A higher ROE, which might be stabilised by the ICPT mechanism, should attract wealth-maximising investors to PBA, and the much lower subsidy should drive altruistic investors away from the company; therefore, the net impact on the stock’s valuation will provide insights into the preference of Malaysian investors.
INVESTORS, [2023-12-27 2:08 AM] PBA has 3 catalysts to drive up its stock price as a growth stock; 1) increasing water tariff = increasing ASP to QR PAT 2) more MNC high tech manufacturers r building more n larger factories in Penang 3) Data Centre biz require huge amount of water to cold down their super computers.
PBA is now at daily macd GC pt. it's prompting for price action to new start of MAJOR C. 1st TP at 186 n ++.
the future earning compare to the price now is a good buy..
PBA is purer water stock, in net cash position, operate in monopoly business model which once increase domestic water traffic rate which is lowest rate to eliminate unnational RM 100m subsidy, ROE will surge tremendously. EPS will leap up multifold to 60sen, peg PE 10x, fair price at RM 6 (quote from hng33)
The Sungai Perak project is a long term project that will take eight to 10 years and is dependent on Perak.
"We know we can’t wait forever so we have eight other projects under the Penang Water Contingency Plan 2030 (WCP2030),” he said.
He said PBAPP will be spending RM1.18 billion over the next few years for the WCP2030 to boost an increase of 602MLD of water supply for the state.
Among the projects planned include plans to build an additional water treatment plant (WTP) to extract water from Sungai Muda, a WTP at Mengkuang Dam to be able to use the water stored there and tapping into unutilised water sources such as Sungai Kerian and Sungai Perai.
Chow said some of the projects have already started and are in progress while others are underway.
"We are also laying a 13km of 1,800mm pipelines from Sungai Dua WTP to the Macallum area on the island and to the Bukit Dumbar reservoir so that water supply to the island is through a different pipeline from the pipeline supplying to the mainland,
Don't be silly. PBA is more of a government entity than a public company. They shouldn't be making high profit margin, hence they current rally is unsustainable even with future demands. Likely to cap its profits to serve the people, decent dividend that is all.
Is it fair penang enjoy biggest water user and get cheapest water bill especially penang is dependent on kedah raw water supply and next dependent to perak supply?
personally i think not fair. But that's how they attract the industrial players also. By subsidy, just like how our govt support rakyat using subsidy and to control inflation. It really depends on government own priority and direction. No right or wrong.
@hng33 PBA has been around many years. You must have been adding it to your portfolio recently and hoping you can make a gain from it.
Do bear in mind that without tariff adjustment , PBA earnings will stay where they are. Besides, utility pricing is always under government control and in other words PBA earnings are at the mercy of the provider of the contract or the paymaster.
The argument where price need to increase so it can replace pipe is fraud one. If state govt managed well with so many tax collections, licensing fees etc, why it cant abosrb the cost and get a good, efficient vendornto replace them. State govt shld have the financial capability if managed well. The only reason is just to earn money
public infra in fact should be privatize, because the purpose is always not to earn money and the capex is huge. The only reason the let go is to beautify the govt owned budget, to address things like budget deficit.
The core question is again first: Why govt dont earn enough to cover, which lead to another bigger problem, why our economy never grow to earn so much and govt can cover most expenses like Saudi Arabia?? Which lead to core problem of our country- EDUCTION !!!
i am paying less than Rm10 monthly for my water bill in Penang. very cheap!! 0.22sens per cubit meter. How much is going to increase? if 20% will be less than 5 sens per cubit meter. still cheap!
1 cup "kopi" already nearly rm2. 1 plate "char keow tiow" Rm5-Rm8. 1Roti canai Rm1.50. only these 3 items , can pay 1 month domestic water bill. just sacrifice 1 cup kopi, 1 char keow tiow and 1 roti canai. i think not a problem for many and of course no thanks to Our shrinking ringgit la.....
Don't be silly. PBA is more of a government entity than a public company. They shouldn't be making high profit margin, hence they current rally is unsustainable even with future demands. Likely to cap its profits to serve the people, decent dividend that is all.
Pba, according to Star writer, should be double of 1.30, so target at least above 2.50. So far, the cheapest tariff compared to other States in Malaysia.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ValueInv888
18 posts
Posted by ValueInv888 > 2023-12-29 12:14 | Report Abuse
A higher ROE, which might be stabilised by the ICPT mechanism, should attract wealth-maximising investors to PBA, and the much lower subsidy should drive altruistic investors away from the company; therefore, the net impact on the stock’s valuation will provide insights into the preference of Malaysian investors.
https://klse.i3investor.com/web/blog/detail/neohjiaen/2023-11-24-story-h-214216010-PBA_Holdings_Berhad_The_Aberration_Named_as_CSR