2015-11-01 14:50 | Report Abuse

150 TP

77huat77

1,782 posts

Posted by 77huat77 > 2015-11-01 17:10 | Report Abuse

This month is the quarter report month !!!!huat la

paperplane2

3,235 posts

Posted by paperplane2 > 2015-11-01 21:01 | Report Abuse

Run for Ur life

samyew1234

1,362 posts

Posted by samyew1234 > 2015-11-01 23:25 | Report Abuse

If Hevea latest q result is so good, and now some of the customers of Hevea place order with Meico, I don't see why the coming q result for Mieco will not be good, Hevea has surged more than 500% from less than RM1, I don't see RM2 for Meico is not unreasonable

funitec

639 posts

Posted by funitec > 2015-11-02 12:34 | Report Abuse

Agree.Still Uptrend.Technically... after Results... Good bisznes model :exporter. Foreign Currency earnings.

kevin008

1,360 posts

Posted by kevin008 > 2015-11-02 20:32 | Report Abuse

fast fast break 1.16 hahaha

funitec

639 posts

Posted by funitec > 2015-11-02 22:42 | Report Abuse

Fly Robin Fly...... Not your Zip lah. Did Robin leave the fly open or... Did Robin fly away.....Hee hee!

Posted by kokchengkai > 2015-11-03 10:35 | Report Abuse

tis volume not like goreng by retailer...faster buy in before newspaper or finance magazine comment sumthing ...when news come out mean timeto sell

ykinvestor

586 posts

Posted by ykinvestor > 2015-11-03 11:29 | Report Abuse

Shh, Evergreen and even Pohuat have moved, Mieco has become a laggard with cheap PE

Posted by kokchengkai > 2015-11-03 16:05 | Report Abuse

PE10 is reasonable price for 2015.

funitec

639 posts

Posted by funitec > 2015-11-04 13:23 | Report Abuse

From Quarterly Results: profit increse: 1.98 times
Earnings increase: 2.23 times
asset Increase : 1.03 times
yummy at this price.: Planning to increase Capacity n sales in 2016: from reports. This plane got a little tech problem. Peoples confidence issue...Export in US currency quote? Anybody knows how they are quoting their sales price? In RM or USD? I believe all exports in US currency.

funitec

639 posts

Posted by funitec > 2015-11-04 13:24 | Report Abuse

Sorry Technical problem not meant as insult to anyone.

77huat77

1,782 posts

Posted by 77huat77 > 2015-11-05 12:01 | Report Abuse

Very strong resistance

nickychang

125 posts

Posted by nickychang > 2015-11-05 22:47 | Report Abuse

previously 1.12 push to 1.17+ need huge volume, but currently little volume already pushed to 1.17. means banker already collected enough bullets and take control. easily push the price up . ready to break resistance. rm100-200k can push up 1 cent, index rebounded strongly these few days. market volume still remain high. investor mood is getting better, is time to pushhhh up~

nickychang

125 posts

Posted by nickychang > 2015-11-07 00:07 | Report Abuse

journey to west jo? holland jo cannot break 1.17. =(

Icon8888

18,658 posts

Posted by Icon8888 > 2015-11-07 08:40 | Report Abuse

For a stock with that kind of earnings and sexy industry they are in now, the share price has been very lethargic

nickychang

125 posts

Posted by nickychang > 2015-11-09 00:24 | Report Abuse

agree with you icon, while comparing this stock with hevea & evergreen, this stock PE is lower, and company strong in generating cash flow ,company intend to lower down debt. finance cost will drop in future, meaning in future can earn more =) company able to generate enough cash flow to deleverage.

in term of product quality, i have confident on it , just did some on market expirement couple weeks ago.
i went to XXX furniture factory outlet, they keep persuade me to use MELAMINE fiber board as main material to build my kitchen cabinet & wardrobe . According to the sales person. this material is slightly expensive than normal chipboard. However, market is demanding. (real wood feel & high density & able to tahan scratch) Since this company business is focusing to provide material to domestic furniture export company, mostly to western country. maybe they are demanding this kind of material rather than just a normal MDF board. potential to getting more business in future?

company with strong cash flow,able & intend to deleverage.
new plant able to lower down operating cost
lower PE than same industry player
still have capacity to manufacture more ( while getting new order, produce more, economic of scale, lead to higher profit margin, generate more cash> deleverage again> earn more again)
i can conclude that.....

macro , is positive to this industry,
micro , company have competitive advantage compare with industry player
market , PE is lower than other chipboard business, ROE not bad, below NTA, great potential stock. apa tunggu? if you want to start a chipboard business, this counter give you alot of discount. i tunggu jatuh abit more, then all in, haha, technically ,does not look great, tak boleh break resistance, however, volume still there, got hope. but maybe can collect at lower price. perhaps got chance to let me collect last round before its journey to north?

nickychang

125 posts

Posted by nickychang > 2015-11-09 00:26 | Report Abuse

i do not know much in technical and accounting. just my point of business view. =)

nickychang

125 posts

Posted by nickychang > 2015-11-10 18:24 | Report Abuse

this industry is quite similar with semi-conductor. when eco good, manufacturer keep buying new machine and increase output capacity, when reached a certain level, it will be slowdown and jorney to holland. fiberboard manufacturer cant expect this fate as well. Timeline, 2000's expansion > 2008 eco slow, 2009>start killing some this industrial player, 2011-2013 officially many player holland, lowering down output >2014 start recovering> 2015 onwards will it be good? lets see.

it shows good sign of recovering, If US keep recovering, USD will increase, more business opportunity for this company. if us drop back, all fund coming back to emerging market, this kind of undervalue stock have potential to become one of their target stock. Therefore, no matter in what circumstances, this company give me a feel like "sure win counter" but its just a question, when to buy.
One important thing to highlight, US citizen spent less in oil price, this will enhance their pocket money, more money to buy other things. home consumption and furniture got hope. not only us, all oil importer around the world actually benefited.

