Steel Tariff Exemptions Expand The 25% steel and 10% aluminum tariffs were set to take effect on Friday, but the Trump administration clarified late Thursday that countries representing more than half of U.S. steel imports would receive exemptions through May 1. Exempted countries include European Union members, Canada, Mexico, South Korea, Brazil, Australia and Argentina. After May 1, Trump could decide to permanently exempt those nations based on the status of talks.
Steel stocks fell hard on Thursday after U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer telegraphed the change in policy. On Thursday, shares of U.S. Steel (X) sank 11% to levels last seen before Trump ramped up his steel tariff talk in mid-February. Steel Dynamics (STLD) fell 7.5%, Nucor (NUE) 6.5% and AK Steel (AKS) 8.7%. Steel stocks extended losses Friday.
Wow ! I dont find any collaboration from your above development... Malaysia steel export to Us very less or insignificant , Bug gun pull out their gun because the market sentiment they foresee it to be in bad shape.
Technically 1.75 must be able to withstand , else laosai again.
Warn3r hentara, are you their financial consultant? How would you know that they’ve got out of steel? If their absence here means they’re out. Do you see Quek/Kwek family members here? 07/02/2018 09:21
Yes. Because he is very happy now. Are you happy now?
Don’t see what you’re trying to say here. I was merely pointing out that you wouldn’t know whether they’re still holding the shares here by observing whether they post on this forum.
Edward bro and Leoting Bro, since both of you are involved in the steel industries, do you mind to share with us the current Malaysia steel market status:-
1) Are the demands still strong? Previously the demand is very strong, many Steel Factory operate 24hour shift to meets the order, and some factory like SSTEEL even stop produce certain model, only focus on the popular model. How about now? From what I observe, property development has drop a lot, but infrastructure project are very hot. But I'm not sure which one comsume higher steel.
2) Last year, after Malaysia Government impose the tariff, many steel importer has reduce their order to import from China, the switch and buy directly from local producer. Subsequently, when China steel price rise above RMB4000, almost all import have been stop, because the China steel price is too high, totally cannot compare with local produce steel price. But recently, China steel price has drop from RMB4600 to RMB3500, and it seem like the price is competitive against local steel price, so has these steel importer start to order from China again?
3) Anyone know the latest status of Alliance Steel, has they start production? Also, has Lionind resume its Johor plant?
That is the time start to collect all cheap steel counter, all malaysia steel still have good prospect and able to earn good profit, the current price does not reflect the true value of company, grad the opportunity and buy for mid term.
Steel theme play will come back within 6 months especially end of May 2018 their announcement of quarter results.
My first choice has changed to Annjoo, second to Ssteel.
Go to check Annjoo the dividend yield is very attractive, i believe it can sustain till year 2020.
As long as China continue to cut capacity, the steel price will sustain......
China's blast furnace steelmakers and mini mills continued to enjoy robust profits over the first two months of this year, with their combined margins skyrocketing 97.7% year on year to Yuan 52.7 billion ($8.4 billion). China’s blast furnace steelmakers and mini mills continued to enjoy robust profits over the first two months of this year, with their combined margins skyrocketing 97.7% year on year to Yuan 52.7 billion ($8.4 billion), according to new National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data tabled on March 27. “The mills’ profits
After several articles, I found this most informative. It explains the drop in spot and future steel prices. What it did not explain, was exactly why the inventory built up higher than usual. Which I think might be linked to the tariff (China is effectively a larger steel exporter to US than on what paper shows because some countries, for instance Taiwan, import steel from China, process a little further and then sell to US. And Taiwan is not getting US steel tariff exemption due to this.)
The key message in this article was that, although we’re at a high level in terms of inventory, the cycle has been established for years. Short term price may go south but soon it will stabilize and pick up again comes spring.
This is what is happening in China and not Malaysia though. Given a tariff of 13%, and further shipping, storage, handling fees if anyone’s decided to export their steel to Malaysia. That should be roughly 20% loading or could be higher (educated guess). So as long as China spot price of RMB 35xx would translate into RM 2200 (FX is 1 MYR: 1.6 RMB), with the 20% loading it’d be RM 2600+.
Macro risk, Trump is hard to predict. Most experts say a trade war is unlikely and mostly just a scare tactic to get a more ideal trade arrangement. Well, he did put in place the steel tariff but most allies countries are exempted. Looking at his track record, he always start something big and loud and then it usually ends underwhelmingly. So I hope the threat of trade war will just dwindle down gradually.
Come April, China will be active again and the steel price will recover. Then lastest by end of May, it should be clear that there wasn’t much impact on the local steel industry.
I hope we can have someone in the industry here to update the steel price every once a while. Nothing beats that.
Dear hentara, MrPauper has not disappeared but is waiting for the release of the just concluded quarter's result expected to be released somewhere end of april.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
tecpower
3,536 posts
Posted by tecpower > 2018-03-24 13:33 | Report Abuse
Gap up on Monday
Steel Tariff Exemptions Expand
The 25% steel and 10% aluminum tariffs were set to take effect on Friday, but the Trump administration clarified late Thursday that countries representing more than half of U.S. steel imports would receive exemptions through May 1. Exempted countries include European Union members, Canada, Mexico, South Korea, Brazil, Australia and Argentina. After May 1, Trump could decide to permanently exempt those nations based on the status of talks.
Steel stocks fell hard on Thursday after U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer telegraphed the change in policy. On Thursday, shares of U.S. Steel (X) sank 11% to levels last seen before Trump ramped up his steel tariff talk in mid-February. Steel Dynamics (STLD) fell 7.5%, Nucor (NUE) 6.5% and AK Steel (AKS) 8.7%. Steel stocks extended losses Friday.