Just buy and hold for good fundamental company and from there you can actually see, with the recent PE, DY and NTA all is so good. Just buy and wait your money return. For the launching a new project .... Now really not a timing . They probably will have plan to launch after Chinese new year.
Huayang issued bonus 1:3 on 10/10/2016 Price Rm1.80/4x3 = Rm1.35 Shares Issued 264m /3 x4 = 352m Assume EPS is 40sen for last quarter report. Now is 40sen/4x3 = 30sen Thus PE is 1.26 / 0.30 = 4.2 Same to NTA 2.14. Current NTA is Rm 565,530,000 / 352m shares = 1.60 PTBV last time is Rm1.8/ 2.14 = 0.84. And current is 0.78 调整过后的 1.26 = 调整前的 1.68 From 1.80 drop to 1.68 (- 6%) 根据以前的数据 价格被低估 已经是具有安全边际 机会来了!! 买入1.26 - 1.28
To me, the result is terrible and I foresee share price will be adjusted down. However I do not plan to let go my holding but prepare to struggle thru the bad time with Huayang. This is not the wise way in investing by staying with the company at bad time.
Even there is drop on EPS, this counter still undervalued. Assume next 3 qr also 6.42 EPS, its PE only 4.87. Potential gain margin still a lot. 6.42 x 4 = 25.68 sen 1.25 / 0.2568 = 4.87
6.42 cts/qtr is before factoring in the latest 1:3 bonus issue. With the latest bonus 1: 3, eps FY17=6.42x4=25.68x3/4=19.26sen. PE @1.25= 1.25/0.1926=6.5.
Comparing to historically PE range of Huayang, 1.25 is NOT cheap. Potential gain is very marginal.
Management did stress that they will try to sustain DPO at 25-30%. Thus the expected dividend for next year is 19.26 x 27.5%= 5.3 cent only which is equivalent to 4.2% yield.
We can easily find few property counters flare better than Huayang at this valuation.
Being said that, I still will not sell my holding in Huayang but I strongly will not add any at this price. I also do not encourage new investors buying Huayang at this price at the current market condition.
6.42cents is the result ended at 30Sep16 whereas bonus was ex in Oct16. You can get an official info about eps and # of shares from BursaMalaysia.com instead of relying on i3 which is just a public forum not accountable for accuracy of its info.
It is not right too to adjust numbers ended at 30sep16 with the enlarged number of shares taking place only in Oct16 after bonus issue. You will see all numbers being adjusted in the next qtr report in Jan17.
Property stock cannot value it by NTA 1.65 because most of the assets are land and property. The EPS already drop due to market slowdown and bonus issued.
Just need to change strategy during rain time!!! If possible, you got capital to backup, I do suggest let the fish swimmmmm first.... and decide to buy in more ... when the price move sideway. Because currently we really don't know where is Hua Yang Supporting Line!!! As this company don't practice on Share Buy Back as well...
Yea, wondering why people not buy Huayang at RM1.23 but buy Gamuda at RM4.9 that has higher PE, lower ROE, lower div yield, lower EPS. The only better point, i.e. Gamuda is more stable.
Like it or not HuaYang still profitable. Many higher price stocks(eg DRB, E&O) cannot match HY EPS. PE still single digit(annualised) base on latest QR.
My answer and template is in the blog, just have a look and you know what is going on. For me, I think we need to hold and collect good company when the price is low and people irrational throwing. Cheers, Mate!
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
WiseVictor
148 posts
Posted by WiseVictor > 2016-10-20 11:26 | Report Abuse
PE so low is correct. This counter is much better if compare their EPS with those big developer.