Baltic Dry increased 1000 index points or more than 100% since the beginning of April 2019.
Q2 (BDI average 924) April 738 May 882 June 1152
Q3 (BDI average 1924) July 1561 Aug 2083 Sept 2131 -
Remark: Please take note the BDI is USD denominated, higher charted rate + stronger USD translate into higher RM profit. As operating have relatively fixed cost, any surplus above cost all DIRECT into higher net profit
bdi higher is temporarily due to ships under scrubber installation, now all back to operation, see bdi drop sharply back to normal. higher bdi offset by installation costs, slower china commodities demand, not even enough to turn into a valid PE, or based on quarter, PE >100, hard to forecast bdi, don't be shocked when maybulk back below 60sen
Shipping companies can pass the surge in oil price to their clients. If the oil price is too high, they can add in 'bunker fee' in the shipping bills. So higher oil price actually has small influence to the shipping companies
BDI rebound with less than 0.5%. Looks like the diarrhoea has stopped for BDI but the technical outlook for maybulk like not good ohh....buying momentum bcome weaker. Wait longer and see le......
"Oil prices fell for a second day on worries that fuel demand could fall after U.S. President Donald Trump doused recent optimism over China-U.S. trade talks, at a time of rising U.S. crude oil stockpiles."
"Brent crude futures were down $1.72 to $61.38 a barrel on Wednesday, erasing all gains made after an attack on Saudi oil facilities sent the benchmark up around 20% last week."
"U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude dropped to $55.71 a barrel, down $1.58."
China has agree to buy soya bean from US in part of the trade war deal.....meaning buy less or no more buy from brazil??? Will maybulk affected???...ho ho ho.......the truth shall reveal.
Nov 2019 results should still be ok as there is only 6 more days left for Sept month of 2019
There are 3 stocks I think will be well supported
1. Scomies 7045. This one has a contract with Kuwait oil Corp for the supply of drilling fluid for rm610 millions. Ceo has bought 1.8 million scomies at 10.5 sen. Now scomies has retraced to 10.5 sen. If you don't have can buy some now
2. Opcom. This is the top stock for THE DIGITAL ECONOMY. Govt 12 MP thrust is for nationwide fiberisation. Opcom is the biggest listed company for fiber optics in Malaysia
3. Netx. Totally oversold and bombed out at 1 sen now. This price is low and Insiders expecting better times ahead have bought big chunks lately
LOL....now only sound the alarm bell ah?.....looks like sinking oh......can choose to cutwin now or cutloss later......lets say it is above 2K till end of this month....next quarter leh???
if u don't trade actively, jus hold, next qr good, the share price depends on current bdi and how people foresee bulker service
actually people would have expected good qr as of now, but share price may drop, let's say if next qr reporting eps 2sen also no use in case the bdi ard 1500 and foreseeing slowing demands, 65-70sen then u still wont loose money
Thanks Kean.......and oh yeah!!!.......broken 2000. Like that i no go in 2nd round le. I thought of Q`ing at 0.65. Like that better wait and see 1st....hehhe
looking at the BDI chart, quite scary also. It hit all time high at the beginning of sept which is 2500 and before end of sept, already broken 2000. Dropped more than 20 % in one month.....bdi very volatile and scary le......see can it break 60c o not.....hehe,...
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
chngmenghui
166 posts
Posted by chngmenghui > 2019-09-23 12:16 | Report Abuse
May go down further.be patient