From this quarter onwards. it is smooth ride all the way to prosperity. Weak RM and 75% export will rain money on them. With so little gearing, high dividend payout expected in the immediate future. Ooooohhhh... I am beginning to sound like Calvintaneng on steroid. : )
Hi Icon8888, I know you because you are the CEO of Poh Huat.....The latest TGUAN results was due mainly to "lower price of raw material which translate to lower selling price" and of course the "forex loss".....It make no sense to me. I can't explain it. Can this happen to other export counter like Poh Huat ?
Then, I shall buy some shares of Thong Guan Ind Bhd. The others already inside my basket are : Malayan Banking Bhd, AMMB Holdings Bhd, Tasek Corp Bhd, Imaspro Corp Bhd, and OKA Corp Bhd.
Sometimes you need to have faith and to believe and to trust someone else. Besides, value investing is an imperfect science. Or else, mathematicians and actuaries would be the richest person in the world.
I shall treat the BOD as a cook. The worst scenario would be - he turns out to be an incompetent. I do not believe he would rear cockroaches and rats in my kitchen.
Just like between you and Tengku Faisal aka whatever name(s), without a second thought, I shall place my trust on you.
Reported by Icon8888: In the past, TGuan's net profit of RM7 mil per quarter was driven by strong Japanese demand. However, recently, the Japanese market has softened quite a bit. Also, TGuan's operation in China is facing increasing cost pressure. Against this backdrop, ability to sustain profit is an indication that their turnaround plan is working. What pleases me most is the improvement in balance sheets. The group's US Dollar loans had been reduced from RM65 mil to RM33 mil, a reduction of RM32 mil. The paring down of this particular loan is very important. Over the past two quarters, Thong Guan had been reporting dismal profit exactly because of the forex losses associated with this loan.Thong Guan incurs depreciation charges of closed to RM20 mil per annum. With net profit of let's say RM30 mil, zero capex requirement (RM100 mil has already been spent), and minimal debt servicing obligations, the group could potentially generate free cash flow of RM40 mil to RM50 mil per annum.
Theoretically, all these free cash are available for distribution to shareholders as regular dividend. Based on existing market cap of RM300 mil, can the company reward shareholders with more than 10% dividend yield ?
The potential is there. But as the saying goes, "I will believe it when I see it".
Tguan 3rd quarter result should be better than the former 2 quarters. Likely, insiders are buying bit by bit. Late few trading days have seen Tguan gaining momentum and increase in share price.
For Tan KW. Your article on TGuan entitled "Moving up the value chain- Bursa Dummy dated 22nd October, 2015 is indeed well researched, insightful and up-to-date. I like your frank, honest approach, looking into operations, performance, capital structure and into the future. Very well done. Please continue to do so on other small capital counters for our information and investing knowledge. Thank you
Yes I have forgotten also, very likely because of TanKW 's good article, TGuan share price has moved upward substantially. For those who are still holding TGuan, remember the target is RM3.30 in the near future.
Gannag im curious why LA instead of mom since its at a premium? The difference not much comparing to value in RM. If u mentioned tguan wa then it is understandable but can u enlighten me why LA?
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Posted by Icon8888 > 2015-07-26 09:59 | Report Abuse
Stock market are like that loh, some u made it, some u don't
Some move fast, some late bloomer
Overall, can make money, good enough already