ONE OF THE MOST UNIVERSALLY ACCEPTED PRINCIPLE AND FINANCIAL YARDSTICK ADOPTED TO EVALUATE THE FUNDAMENTAL VALUATION OF COMMERCIAL BANK SHARES IS THEIR PRICE TO BOOK (P/B) RATIO.
AFFIN'S SHARE PRICE IS : 2.86 AFFIN'S BOOK VALUE OR NTA 4.47 (AUDITED NET TANGIBLE ASSET) AFFIN'S P/B IS THEREFORE(2.86/4/47) 0.639x (much lower than the Banking Sector's 1.17x)
(AND IS HENCE DEEPLY UNDERVALUED AND UNDERPRICED)
CATALYSTS TO UNLOCK ITS UNDERVALUED ASSETS AND POTENTIAL INCLUDE :- ==================================================================
1) ACCELERATING AND STRONGER EARNINGS RECOVERIES. ITS YEAR ON YEAR INCREASE IN PROFITS BY RM198M OR UP 52% IS COMMENDABLE.. WE ARE LOOKING TO CONTINUING BETTER PROFITS IN THE COMING QUARTERS.
2) INSTITUTIONAL FUNDS (INCLUDING FOREIGN FUNDS AND LOCAL FUNDS LIKE KWAP AND BANKS' UNIT TRUSTS/WEALTH MANAGEMENTS FUNDS) INCREASING THEIR INVESTMENTS OF AFFIN SHARES..
IT IS NOTE WORTHY THAT FUND MANAGERS ARE NOW CALLING FOR MORE EXPOSURES TO BUILD UP THEIR STOCK PORTFOLIOS IN BURSA EQUITIES.
THERE ARE NOW CALLS TO OVERWEIGHT MALAYSIAN BANKING SHARES
DURING BANK MERGERS OR TAKE OVERS, THE PRICE TO BOOK RATIO IS ONE OF THE MOST IMPORTANT FACTOS TO CONSIDER WHEN COMPUTING THE RESPECTIVE VALUES OR PRICE OF THE BANK'S SHARES. HENCE ANY OTHER BANK WHICH WANT TO TAKE OVER OR MERGE WITH AFFIN BANK WILL HAVE TO VALUE AFFIN BANK'S VALUE AT A P/B RATIO MUCH HIGHER AND CLOSER TO THE BANKING SECTOR'S 1.17x. I.E. PAY MUCH MORE THAN RM2.86 FOR AFFIN'S SHARES. IF AT 0.85x THE PURCHASING BANK WILL HAVE TO VALUE AND PAY RM3.80 FOR AFFIN
REGARDING SELLING BY EPF. THEY MAY BE JUST PARING DOWN ITS STAKES TO A CERTAIN STRATEGIC LEVEL. ONCE THIS IS REACHED THEIR SELLING WILL CEASE. THEN AFFIN'S SHARE PRICE WILL CLIMB UP FASTER. EPF MAY ALSO DECIDE TO SUSPEND ITS SALES NOW IN RESPONSE TO AFFIN'S FINAL CASH DIVIDEND OF 4.5 SEN SET TO GO EX IN 1.5 MONTHS TIME
PROBABLY THE 50% PAT DIVIDEND POLICY WAS MEANT TO BE IMPLEMENTED IN THE NEXT FINANCIAL YEAR. I HOPE SO. ANYWAY AFFIN HAD PAID 15 SEN DIVIDENDS IN 2012 AND 2013. AND ITS SHARE PRICE WAS 4.13 HIGH IN 2013. AFFIN'S 1Q RESULTS AND PROFITS INCREASING BY RM198M OR 52% Y-O-Y WAS A COMMENDABLE ACHIEVEMENT. INVESTMENT BANKS RECENTLY MET UP WITH ITS MANAGEMENT TO UPDATE THE CORPORATE PLANS AND THEIR REPORTS WERE VERY POSITIVE IN THEIR FINDINGS THAT THE BANKS INTERNAL REORGANISATION PLANS AND ITS AFFINITY PROGRAMMES TO FOCUS ON MORE FEE BASED INCOMES AND TO RAISE OPERATIONS EFFICIENCY /PRODUCTIVITY ARE PROGRESSING WELL. THESE WILL IMPROVE ITS RESULTS IN THE SUBSEQUENT QUARTERS .
