Referring to my earlier comment dated 27/5, the EPS for FY2021 should be around 20sen (Kenanga estimate at 19.2 sen). Even with current MCO (I actually dont know how to name the current lock-down status), BPPLAS still allow to operate at 60% capacity. Therefore, negative profit impact is minimal whereby it is contra off with better margin in 2Q and 3Q in FY2021. Its past 10-years PE was ranging from 7-16x. So, Let's take average of 12x (which is closed to Kenanga's PE of 13x), my own TP would be RM2.40 with current yield of 5.4% (assume price of RM1.85 with dividend per share of 10sen). Still not really expensive at current level, if you guys are patient enough to wait for the pandemic crisis to be over. Hope this comment help you guys to make some informed decision.
The price is already ATH. Did not expect more. Current huge block @ 1.840. Probably will retrace for a few days before picking up again. Unless they want to pump dump.
@Sardin, Management has indicated to increase its ASP to off-set the material cost increases. With its recent drop (or stabilize) in its material prices, ASP remains at high. Management indicates that a "SUDDEN" increase or decrease in material cost is actually favorable to its margin. Any SUDDEN increase in cost allow them to increase ASP easily but not otherwise. However, a GRADUAL increase or decrease in cost may not favor its margin as it is difficult to pass the cost over to customers.
drop more buy more, buy until become substantial share holder. then keep until after covid is gone and u will be the next millionaire. undervalue much.
BPPLAS is allowed to operate at 60% capacity during this MCO period. Given lower raw material prices, you will expected another result record making this coming quarter result announcement
When Research Broker recommend to BUY for this stock,better don't touch first because most of its clients including themselves have accumulated number of shares in the open market at a superb low price,so we as a retailer have to be cautious ,there is no such a free lunch at all They spend so much time and money to make their reseach and they will push further up the price later and slowly dump it to you Listen! Listen! Listen! BE ALERT!
After reviewing its 2Q results and refer my earlier comments dated 13/7, my TP of RM2.40 remains intact. My earlier EPS estimate is rather on a low side. Let's remains at 20sen for FY2021 and 22sen for FY2022. At PE of 12x, TP should be in range of RM2.40 to RM2.64. Growth potential still at 26%. Dividends wise, management has declared 6sen in 1H2021. Again, we assume total only 10sen for FY2021 (3+3+2+2). This is on a very conservative side. Its yield still remain attractive at 5.2%. If we assume its total dividend of 12sen, the yield will be 6.3%. All and all, it is a small and sexy growth company to consider before it is on major broking radar. Its company is still in capacity expansion plan where it will be fully materialized in next year.
Importantly with their increased in both revenue and profit, their profit margin has improved from a high single digit to almost mid double digit. That is impressive as industry average is single digit.
of course there is that risk of negative plastic demand, but the numbers in recent years QRs show steady growth in revenue & profit.. take that risk & just enjoy the potential dividend yield of 6.3% at current price.. no risk, no gain
I have the same concern on its ESG issue too. However, management has indicated its initiative to invest into environment friendly machinery. I have extracted the relevant section from its annual report as below :
The Group has allocated approximately RM35.6 million of CAPEX investments in FY2021 as part of the Group’s ongoing strategic expansion plans to enhance shareholder value. This include a new 9th Cast Stretch Film machine, where installation and commissioning are expected to be completed by the end of 2021. This new technology stretch film machine will not only increase production capacity, but also broaden product offerings to cater for market demands for more sophisticated packaging requirements and sustainability-based packaging.
Management follows the 3Rs concepts of “Recycle, Reuse and Reduce”. We have sufficient waste management know-how, technical expertise and capabilities to design the manufacturing process flow to incorporate the salvage and reclaim (“Recycle”) of our internally generated plastics waste, rejects and scraps. The recycling capacity utilisations are 71% and 83% in FY2020 and FY2019 respectively. The Recycling process is an enabler which also allows the outer packaging from our suppliers to be reused (“Reuse”) as raw materials for suitable industrial packaging film application. Reuse further helps us to ensure that we can reduce (“Reduce”) our consumption of virgin raw materials at the same time keeping our waste footprint low, in support of the concept of circular economy and more efficient use of our valuable resources. As the Group remains focused on quality and product innovations, our Plant operations team were able to reduce the total plastics waste, rejects and scraps metric tonnes by 9.8% in FY2020.
@tradesafely it is easy to say things in hindsight. Unless you have inside info about the special dividend, it is impossible to predict earnings. Next time why don't share your due diligence here if you hate i3 comments that much. Yeah most of us were WRONG and not ashamed to admit our mistakes. Heck not every analyst gets earnings prediction right anyways.
Both Kenanga and Malacca had raised its TP to RM3.15 and RM3.06 respectively, mainly from its capacity expansion (as mentioned above) as well as its improvement in margin even with its 60% workforce. Personally, I did not revise my own TP as yet....maintaining at RM2.40 !
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
limontea
1,171 posts
Posted by limontea > 2021-07-13 10:22 | Report Abuse
Look at the tremendous sell Q.