Following Affin’s analyst briefing for its fourth quarter results, CIMB Research said that the bank’s management explained that the lethargic loan growth of only 0.6% in the financial year 2016 (FY16) was mainly due to the shedding of low-yielding financing totalling about RM1.6bil, mainly from revolving credit.
Adjusting for this factor, its financial year 2016 loan growth would have been about 5%, close to the industry’s rate of 5.3%, it said.
“The key highlights were the company’s guidance for FY17, its Affinity transformation programme, and its long-term targets,” CIMB Research said.
The research house has noted that management is targeting a stronger loan growth rate of 8% for 2017.
“We are more conservative, projecting only 3% growth.
“Each 1% pt increase in loan growth (compared with our forecast) would enhance Affin’s FY17 forecasted net profit by about 0.7%,” it said.
CIMB Research also said that there will be tangible benefits from Affinity, in the form of improvement to its cost-to-income ratio, enhancement to its digital banking capabilities, elevating its competitiveness and stronger fee income generation.
“This will help to address some of its areas of weakness, such as high cost-to-income ratio and still-small non-interest income generation from other divisions of Affin Bank, like treasury, credit cards and wealth management,” it said.
“Affin Bank has an aggressive target to increase its operating income by 78% from RM630mil in 2016 to RM1.12bil in 2020.
“This is way above the 17% growth we forecast for the same period.
“If we apply the targeted 15.5% compounded annual growth rate on the operating profit for Affin Holdings, our financial years 2017-2019 forecast net profit forecasts would rise 20-35% (assuming constant credit costs),” CIMB Research added.
The research house said this will push up its target price by 36% from RM2.96 to RM4.03, representing a 58% upside to the current share price.
It continues to rate Affin as an “add,” given its attractive valuation – FY18 forecast price to earnings ratio of 8.2 times and price to book value of 0.5 times, the benefits from the Affinity transformation programme, and an expected improvement in FY17 loan growth.
Anyway... research TP is always high one... TP 4.0 i think take abt 6-12mths to reach hahaha with all the corporate exercises done smoothly and result super strong. To me, 2.90-3.0 can take some profit first.. Then tinggal sikit dalam let it snowball sendiri la... Good luck guys...
Kenanga and HL invetment Bank always have negative comments on Affin, CIMB report is not so trustworthy. better do your own homework, or just take the average value from all the research report as a reference.
Affin will be announcing a final dividend soon. They were unable to announce yet because the amount of dividend is going to be big and they need approval from Bank Negara first.
TheContrarian Still holding. Affin is so much undervalued. YOU REALLY GOD LA ONE STOCK EARN MORE THAN 200% within six months as I know , still no one can do that for me 15% gain already sell fast fast I respect you
If you are lucky to buy a much unvalued counter which delivers fantastic results quarter after quarter you must let it run as high as possible and not sell even one single unit.
@TheContrarian Nice job, I need to learn more before I can confidently place such bets... @10bagger10 Short term nobody knows since today up a lot. Mid to long term, I think the mother share is a safe stock with good upside (3-3.50 by year end?), low PE compared to peers and earnings are increasing.
Also Net Assets per share is RM4.47 @ Dec 2016. This is a bank not an O&G or Property counter. Among the major shareholders are Tabung Lembaga Angkatan Tentera, Boustead, Bank of East Asia owned 14% by Tan Sri Quek of Hong Leong Bank, and of course dumb EPF.
Since results announced it seems dumb EPF has ceased selling. No wonder EPF could only declare 5.7% dividend last year as it has sold down Affin until RM2.09 last year.
Affin has only 1.5% of its total loan portfolio exposed to o & g sector,this is only of the main reason it can achieved continued growth in profit. It is worth well over rm3.0
5sen dividend is previous corresponding period. the final dividend for financial year 2016 still subject to BNM, and most probably will be 11 sen after minus 1st interim 3 sen dividend from it's 50% dividend policy
noted. the contra. the contra can i ask trop and cresbuilder. which one better to invest . because I have not enough money to choose both. I feel trop and cresbuilder both also undervalued
but Cresbuilder keep heavy selling down and trop also. but Trop stable than Cresbuilder because Trop is propert counter and Cres is construction as I know Construction counter up fast down fast if Trop maybe \can stand ? correct me if I was wrong ?
Last year I had two banking stocks in my portfolio, Affin and MBSB (bought @ 69 sen) and after Trump won presidential election and our ringgit crashing, I decided to sell off MBSB and bought more of Affin-CV. I have more confidence in Affin's management than MBSB.
WISE MEN USUALLY MADE LOGICAL N GOOD DECISIONS/CHOICES.
MOST INVESTORS INCLUDING MYSELF SOMETIMES MADE WRONG JUDGEMENTS DUE TO OUR MINDSET CLOUDED BY EMOTIONS. HENCE E.Q IS JUST AS IMPORTANT IF NOT EVEN MORE SIGNIFICANT THAN I.Q. MUST LEARN HOW TO CONTROL AND USE OUR IQ MORE EFFECTIVELY
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
TheContrarian
9,491 posts
Posted by TheContrarian > 2017-03-02 22:25 | Report Abuse
50 sen plus exercise price RM2.15 only RM2.65, Affin-CV still cheap.