I THINK THEY DESERVE OUR SUPPORT FOR THE GOOD JOB DONE LAST YEAR AND THEIR CONTINUING EFFORTS TO REGAIN ITS FORMER GLORY DAYS OF HIGH PROFITS AND DIVIDENDS
MOST UNDERVALUED AND UNDERPRICED BANK SHARE IN BURSA.
ACTIVE CATALYSTS FOR VALUE EMERGING AND PRICE UPTREND GAINING MOMENTUM WITH BIG PROFIT JUMPS IN COMING QUARTER RESULTS. RISING DIVIDENDS BASED ON INCREASING PROFITS
I check and agree to your suggestion. RCE Capital is better prospect investment than affin. RCE have a better position to go higher. Whereas this is a rotten egg compare to RCE with no capital appreciation. We invest not sitting on rotten eggs.
BASED ON ITS RELATIVELY ATTRACTIVE PRICE TO BOOK MULTIPLES OF ONLY 0.64x (AGAINST ITS PEERS IN THE BANKING SECTOR REACHING 1.17x) THERE WAS A CALL BUY ON AFFIN AT RM2.20 JUST 6 MONTHS AGO)
A VERY SMART GUY RESPONDED AND HE SOLD ALL HIS OTHER SHARES TO SWITCH ALL TO AFFIN. NOW HE HAD EMERGED A SOLID WINNER. HE WILL HOLD HIS AFFIN TO RIDE ON ITS UPTREND TO AT LEAST RM3.20 IN THE NEAR TERM , REAPING HIS DIVIDEND REWARD OF 4.5 SEN FIRST. HIS BIGGER REWARD WILL COME WHEN AFFIN CONTINUES ITS STRONG SEQUENTIAL QUARTERLY PROFITS INCREASES .
AS AFFIN'S EARNING RECOVERIES GAIN MOMEMTUM AND LEADING TO HIGHER DIVIDENDS, AFFIN'S SHARE PRICE WILL CONTINUE ITS UPSWING.
REMEMBER AFFIN'S SHARE PRICE WAS ABOVE RM4.00 IN 2013 AND IT PAID 15 SEN DIVIDEND SEACH YEAR DURING 2012 AND 2013
AFFIN SHARE PRICE CURRENTLY AT 2.88 IS STILL DEEPLY UNDERVALUED AND UNDERPRICED WITH ITS PRICE TO BOOK (P/B) RATIO AT ONLY 0.64x (against its Peers' averaging 1.17x). JUST BY AFFIN'S MOVING ITS P/B TO 0.72x will see its price GOING UP TO RM3.20.
CATALYSTS TO ACHIEVE THIS WILL BE FOREIGN FUNDS' CURRENT CALLS TO OVERWEIGHT MALAYSIAN BANKING SECTOR, AND AFFIN'S CONTINUING EARNINGS RECOVERY AS ALREADY SEEN IN ITS FULL YEAR'S PROFITS. INCREASED BY RM198M TO RM580M OR UP 52% Y/Y.
The foreign fund is accumulating the shares as we know that this share is pretty much undervalued in the bank sector. The price has been stabilised for a while and expect to move upward again. Trading buy call 3.80
SELLING PRESSURE FROM EPF STILL EVIDENT FROM THEIR DISCLOSURES.
THIS MAY BE AGGRAVATED BY THE CURRENT GEO-POLITICAL EVENTS WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO HOG THE NEWS HEADLINES FOR THE NEXT FEW WEEKS :-
IMPORTANT GEO-POLITICAL EVENTS & MARKET RISKS =============================================== North Korea Defies Trump With Missile Test by Kanga Kong April 16, 2017, 7:09 AM GMT+8 April 16, 2017, 11:10 AM GMT+8 • North Korean missile explodes in test launch day after Kim Jong-un showcases new ballistic arsenal • Hostilities in the region surge US President Donald Trump sends aircraft carrier-led strike group to the Korean peninsula • PUBLISHED : Sunday, 16 April, 2017, 8:03am
CRITICAL TIMELINE FOR MORE MISSILE OR NUCLEAR TESTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ POSSIBLY WITHIN THE NEXT 10 DAYS TO 25TH APRIL.
MOST SIGNIFICANT DATE IS 25/4/2017 BEING THE ANNIVERSARY OF THE FOUNDING OF ------------------------------------------------------- THE PEOPLES ARMY.
