No problem my friend. Just be accountable and following up from the earlier comments. Perhaps some brave soldiers have entered during 0.45-0.47. The target remains 15-20% returns. This is what we called short technical rebound from the lowest with upcoming positive news with low volume. Not sure where is this heading but supporting level must have to be solid first. Volume is also one of the important factor. There are different group of investors and traders in the stock market. From a gambler to super rich. One must apply different investment strategy or else many will be caught off guard and becoming the unfortunate brick layers. FD whole year return is just 3-5%.
Surprisingly with such a good result, no gap up. Maybe because today is Friday, 2nd is year-end. Fun manager go on holiday a'dy. From the latest QR, my takeaway is, next QR, JV contribution will remain the same due to a reduction in % of holding after china counterpart pump in more money but with the new coke plant operation, it will further reduce cost. Next year gomen need to roll out more infrastructure project a'dy for upcoming GE15. Gomen also need to prep u all for 1 yr with feel good news ma. It should create some demand.
Let see through 0.51 cent establish further for next direction. Kudos to those who have cashed out and made 15% return in just a week time. Your the man !
Chill! parliment draw to a close! That means, bursa show go back to business again! Maybe time to accumulate and sell before the next parliment session! Just saying!
KYY, morning 9.40am as to buy Hiap Tek, then afternoon session 4pm ask to sell Hiap Tek....anyone making small contra gain follow his tips? For a plate of KFC Kari atuk...
I never attack any person in I3. I never talk bad on any stock. I share with my noble intention. Can perform or not, I cannot guarantee.
I have both Hiaptek and AYS and also other steel stocks. I look beyond PER and EPS. I also look at the business and other FA parameters. There are 5 steel stocks with PER < 5.0. All are good stocks. Thank you.
@DrSteel, Thanks for sharing, I value your effort. Many people believe the Steel counter, like the glove counter, is losing steam, and most people prefer to pursue high when price is rising.
@nakata, much appreciated. I try to provide information as objectively as possible.
Not expecting market to give PE like tech stocks, just a reasonable PE would do based on dividend yield expectation and considering all risk of product and raw material price volatility.
You consider a company as being debt free if they have no long term debt.
Hiap Teck's debt is all short term (typically overdrafts) which they use for rolling capital in their operations.
PAT has nothing to do with cashflow. Or debt.
Current liabilities - loans & borrowings : RM519.8m Trade Payables: RM44.4m Total for this is RM564.2m
Current assets - Cash & equivalents: RM236.6m Trade Receivables: RM339.9m Inventories: RM404.6m Total for this is RM981.1m
Is that healthy? Very. Does this make sense? Of course.
Unless you're saying that company should try to hold over RM564m in cash. Let's face it, with an overdraft running more than half a billion ringgit, Hiap Teck's annual finance costs is about RM14m.
You ask a businessman, would you rather take out 300m in cash and invest in other things (your business what it is lah), or would you prefer we retain the 300m in the company for you to save RM14m a year.
--- KingKong_Doll I was wondering ini betui o not..... total debt = 520M Total cash 254M Difference = 266M
1Q PAT = 70M. x 4 =280M. 2023 = cash free company???? Ada betul ka? kindergarten mathematics
Reading KYY's comments, I just end up facepalming.
Don't get me wrong, I love AYS. It made me an absolute killing in terms of personal profits.
What I don't like is AYS has a much smaller capital base, so it's prone to ridiculous swings. Great for an arbitrage / short term trader. Not so good for long term trading. And I personally believe their upcoming quarter results will be weaker than the last one. The one after that though should be an improvement.
For those dissing Hiap Teck's latest results as being poorer than the previous quarter (4QFY21), you seem to be missing two fairly important points.
The previous quarter's basic EPS was 4.26 sen, from a profit of RM60.4m. Of this there was a profit contribution of RM49.45m (EPS of 3.48 sen) from Eastern Steel to the group. But you also have to take into account that part of the profit was due to the reversal of impairment loss on Eastern Steel amounting to RM66.15m.
This is strictly an accounting reversal. There's no cash involved.
Hiap Teck owned 35% of Eastern Steel at that time. Meaning that the reversal of impairment contributed RM23.15m (EPS of 1.63 sen) to the bottom line. This means Eastern Steel's actual operational profit contributed RM26.3m (EPS of 1.85 sen) to Hiap Teck.
Hiap Teck's wholly owned operations earned it only RM10.95m for that quarter.
For the most recent quarter (1QFY22), Hiap Teck reported a basic EPS of 4.11 sen, from a profit of RM71.1m.
Eastern Steel contributed RM23.27m (EPS of 1.34 sen) to Hiap Teck's bottomline. In absolute terms, it's only a marginal improvement over the previous quarter (RM23.15m to RM23.27m). I have to admit it's a little underwhelming. The notes to the account doesn't clarify if it was because of the drop in China steel prices or any particular reason.
In other words Hiap Teck's own operations earned RM47.83m for this quarter. That's pretty damned good overall.
Quarter on Quarter, Hiap Teck's wholly owned operations more than quadrupled their profits.
That's the first point to take into account. The main reason 4QFY21's stellar quarter was the reversal of impairment losses. Not operational.
Secondly, the reduction in EPS is also because the group's share base has increased substantially, from 4QFY21 where the company had a weighted average number of shares in issue of 1.418b to 1.731b.
That's 18% more shares for the purposes of EPS calculations. That's why RM71.1m in profit gives an EPS of 4.11. Whilst RM60.4m gives one of 4.26.
A good point to take into account is that the current number of shares issued is 1.736b. Excluding treasury shares, it gives the same 1.731b used for the recent quarter's calculation.
The bad part is that ESOS vested (but not exercised) amounts to 118.9m shares. So there's a possibility again of an increase in the number of shares increasing by up 6.8%, i.e. diluting EPS by that amount. On the flip side, if all that ESOS is exercised, it'll probably mean that the company's shares is flying.
Does this mean that Hiap Teck will do better for the next quarter? I do not know. All I know is that I'm impressed that from an operational perspective, as of the most recent quarter they're killing it.
I know Eastern Steel is going to be the crown jewel of the company, especially if they are able to scale up the size that they intend to go to, but I'm impressed with Hiap Teck's wholly owned operations thus far.
Downsides for Hiap Teck, I dislike the fact that they're probably going to dilute their stake in Eastern Steel over time, with Jian Long putting in additional capital. The amount of money they need is massive, and I don't think debt financing alone is going to cut it.
I'm not sure if Hiap Teck intends to go the rights issue route. It might be easier for them to let Jian Long take the lead whilst their stake gets reduced. I doubt they'll let it be reduced to below 20% though due to equity accounting rules. Below 20%, you can't add Eastern Steel's figures to the group's P&L.
To me at least I find Mr OTB has more credibility than others who addressed themselves as stock expert. At least OTB did not bad mouth about a stock for own gains or attack someone personally or keep changing his mind about a stock like a lady, Example: morning buy call, evening sell call. These are basic ethics of a human. If a stock expert can't even fulfill this basic human ethics, how to convince other to believe your words?
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Newbie_2288
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Posted by Newbie_2288 > 2021-12-17 09:27 | Report Abuse
In the morning ikan bilis decide the market.
After lunch, smart money to decide the market.