AFFIN BANK: The 8th largest bank in Malaysia by market capitalization, is it worth investing in? AFFIN BANK BERHAD 2021 Annual Financial Report Analysis https://youtu.be/gaymhmizz6c
I think it is possible. Looking at their presentation to analysts on the sale of the asset management business (see affin.listedcompany.com/misc/investor_presentation/Briefing_28_Jan_2022.pdf), it appears that 1. The asset management business gives them a profit of about RM72m per year 2. The sale proceeds they are getting from the sale is about RM1.4b 3. It appears they are going to reinvest RM1b, hence my guess is that they are going to pay special dividend of RM400m.
Assuming they are going to pay the RM400m special dividend, that translates to about 18sen per share.
On top of that, they claim that the remaining RM1b reinvested in the banking business will yield RM152m income after tax. So the extra earnings (after tax) is about RM80 million per year. Based on PE ratio of say 8, that would give additional EPS of 30sen.
So based on the above, my guess is there is 18sen + 30en = RM48sen upside. That is on top of the 12sen dividend. So yes, I think RM2.50 is possible.
Yes, LTAT badly needs dividend, Boustead also badly needs dividend. Affin is a banking group that is currently traded at half its net assets value per share. Currently EPF is selling down because they needed cash badly for the RM10k withdrawals.
It's nice to see the largest stakeholder (LTAT) advocating hard for the interest of all shareholders, including us. I personally am not looking to receive cash, but to reinvest. Can anyone guess the price of the share reinvestment from div proceeds?
In the past, the dividend reinvestment (i.e. dividend is paid via issuance of new shares instead of cash) has always be at about 10% discount on the average closing price.
So let's say you are entitled to dividend of RM100. So if you opt for cash dividend, you get RM100 cash.
Let's assume the average closing price of the shares for the past 5 trading days is RM2, then apply 10% discount. That gives you a share price of RM1.80 per share. So if you go for the dividend reinvestment, you will get RM100/RM1.80 in shares, i.e. approx 55 shares. So if the share price remains at RM2, then you can sell the 55 shares for RM110!
Why do banks (e.g. Maybank etc) do this? Simple reason... they need capital for their lending business. So if they pay out cash, there is less capital for them to lend.
If Affin can maintain 2021 PBT of about RM700 mil going forward, and assuming P/E ratio of 10 (most other banks about this size has PE ratio of about 10-14), that would give a rough valuation of RM7b. So price per share should be around RM3.29
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
kevinobc
1,090 posts
Posted by kevinobc > 2022-04-18 08:29 | Report Abuse
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2022/04/18/rhb-opr-likely-to-go-up-by-25-bps-in-2h