OTHER IMPORTANT GEO-POLITICAL EVENTS AND DATES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
USA DEBT CEILING EXPIRED ON 15/3/2017.UNLESS EXTENDED US GOVT TO RUN OUT OF CASH THUS FACING GOVT SHUT DOWN IN A NEXT FEW MONTHS TIME.
FRENCH ELECTIONS ON 23/4/17 AND 3/5/17 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2 LEADING FAR RIGHT CANDIDATES WOWED TO WITHDRAW FROM EU AND EURO IF THEY WIN. (CAN HAPPEN AS SEEN IN THE UNLIKELY WIN BY PRESIDENT TRUMP AND THE BREXIT) A FRENCH EXIT OR FREXIT WILL BE FAR MORE DISASTROUS TO THE WORLD ECONOMY AND THE WORLD’S STOCK MARKETS Le Pen victory could be five times as dangerous as Greece's financial meltdown: UBS Sam Meredith | @smeredith19 Tuesday, 28 Mar 2017 | 9:19 AM ETCNBC.com
Sylvain Lefevre | Getty Images Europe could be on track to encounter a shock wave up to five times as turbulent as the start of the euro zone debt crisis if French presidential candidate Marine Le Pen was able to secure victory in May, according to a team of UBS analysts. Strategists at the Swiss banking giant stressed the prominence of the anti-immigration and anti-European Union National Front leader meant France's fast approaching general election would be the most serious political risk event in the region this year. France exiting the euro would be the largest sovereign default in history with serious contagion effects Daniel Lacalle, CIO of Tressis Gestion Wednesday, 22 Feb 2017 | 1:06 AM ETCNBC.com
Alain Jocard | AFP | GettyImages A few days ago, David Rachline of the far-right National Front party in France said that "the debt of France is about 2 trillion euros ($2.1 trillion), about 1.7 (trillion euros) are issued under French law, which means that it can be re-denominated."
The economic program of the National Front specifically calls for the exit of the euro and the creation of a new currency, the French franc, which would be "closely" linked to the euro while allowing the government to undertake "competitive devaluations" making the transition in an "orderly way".
There is only one problem. It does not work. There is no "orderly exit" from the euro. It is an oxymoron.
This would be the largest credit event in history and would create a massive contagion effect throughout the euro zone. The euro, obviously, would suffer from the break-up risk, so the fallacy of the "closely linked" second currency is simply a joke. Both would collapse in tandem. (NEED TO BE AWARE AND ALERT TO SUCH GEO-POLITICAL EVENTS LOOMING IN THE HORIZON ) HighlightsPerform research on stocks before trading. Check out the Price Target page. 0
UPDATES (INDICATIONS ARE GROWING THAT THE GEO-POLITICAL TENSIONS ARE RECEDING WHILE THE ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS ARE IMPROVING)
White House: Trump won't draw 'red lines' for North Korea As Trump warned North Korea, his 'armada' was headed toward Australia (no real intention for any confrontation)
Pence says US will work with Japan, allies to find peaceful North Korea solution(WILL SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE WAR RISKS ) FRENCH ELECTION. FREXIT ? : UNLIKELY CENTRIST & PRO-EU CANDIDATE MACRON IS STILL LEADING IN SURVEY POLLS BY 63% SPEAKER AT RECENT KENANGA INVESTMENT SEMINAR OPINIONED THAT UNLIKE UK WHICH IS NOT BENEFITING MUCH ECONOMICALLY FROM EU, THE FRENCH IS DOING HUGE TRADES WITH ITS EU PARTNERS AND THE FRENCH VOTERS WISH TO RETAIN ITS HUGE ECONOMIC ADVANTAGES BY REMAINING A EU MEMBER. THE FRENCH ONLY AGAINST THE TOO LIBERAL IMMIGRATION POLICIES.
