Dear TheContrarian, kudos on your success in affin-cv. Only bought mum and not the warrant as there is few. Not sure which 1 to buy. If you were to collect your profit now, which other stock you are eyeing.
I don't want to sell yet. I sold only some Ancom today, bought at 32 - 37.5 sen, sold a small portion at 44 sen. Last Friday near 5 pm I bought some Cresbld at 92 sen. I have plenty of cash sitting in my current account and FD. No hurry to sell Affin-CV.
AGREED WITH ABOVE POSITIVE NEWS. AFTER A BIT MORE CONSOLIDATION PRICE WILL GO ABOVE 3.00. ALREADY SEEN INCREASING PURCHASES N ACCUMULATION AT 2.92 NOW DOING SOME OWN RESEARCH ON THE COMPARITIVE FUNDAMENTALS AND PRICING BETWEEN AFFIN BANK AND ITS COMPETITORS, CIMB AND RHB BANK. WILL SHOW THAT AFFIN SHARE PRICE IS CURRENTLY VERY MUCH UNDER PRICED BASED ON ACCEPTED N RECOGNISED FIMANCIAL RATIOS N BENCHMARKS. SO FAR TA ENTERPRISE'S FAIR VALUE PRICE TARGET AT RM3.20 IS MORE REFLECTIVE OF AFFIN'S FUNDAMENTALS AND EARNINGS POTENTIAL. NEVERTHELESS BASED ON THE VARIOUS FINANCIAL RATIOS N BENCHMARKS, I BELIEVE AFFIN'S SHARE PRICE SHOULD BE EVEN HIGHER. RM3.80 HAD BEEN MENTIONED IN THE FORUM. BUT REMEMBER AFFINS SHARE PRICE HAD REACHED ABOVE RM4 A FEW YEARS AGO. RELEVANT TO NOTE ITS NTA IS 4.47 HOPE TO BE ABLE TO PRESENT MY VIEWS SOON
Saturday, 18 March 2017 Credit Suisse: It’s time to invest in Malaysia BY AFIQ ISA
PETALING JAYA: Credit Suisse (CS) said it is now time for investors to put their funds into Malaysian stocks as current valuations indicate that local equities are poised for a strong recovery.
Malaysia has underperformed its peers in the emerging markets due to several reasons, among them being the downward pressure on the ringgit as well the selldown in heavyweight sectors such as banks.
But now, according to CS in an extensive report yesterday, while the 34% decline in Malaysian equities on a dollar-adjusted basis over the past 45 months was warranted, the market bottom may be close at hand.
Calling it as “the ultimate contrarian trade”, the research house outlined 10 reasons to be bullish (see table).
Among them is that Malaysia’s GDP growth may see further upside, thanks to a rebound in commodities. Additionally, the government may have more leeway to increase spending, given its conservative average crude oil price forecast of US$48 per barrel, CS said.
“We believe that the recent stability in the commodity complex we have witnessed the last of the downgrades to near term growth expectations.
“We now expect a pick-up in growth to 4.5% this year (above consensus expectations of 4.3%), driven by public infrastructure projects, commodity-related investments and a boost to rural income from the recovery in rubber prices,” it explained.
Another reason is on the improvement of earnings dynamics among Malaysian corporates. CS points out that at the sector level, the recovery in earnings revisions is led by the energy and mining space.
Additionally, among the larger sectors, consumer discretionary and staples have recovered sharply well into net positive territory with industrials and financials improving to at least neutral levels.
Another key catalyst for the markets is the attractiveness of the ringgit at present levels after significant devaluation.
Although Malaysia’s 15-year trend of a weaker ringgit in real effective exchange rate (REER) terms is justified by the steady erosion of its share of global exports, the 18% REER devaluation over the past three years appears severely overdone, given the relatively modest decline in export share over this period, CS noted.
One prominent beneficiary from the repair in the macro environment appears to be the banking sector, which is a heavyweight component for the FBM KLCI.
