after extensive reading of similar companies, BP plastic are still trading below its peer. Low PE and debt free with stable earnings and respectable DY. Wonder why share price always remain stagnant. probably 1.80-2.0 counter at least.
Bpplas cash piles keep growing. I am more concerned what the management going to do with that. If they have no intention to pursue growth, why not declare higher dividend?
I attended the BPPLAS virtual AGM. the RM35.6 mil CAPEX - to install an additional high-end line which is more environmental friendly is currently 25% completed, and target to complete by end of this year. Capacity is expected to improve by 17% in FY2022 with higher margin by 20% (higher price). As per its latest quarterly profit of some RM10mil, we can expect it will hit another record high of RM40 mil in FY2021 or EPS of 20sen. Given its historically divided payout of 50%, we could expect anohther record divided of 10sen this year. This translate to PE of 7.5x with yield of 6.7%. the company is debt-free and plan its capital allocation between CAPEX and rewarding shareholders well. Management is aware the plastic industry is not really environmentally friendly. They are trying new investment to improve on this area too. So, I believe its valuation is expected be be further upgraded once it is in the radar of major research houses.
Got to appreciate the management for the generous dividends. Expecting another bumper dividends next quarter as they bought a lot of resins before the prices increased. Can see from their factory the resins are stored up to the guard house.
@bfmtechnology, great write up! To me BPPLAS is a prime example of value investing. I intend to hold their stocks long term and buy more when share price dips.
BP Plastics Holding Bhd (Fundamental BUY with TP 2.28) • We are sanguine on the prospect of BP Plastics Holding Bhd (BPPLAS) as a prominent Polyethylene (PE) film player and see demand to pick up from the resumption of global and regional trade activities from 2H2021 amid on-going capacity expansion. • The stretch film maker is currently trading at undemanding valuation of FY22 PER 8x further supported by projected attractive dividend yield of 5.8%. Solid balance sheet with zero borrowings. BUY with target price of RM2.28 based on 11.5x FY22 PER as per the 5-year average valuation. • BBPLAS is now one of the largest PE film makers in Asia, supplying cast stretch film and industrial packaging films and bags to over 54 countries. About 76% of the sales are export driven supplying to countries across Asia, Middle East, Europe and North American region. We expect the order for stretch films and industrial bags to pick up due to anticipated global trade recovery in 2H2021 of which the company is currently experiencing especially from Japan. • BPPLAS has a combined production capacity of 8,500 MT/month and to deploy new 9th cast stretch film machine (to be commissioned by end FY21) from most of the capex spending of RM35.6m. 75% of the sales are derived from stretch films and 25% are from blown PE films. Presently, approximately 40% of the stretch film are premium products (thin gauge film), commanding 20% - 30% higher selling price than the conventional films. • We expect the proportion of premium film to conventional film to increase with the new cast stretch film line in place. For blown film division, due to highly customized specification to fit for different industrial purposes, it garners higher margin though volume is lower when compared to stretch film. • The plastics packaging industry in Malaysia has over the years undergone consolidation. In effect, the elimination of competition has enabled BPPLAS and other industry player like TGUAN to gain access to new clients where previously was not possible, which is an added advantage. • BPPLAS average dividend payout ratio is attractive at 58.3% over the past 5 years, translating to a projected yield of 5.8%. Its zero borrowings and cash position of RM76.1m would comfortably fund future CAPEX requirements. • All in, we forecast EPS growth of 13% for FY21 and 11% for FY22 respectively. BPPLAS is an attractive value proposition given its undemanding valuation and decent dividend yield. BP Plastics Holding Bhd (BPPLAS, 5100)
i would say rm1.5 is currently a psychological resistance turned support. If it breaks below again, the actual crucial support would be RM1.3, which is very near only.
ASPs to decline in 2HCY21.As resin prices continue to decline, we expect ASPs to gradually follow suit from current levels. It’s important to note that not all selling prices will decline by the same quantum. Generally, more commoditized products will experience faster declines compared to the non-commoditized products. As noncommoditized products tend to be customised for client-specific needs, selling prices tend to be stickier and would not fall as much, allowing plastic packagers to protect their margins. As we expect ASPs to gradually fall in 3QCY21 as they catch up with lower resin prices, we foresee a period of continued margin expansion followed by margin normalisation after ASPs fall in tandem.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ladislav_varga
5 posts
Posted by ladislav_varga > 2021-02-03 13:10 | Report Abuse
anyone know who is behind LG CAPITAL SDN BHD as they are the main shareholder and what mandate they do have