A CONTARIAN STRATEGY TO PROFIT FROM STOCK INVESTMENTS -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mark Mobius: Here’s what investors need to ‘see through’ if they want to make money
Mark Mobius on global investment risks Tuesday, 18 Apr 2017 | 4:49 PM ET | 01:55
Investors who run the other way when they hear negative headlines are making a big mistake, according to Mark Mobius of Franklin Templeton. "Situations like we see in North Korea, what we're seeing in the Middle East will be with us for quite some time. But that doesn't mean countries don't continue to grow," he said in a Tuesday interview on CNBC's "Trading Nation." "We're going to see continued growth," and investors should "see through" negative headlines to the underlying fundamentals, said Mobius, executive chairman of Templeton emerging markets group. "If you look at the price charts, in dollar terms, for a place like Brazil or India [that] from one time to another has bad headlines, the reality is that stock prices continue to go up in dollar terms, so we've got to keep an eye on those prices," he added. His remarks come as Bank of America Merrill Lynch's fund manager survey showed that investors are becoming more optimistic about the emerging markets, which include China, India, Brazil and Mexico. Investors "aggressively" bought emerging market stocks in April, propelling allocations to five-year highs, according to the report. Looking forward, investors ought not to be deterred by a rising interest rate environment in the U.S., according to Mobius. When considering investing in emerging markets, people have been "so afraid of higher interest rates, not realizing that higher interest rates in the U.S. don't necessarily mean a down market; sometimes interest rates go up and the markets go up. And this has been happening with emerging markets; emerging markets are going gangbusters," Mobius commented Tuesday.
Trading buy call 3.80. Most undervalued bank stock in the sector. Foreign fund is flowing in to buy this share. Affin is a possible target to merge with other big bank as the share value Is pretty low now.
Guys, book value goes hand in hand with ROE. Affin's ROE nothing great. You can call this stock as having an "undemanding valuation" but it isn't exactly undervalued. RHB also looks attractive. Both have undemanding valuations.
TRYING LOOK KFOR SOME GOOD RESEARCH ON AFFIN THERE WAS ONE WHICH GAVE ITS FAIR VALUE PRICE AT RM3.75. WELL ITS PRICE WAS AT RM4.18 ABT 2 1/2 YEARS AGO. ALSO IT IS STILL THE CHEAPEST BANK STOCK LISTED IN BURSA BASED ON ITS LOW PRICE TO BOOK RATIO COMPARED TO ITS PEERS LIKE CIMB AMBANK RHB AFFINS PROFIT RECOVERY FIRMLY IN PLACE N ITS SHARE PRICE SHOULD ALSO RECOVER
OBSERVED ITS PRICE ACTION LAST 2 WEEKS WERE DECIDELY MORE BULLISH N TRYING TO BREAK OUT ABOVE RM3.OO WILL UPDATE N SHARE ONCE I HAD RETRIEVED THE RESEARCH PAPER
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
darrenliew
1,032 posts
Posted by darrenliew > 2017-03-31 14:13 | Report Abuse
ONE OF THE MOST UNIVERSALLY ACCEPTED PRINCIPLE AND FINANCIAL YARDSTICK ADOPTED TO EVALUATE THE FUNDAMENTAL VALUATION OF COMMERCIAL BANK SHARES IS THEIR PRICE TO BOOK (P/B) RATIO.
AFFIN'S SHARE PRICE IS : 2.86
AFFIN'S BOOK VALUE OR NTA 4.47
(AUDITED NET TANGIBLE ASSET)
AFFIN'S P/B IS THEREFORE(2.86/4/47) 0.639x (much lower than the Banking Sector's 1.17x)
(AND IS HENCE DEEPLY UNDERVALUED AND UNDERPRICED)
CATALYSTS TO UNLOCK ITS UNDERVALUED ASSETS AND POTENTIAL INCLUDE :-
==================================================================
1) ACCELERATING AND STRONGER EARNINGS RECOVERIES.
ITS YEAR ON YEAR INCREASE IN PROFITS BY RM198M OR UP 52% IS COMMENDABLE..
WE ARE LOOKING TO CONTINUING BETTER PROFITS IN THE COMING QUARTERS.
2) INSTITUTIONAL FUNDS (INCLUDING FOREIGN FUNDS AND LOCAL FUNDS LIKE KWAP AND BANKS' UNIT TRUSTS/WEALTH MANAGEMENTS FUNDS) INCREASING THEIR INVESTMENTS OF AFFIN SHARES..
IT IS NOTE WORTHY THAT FUND MANAGERS ARE NOW CALLING FOR MORE EXPOSURES TO BUILD UP THEIR STOCK PORTFOLIOS IN BURSA EQUITIES.
THERE ARE NOW CALLS TO OVERWEIGHT MALAYSIAN BANKING SHARES