The research house said that private sector credit growth had just bounced off a 13-year low at 5.6% year-on-year in January compared to 4.2% in September last year.
“Encouragingly, deposit growth recovering back into positive territory should serve to moderate the pick-up in the loan-to-deposit ratio, which is currently at elevated levels which typically dampens credit extension,” it said.
In light of its market recommendation, CS has picked its top 10 stocks which offer superior dividends and free cashflow yields.
The companies are Malayan Banking Bhd, CIMB Group Holdings Bhd, Axiata Group Bhd, Kuala Lumpur Kepong Bhd, Astro Malaysia Holdings Bhd, British American Tobacco (M) Bhd, IJM Corp Bhd, Gamuda Bhd, Alliance Financial Group Bhd and Malakoff Corp Bhd.
To date, the FBM KLCI is already up by 6.3%. Yesterday saw the largest one-day turnover in stocks since May 2016 with total trading volume of 4.98 billion shares valued at RM5.04bil.
(CALL TO BE OVERWEIGHT ON BANK SHARES) ======================================
(ALSO NOTE THAT AFFIN SHARES IS FUNDAMENTALLY SOUND AND REGISTERING STRONG ============= EARNINGS RECOVERIES RECORDING 9MTH PROFIT OF RM20M AGAINST RM6M FOR ITS CORRESPONDING PERIOD LAST YEAR.
AFFIN IS ALSO THE CHEAPEST ENTRY INTO MALAYSIAN BANK SECTOR (WITH PRICE TO BOOK RATIO OF ONLY 0.7x COMPARED TO THE CONSENSUS 1.17x applicable for Bank Sector in Bursa)
COMPARITIVE PRICE TO BOOK (P/B) FOR SELECTED BANK STOCKS :-
AFFIN CURRENTLY HAS THE LOWEST P/B OF 0.64x (SHARE PRICE/NTA WHICH IS 2.88/4.47) and therefore provides the cheapest entry into malaysian banking sector. Affin has sound fundamentals and registering strong earnings recoveries
COMPARITIVE PRICE TO BOOK (P/B) FOR SELECTED BANK STOCKS :-
AFFIN CURRENTLY HAS THE LOWEST P/B OF 0.64x (SHARE PRICE/NTA WHICH IS 2.88/4.47) and therefore provides the cheapest entry into malaysian banking sector. Affin has sound fundamentals and registering strong earnings recoveries
WELL CONSOLIDATED DURING THE PAST 1 MONTH BETWEEN 2.84 TO 2.92.
NEXT PRICE RANGE WILL BE 2.92 TO 3.20
LONGER TERM TARGET IS 3.80
ABOVE PRICE TARGETS WILL BE SUPPORTED BY VERY GOOD 4Q AND FULL PROFITS. FURTHER CATALYST WILL BE FROM A FINAL DIVIDEND WHICH IS EXPECTED SOON. FINAL D EXPECTED TO BE BIG ONE.( SUPPORTED BY GOOD EARNINGS RECOVERIES).
MORE CATALYSTS FROM FOREIGN FUNDS INCREASING INFLOWS INTO BURSA AND THEIR OVERWEIGHT INTO MALAYSIAN BANK SHARES.
AFFIN SHARE PRICE IS VERY UNDERVALUED, IF NOT THE MOST UNDERVALUED WITH ITS PRICE TO BOOK AT ONLY 0.64x (AGAINST MOST OTHER BANKS AVERAGING 1.17x)
ACTUALLY THE TOTAL DIVIDEND IS 7.5 SEN (AS IT HAD PAID 3 SEN INTERIM D )
ALSO I BELIEVE FUTURE DIVIDENDS WILL BE INCREASED AS ITS EARNINGS RECOVERY GATHERS UPWARD MOMENTUM. MY CONFIDENCE IN AFFIN'S PROFITS GROWTH IS BASED ON ITS IMPROVEMENTS IN ITS BUSINESS OPERATIONS ESPECIALLY IN ITS ISLAMIC BANKING AND INSURANCE DIVISIONS.
