At 99% of our full-year forecast, Thong Guan Industries' (TGI) 1H14 annualised net profit was within our expectations (consensus numbers not available). The company declared a 3 sen interim DPS, which is a positive surprise as it usually only pays a final dividend every Jul. We maintain our EPS forecasts and implied target price of RM3.95 (based on a 30% discount to its SOP valuation ex-ICULS and warrants issue), the SOP discount to reflect TGI's small market cap and tight stock liquidity. Potential catalysts for the stock include higher EBITDA margins and M&A developments.
1H15 net profit up 54.6% yoy 1H14 revenue was up 7.5% yoy while net profit growth was higher, at 54.6%. TGI declared a 3 sen interim DPS, which is a positive surprise as the company usually pays a final DPS every Jul. 1H net dividend payout ratio was 19% compared to our full-year forecast of 30%. 1H14 EBITDA margin widened by 1% pt yoy to 7.5%, mainly due to management's focus on higher value-added products since 2013.
Major capex in the pipeline TGI is considering a major capacity expansion exercise costing as much as RM100m over the next few years. 40% of the capex or RM40m would be used to add thin-stretch film lines and also nano-layers stretch film lines. We estimate that this expansion would raise the group's annual production capacity from 120,000 tonnes in 2013 to around 170,000 tonnes in 3-4 years.
Ex-date for ICULS and warrants set on 19 Sep This evening, the company also announced that the stock will go ex of its proposed ICULS with free warrants on 19 Sep and the corporate exercise will be completed by 4Q14. We recommend that investors subscribe to the proposed 1-for-2 issue of RM52.6m ICULS, which come with free warrants on a 1-for-2 ICULS basis.
The ICULS are convertible after two years on the basis of 1 ICULS to 1 share while the warrants can be converted to underlying shares anytime after listing at an exercise price of RM1.50.
Source: CIMB Daybreak - 25 August 2014, Full PDF Report
OR price + 60 cents can be quite close to the ICULS estimate. I guess it shouldn't be more than 1.80 ( please note that it's my guess only ) Best is decide how to invest after ex-right.
ICULS is a loan stock that provide 5% dividend for 5 yrs and better than FD . The ICULS are convertible after two years on the basis of 1 ICULS to 1 share while the warrants can be converted to underlying shares anytime after listing at an exercise price of RM1.50.
this is my worries as i participate on Bonia splits and guess what.. even though the TP is very high but after split, it keeps going down. will tguan have the same fate? ICULS is not guarantee the 5% dividends as it depends on the company performance and approvals... what you guys think?
but luckily to sold my majority yesterday.. let see the price up or down.... i just hope my past exp with other counter not the same on tguan.. which the chart shows good uptrend
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
i3i2i1
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Posted by i3i2i1 > 2014-08-25 22:09 | Report Abuse
Can anyone tell me about ICULS?