well this company had been dethroned as the biggest penang based developer by market cap after a few years if not longer. Tambun held that title since yesterday
The research house said that it estimated annualised net earnings contribution of RM29.3 million or 15.2 sen per share from Gurney Paragon Mall, equivalent to 90% of FY12 core earnings of RM32.6 million.
Alliance Research had on May 15 initiated coverage on the Penang-based property developer with a ‘buy’ call and a target price of RM2.62 based on 60% discount to revalued net asset value (RNAV).
no doubt it's good, juz note that 2.62 already a TP base on RNAV, DY history is reasonable only, highly depends on penang economic performance, especially mall
The gap in market cap between tambun and hunza is now a mere 10 million anyway. It can go either way anytime. Hunza cannot rely on Gurney Paragon alone. Their phase 1 food and Beverage mall is finding it hard to compete with their Singaporean big boys next door. Rentals in fact have been reduced to compete with them.
The only other notalble landbank they have is Bukit Jambul in the south. It has been left idle for 3 years due to thier inability to evict squatters(a very senstive issue). The land is promising but the holding cost has alreaady been substansial.
Rental income from Gurney Paragon may be substansial. However, lets hope their singaporean big boys next door do not play the "predatory pricing" game with them, a very common strategy in Singapore and Hong Kong retail market. Not sure when they are going to kickstart the Bukit Jambul project. That site had been idle for years and is probably a more important earnings driver.
Rental income from the mall has to be be good . The company is running out of projects under construction unless they can settle the mess in the bukit jambul land
The private placement doesn't seem to be done yet. It is weird that they fix the price at RM1.80 last Friday when they haven't found the investors. To maximise value for the Company (and hence shareholders), if they fix the price now, they will get at least RM0.20 more per share for the Company
This is quite a substansial discount to its 14 day moving average which is a typical benchmark to price placement. However, the recent rally was fuelled by the excitement of the Gurney Paragon opening anyway.
70 mil in rental income? You gotta be kidding me. Even Pavillion RETI normalized PAT is around 50 mil a year only. In fact, the rental for the Gurney Paragon is even lower than the older Gurney Plaza next door.
"Next year, we target over RM70 million in revenue from rental income," he says, adding that about RM60 million will come from Gurney Paragon Mall. Earnings should kick in six months after the mall's opening on July 23, with contributions to be reflected in Hunza's FY2014 results.
placement done at 1.80? What fireworks? They will be lucky if shares don't go down. The discount is substantial and it represents almost 10% of the share cap. Rental income forecast looks a bit optimistic to me at the moment. The analysts should go and have a look at crowd in the mall itself. Crowd size is not that bad but I was expecting more. Lets not forget that their neighbour next door is the Singapore government who can more than afford to play an attrition game with them.
This stock is highly highly illiquid, for some guys to commit to 10% of the capital at RM1.80, either they are idiots like me or they know something we don't, time will tell....anyway the press has been talking about a whole bunch of new projects in Penang and KL to be launched soon, lets see
Post a Comment
People who like this
New Topic
You should check in on some of those fields below.
Title
Category
Comment
Confirmation
Click Confirm to delete this Forum Thread and all the associated comments.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
lance69
65 posts
Posted by lance69 > 2013-05-13 09:49 | Report Abuse
Is quite clear that Kenanga's analyst sux to the max or they have a grudge with this comp. The price is 1.93 now, didn't see that train coming right?