AFFIN'S CURRENT BUSINESS TRANSFORMATION/INTERNAL ORGANISATION AS WELL AS ITS AFFINITY PROGRAMMES WILL ENSURE BETTER BUSINESS GROWTH.
IT IS SIGNIFICANT TO NOTE THAT AFFIN'S SHARE PRICE IS VERY MUCH UNDERVALUED.
ONE OF THE RATIOS USED TO MEASURE THE WORTH OF BANKING SHARES IS THEIR RESPECTIVE PRICE TO BOOK (P/B) CURRENTLY AVERAGING 1.17x . AFFIN'S P/B OF 6.4x MEANS IT IS NOW THE CHEAPEST PRICED BANK STOCK IN BURSA. AFFIN'S SHARE IS THEREFORE THE MOST UNDERVALUED AND WITH ITS STRONG EARNINGS RECOVERY THE PROSPECTS ARE GOOD FOR ITS SHARE PRICE TO INCREASE ESPECIALLY SINCE FOREIGN FUNDS ARE FLOWING BACK INTO BURSA AND THERE ARE CALLS TO OVERWEIGHT OUR BANKING SECTOR.
COMPARITIVE P/Bs ARE GIVEN HERE TO FURTHER ILLUSTRATE MY POINT THAT AFFIN'S SHARE PRICE IS UNDERVALUED AND SHOULD MOVE HIGHER ON THE BACK OF ITS EARNINGS RECOVERY :-
AFFIN'S SHARE PRICE AT 2.86 MEANS ITS PRICE TO BOOK (2.86/4.47) IS ONLY 0.64x WHICH IS EXCESSIVELY DISCOUNTED AND UNJUSTIFIED (compared to the market average of 1.17x)
Correct it is under valued. Why Local and Foreign investors not buying the stock. This is the GLC stock. Investors look down on the management resulting the stock is under value and they feel they are proud of what they are doing. This is the same as Boustead and etc. Never mind, this is what they show themselves to current and future investors. How to invest into this type of stock.
INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS, INCLUDING FOREIGN FUNDS, AS WELL AS INDIVIDUAL VALUE INVESTORS, WILL ALWAYS ON THE LOOK OUT FOR FUNDAMENTALLY SOUND STOCKS WITH GOOD BUSINESS PROSPECTS. ONCE THEY RECOGNISE AFFIN'S VALUE AND START AGGRESSIVE ACCUMULATION THEN U CAN SEE A STRONG PRICE UPTREND.
ITS ALWAYS SAFER AND BETTER TO INVEST YOUR HARD EARNED MONEY IN FUNDAMENTALLY SOUND AND STILL UNDERVALUES SHARES LIKE AFFIN BANK. LOW DOWNSIDE RISKS BUT HUGE UPSIDE POTENTIAL. MAY TAKE A GRADUAL UPTREND PATTERN BUT HAS THE ABILITY TO GO UP STEADILY.
THERE WAS CALL TO BUY AFFIN AT 2.20 SOME MONTHS BACK BASED ON AN ANALYSIS OF ITS GOOD FUNDAMENTALS.
ONE GUY WROTE HE HAD CUT LOSS ON ALL HIS OTHER STOCKS AND RE-INVEST ALL HIS SALES PROCEEDS INTO AFFIN. SAID HE WILL EXIT THE STOCK MART AND JUST WAIT FOR AFFIN'S VALUE TO EMERGE AND RECOUP HIS LOSSES AND BECOME A WINNER. NOW AT 2.87 AND WITH ITS ABILITY TO SCALE HIGHER, I THINK HE HAS BEEN PROVEN WISE AND SKILLFUL
affinity is under performed stock. not undervalue. due to poor managements and many doubtful loans. only if mgt buckup and clean the bad loans. then it can perform again.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
10bagger10
1,007 posts
Posted by 10bagger10 > 2017-03-10 18:37 | Report Abuse
Very big