So hardworking reporting here? So how? Hevea cannot go down loh. Why Evergreen going down week after weeks loh? So many queuing to sell there loh? U must be one of those.
Ah stockraider, how to bankrupt if Hevea is NET CASH? LOL!! Think loh. Still try hard to find excuses to talk good on ur Evergreen? How much in debts is Evergreen? I tell u loh.
Stockraider, many of the high NTA stocks can have low ROE, which indicates management using a lot of money to make small money, if it's so easy to look at NTA to determine value then everybody will be millionaire lol....
Guys please, can you stop arguing like a children? We are all fundamentals investors, hence we should act professionally like one. Stop with all these baseless fact and accusation.
NTA is one way to invest, but not all. Raider is only saying half truth, but not full. For example, if you neglect stocks such as DLADY, APPLE sole because their share price is higher than NTA, while buying companies such as PMCORP, XINGQUAN for their NTA, you would have made an investment mistake. NTA is not the only yardstick to value a stock.
Understand that valuation is an art, not a science. Cannot simply pluck a number and say it's overvalue.
Ezra, one must understand first of all the assets that a company owned. What type of assets and the characteristics and also the proportion of the portfolio of assets (biological/non-bio) in it's stable of ownership. If a company owns more of appreciating valuable assets such as develop-able lands then u should look more closely to the company's NTA.
Loser stockraider said Hevea overvalue so where is Hevea's price heading now? And where is Evergreen heading? He wants to act sifu but failed. So best just diam loh
Posted by stockraider > Jan 9, 2017 11:16 AM | Report Abuse X
IT IS NOW HEVEA RM 1.55 CAN PERFORM OR NOT ? AND EVERGREEN RM 0.97 CAN PERFORM OR NOT ?
WE TALK FUTURE MAH....IT IS WHERE U MAKE MONIES LOH...!! IF NO CONFIDENT OF THE FUTURE SHUT UP LOH...!! DOLLY & RAIDER VERY CONFIDENT EVERGREEN MAH...!!
Aiya stockraider, I told u to buy HEVEA mah. Look where is HEVEA now? It's trending upward only. Why buy debt-ridden Evergreen leh? Evergreen is like 1MDB mah...with huge debts of RM 216.585 millions.
Evergreen does not have new machines yet. It relies heavily 80% revenues just from MDF segment. If MDF pricing flopped then u can kiss it goodbye. It's also not high profit margin segment like RTA and Particleboard.
Evergreen has efficient cost of production?? Look below for annualized profit margins:
HEVEA 2012: 4.1% (Hevea's RTA segment started operation in early of 2012) 2013: 5.7% (Continuation of CAPEX throughout the year for more automation for RTA) 2014: 7.2% 2015: 14.7% 2016: 13.3%
Hevea is in the strongest position among all related stocks. Just using cash on hand RM 109,790,000 also can settle entire total liabilities of RM 66,513,000.
Result is RM 43,277,000 on hand. Still can loan it to Evergreen to make money. LOL
My Mieco is in the second strongest position with RM 39,346,000. That is why my picks are still Big Winners! Look at those share prices.
U buy a Duit kopi shop that have cash Rm 85,000 for Rm 155,00...then u come and tell raider this duit kopitiam is the strongest bcos it got Rm 85k cash ah ??
Use your head lah....u pay rm 155k to get a kopitiam that have rm 85k cash...and tell raider this is the strongest loh...??!!
Raider, let's just ignore this joker sxckeperformer... he is still not ware of how disgusting and not-welcomed he is in this forum... how sick of him...
let me make one last blow to him on his idixtic and biased comments (for his personal agenda i guess, if not why spend so much time here... quite obvious, he missed the boat and is trying to pull down the share price - but who is he? does he have such influence.. haha.. )..
1) Debt of Evergreen (which is manageable and reasonable for the industry it is involved in) - he keeps saying that Hevea has zero debt but Evergreen has debt.. I have told him that Hevea is more like a furniture company as its 60% sales are from RTA (ready to assemble furniture) which are less capex intensive. Where as currently Evergreen manufactures 80% of raw MDF so it is more capex intensive in terms of the machineries and maintenance. They are not in the exact industries so you just can't compare directly.. he has not even answered my question on this one.. Yes, evergreen will target to build more RTA (current 5% of total revenue), but their main focus is still MDF at current stage. So, until one day when Evergreen has its RTA sales reach 50-60% of total revenue, then only it is fair to directly compare with Hevea on the debt/net cash...
2) Debt of Evergreen - again, let's discuss if the debt is bad or actually good for evergreen. We know that many business raise loans to expand. We have to examine whether their profit margin is higher than the interest they need to pay for the loan. Last year (2015 full year), evergreen net profit margin is 9.1%. This year (up to 9 months), due to forex loss, the net profit margin dropped to 7.3%. But this is still higher than the bank interest rate that they are paying for... example, if you earn RM10 additional but you pay RM5 for interest, u still get additional (net RM5) for the expansion... so why not to expand if you have net profit from there?