Management team quality, i just dig out few yrs report and see how they managing the company during downturn. they still alive. the bad time was past, now they are harvesting the fruit. during badtime, management did a lot effort to cut cost, plant relocation, sell land, employ a team to enhance efficiency, its a proven record , i believe this management team. Never meet them, dont know the real. just my gut feeling.

Debts , did you all aware of something?latest quarter this company profit just few million, but able to payoff 10m debts. where to get money? cash flow, depreciate alot (depreciate saja, cash masih masuk). can see this company is eager to settled off their debts (currently their debts carrying almost 6% p.a interest) i believe before end of 2016, company can fully settle off the debts and start paying interest in 2017(sin+lan). if able to clear 50m ,it can save 3m per year. improve EPS :1.5cents. What if it become debtless? Eps:3cents,(low chances)

Profit Margin, if you know some rubber estate owner, please ask them, sei mei, boleh cari makan tak. in coming years, rubber no price, estate owner chop down the tree, raw material supply will increase maybe will become cheaper or maintain (because demand also increase), GLUE price tak payar cakap, sure drop because oil price holland already. this company focusing on value added products, profit margin will be increase if operation efficiency improve(plant 3 only running on 60% capacity, what if getting more order? margin increase la brother.)


at latest financial quarter, knowing that the land semambu sold, all the machinery is going to transfer back to other plant. now they started the ground work already, machine sudah ada, if the management no confident on getting more business, they dont need to spent so money to start the ground work. very simple, bring back the machine, if its order increase, jalan saja, no order, nothing to lose. but i believe management will take this opportunity to make the production more efficiency.Hence improve efficiency.

Opportunity> 2013 got 45m+ non cash write off, management macam minta board to recover some portion, might give you surprise earning in future? just leave it, it if does, its a bonus.

This company is like hidden gem. its a little bit cyclical, is this a good time to collect? macam ada sign nak reverse. for me, paying rm1.1 to buy a company with NTA RM1.3. u go buy hevea, paying hevea rm1.35 to buy 0.70 assets, u paying SHH 2.4 to buy NTA1.6. you paying everg 2.34 to buy 1.7? paying pohua 1.6 to buy 0.92? paying Liihe 2.72 to buy 1.14? important point is, many investor paying almost 1.5 to 2times NTA for similar industry business. but you are only paying MIECO 0.8times...mana carila abang. command sense. therefore i project in future, once people spotted this counter, i can see people paying 1.5times for this counter, when it become famous. if 1.5times, meaning can reach 1.8? i dont know.

i have bought it average on 1.15. what about you? previously bought at 0.4x, drop to 3x cents cut lost....god dam. i admit im wrong. i dare to buy back at high after reading its company. what about you? im not stock promoter, just sharing info.
Rectify me if im wrong. =)
sorry for my rojak language. thats me, my style haha. i dont know how to write it professional, because im not. im just sin+lin gam and like to talk story. haha.

nickychang

125 posts

Posted by nickychang > 2015-11-10 18:32 | Report Abuse

sorry, just read again my comment, many wrong words. nvm la as long as you can read it. just my point of view ya, dont tarok me , i dont meant to criticize on other stock, obviously this is a hidden gem. a sleeping monster, once wake up,hohoho. hope im not wrong, if not i will holland too.

bracoli

2,579 posts

Posted by bracoli > 2015-11-10 21:17 | Report Abuse

brader chill ok.

Ooi Teik Bee

11,481 posts

Posted by Ooi Teik Bee > 2015-11-10 21:23 | Report Abuse

Dear nickychang,

I buy your story. Good write up. Please continue to share your research.
Thank you.

Posted by BearbearDrop > 2015-11-10 22:14 | Report Abuse

Vague research
It has some good point to take notes
The problem will still be the huge debt that concerning everyone

nickychang

125 posts

Posted by nickychang > 2015-11-10 22:24 | Report Abuse

im poor in close up.i just write anything pop out in my mind after reading all the reports. just want to highlight some point. hope you all can grab the good one, neglect my poor writing . thanks you.

RosmahMansur

2,870 posts

Posted by RosmahMansur > 2015-11-10 22:28 | Report Abuse

Mieco the cheapest fibreboard stock in Bursa

nickychang

125 posts

Posted by nickychang > 2015-11-10 22:28 | Report Abuse

huge debt is a threat, however management did take action to deleverage, results showed. if manage the threat well, it might be an opportunity? just my point of view, wish the coming quarter reports will not disappoint me.

bluefun

643 posts

Posted by bluefun > 2015-11-10 22:45 | Report Abuse

Hi nicky, thanks for your sharing, good one, keep it up :)

yapie

301 posts

Posted by yapie > 2015-11-10 22:51 | Report Abuse

Nicky nice write up....
don't worry if US not big correction...
Perhaps this should gap up again within this week...
Hope i am correct.....

nickychang

125 posts

Posted by nickychang > 2015-11-10 23:10 | Report Abuse

Thanks mr ooi, yapie,bluefun. =)

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