3) Dividend - he is again very biased and misleading here.. 2013-14 were bad years for Evergreen, we all know and admit that. This was due to the intense competition of MDF makers within ASEAN (as 2006-08 were good years and many new MDF makers ventured into this business can caused over-supply) However, as mentioned by Evergreen management, many small and incompetitive MDF players have been washed out (go bankrupt) during the bad years of 2012-2014 due to losses.. but evergreen as the biggest MDF player in ASEAN with strong footing and experience has weathered thru the storm and grow bigger now.. in fact, they ate up the market shares of those closed-shop small factories,.. so from 2013-14, we cannot expect evergreen to pay dividends during tough years.. why I said he is biased? When Hevea was in deep financial woes during 2009-2010, why did sxckperformer not question: why Hevea did not pay out dividend during tat time? see? he is manipulating his words...
4) Dividend - in latest AGM, Evergreen management has approved to give out at least 40% of net profit to shareholders... so, with the expansion plan almost done (will require less capex, and have more cash)... we can expect more dividend to come.. we invest in the future of Evergreem.. but this joker keeps talking about the past.. and he totally kept quiet about Hevea's past on the bad years.. and when raider said Hevea almost went bankrupt.. what did this sxckperformer say? Trump went bankrupt 3 times but now is a US president.. haha.. funny right? we know it is not end of day for bankruptcy, but we dislike his biased view on evergreen.. Hevea's past was bad, but it is ok.. Evergreen's past was bad, but it is not OK.. see it?
sxckperformer.. see.. i wasted so much time to explain to some idixt like u.. quickly thank me la.. coz i "put money in ur pocket" d...
i have answered all his stupid and manipulated questions, but he has not even answered my one question:
is evergreen a furniture stock at current stage? is it fair to compare its capex intensive business with "pure/mainly" furniture makers which are less capex intensive?
no-balls idixt has been eluding my question and until today, he dares not to answer... why? bcoz he knows that Evergreen cannot be deemed as a "furniture stock" now due to its low participation in RTA (but the potential for evergreen to grow its RTA revenue in future is really HUGE)... so we are looking at the growth in Evergreen...
currently RTA only consists of 5% of evergreen overall sales.. with that, you define "current" evergreen as furniture maker.. that is really brainless...
Evergreen is still mainly a MDF maker so you are comparing with current furniture maker.. can you be sharp enough? why are u so dumb? speechless...
here is a scenario:
sxckperformer sells nasi lemak at his stall everyday... but one day a gxy guy paid him RM1 and he sold his butt (jual punggung).. just one time ya..
even though his major business is selling nasi lemak, but he defines himself as full time butt-seller.. wah... his definition is really speechless to me...
i am sharing some fundamental analysis (to put money into sxckperformer's pocker now)...
his observation (purely looking at the debt and conclude that Evergreen has trouble with it) is shallow and of kindergarten class/grade. We should perform a more detailed analysis which also involves its free cash flow...
let me show him:
Based on latest balance sheet: 1) Net debt/Equity = 75.435M/1,111.168M= 0.0679 or 6.79% net debt/equity. Is this not manageable? is this not healthy? Compare with 2015, net debt has actually reduced.
Based on average FCF of latest 3 years (2013-2015) - to reflect a more accurate average value 2) Free cash flow Yield (CY = FCF/MC) Net cash generated from operation (2013)=52.053M Net cash generated from operation (2014) = 84.906M net cash generated from operation (2015) = 119.913M - average net cash from operation = 85.624M
Free cash flow yield (CY) = FCF/MC = 0.0423 or 4.23% (>4% which is good)
This means that every RM1 you invest in Evergreen, you receive cash yield of 4.23% which is better than normal FD rate... ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
if you really observe well, you can see that their net cash from operation keeps increasing, while net debt has reduced as compared to last year.
i doubt if this sxckperformer really understands fundamental/value investing well? before he comments and shows his shallow & twisted "facts", i suggest he better learns more on free cash flow first...
Provided u a list of related stocks previously and everyone can see that Evergreen is indeed an underperforming share. Why is that so? I've highlighted many times in the past and people can check back from my previous postings. I've hand-picked HEVEA and HOMERIZ because these 2 are in solid financial standing with lots of readily available cash on hand for futher utilization. Look at the share price of those companies as proof.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
starperformer
1,443 posts
Posted by starperformer > 2017-01-03 15:55 | Report Abuse
So hardworking reporting here? So how? Hevea cannot go down loh. Why Evergreen going down week after weeks loh? So many queuing to sell there loh? U must be one of those.