Well, time to reward patient shareholders with steep discount in ICULS n warrants. Very attractive rights proposal. Hold on tight,this proposal together with expected good results announcement..I hope it will break 3.00 soon.
Thong Guan Industries Bhd is undertaking a renounceable rights issue of up to RM52.60mil and plans to issue up to 26.30 million free new warrants. It said on Thursday the rights issue would be up to 52.60mil nominal value of five-year 5% irredeemable convertible unsecured loan stock (ICULS) at 100% of its nominal value of RM1 each.
Assume you have 4 shares of TGuan, you can get 2 ICULS for $1.00 each and 1 Free warrant.
ICULS - you get 5% pa interest paid twice a year. Van only convert to mother share after 1 year on 1 : 1 basis.
Warrant - can subscribe to mother share at exercise price $1.50 per share
With such sweetener, mother share should jump! After the rights issue, may come down a bit as there will be dilution to earnings when there is conversion of ICULS or warrant. However, if earnings pick up and counter the dilution effect, share price may continue to climb. This could be the case as the money is partly used for expansion/upgrade of machinery. My 2 cents.
When the shareholder needs to come up with more money , it is not rewarding Its like a cash call or somehow the money will go to the major shareholder who dictate what to do with the money I think those who don't want to pay for it will sell and cause price drop
Though that could be one possibility but I think it is a less likely scenario. One can always sell OR later without having to sell mother if don't want to come out with money.
tonylim, my guess- company has choice to do bonus issue( even 1 for 1 bonus) to increase capital and borrow more from bank, but then borrowing cost will be high and EPS dilution is immediate
instead, they do ICULS where share capital will be increased much later and at 5% rate, it shud be much lower than bank borrowings. (note say can save abt 220k interest pa) and earnings dilution will be much later and hopefully earnings can pick up due to expansion.
From the proposed utlisation of cash raised,abt 1/3 for repaying loan, 1/3 for asset purchase. i don't see why this is a bad news, only those who do not wish to come out with money or dont think company will continue to grow will cash out now. Again, like I said earlier, one can always sell the OR later n hold mother to continue to enjoy dividend.
Multi some how wise man think alike. I meant to reply you to say mkh did a one for 10 BI. It was a damn good deal for growth stocks. Likewise mr tguan cld hv packaged it wt a small BI. 5% coupon rate good also. Good for my mama
Pradeep, like to share my limited knowledge on this scenario:-
This case is not so straight forward as ICULS not convertible immediately and there is warrant. Instead of putting an target price for ICULS & warrant, I assume all converted (ICULS & warrant) on day 1, it shud be 1.82.
Based on diluted basis on expected earning of 2013, PE will be ard 10 times. If earnings can be sustained(Q3 results), then forward PE ~8 times.
Again, its about the confidence you place with this company's mgt. My own judgement, past 10 years with dividend track record, done bonus issue before, first time doing cash call from shareholders in the last 15 years. I guess it is a quite "safe" to bet your money with them. i hope I am right cos i really bet on them..haha
Yesterday sell down was due to the fact that the liquidity of the iculs and warrant will be limited. Hence not good for the short term traders. But I agreed with Multibagger that so long TDI biz can grow further after the factory expansion, the shareholder should be benefited from long term perspective. The question here is why not right issue and why iculs.
As I have limited funds to turn around, I have decided to sell off half this stock (with good profit) to to plough into Keck Seng, now that it has rebounded strongly, expecting a bumper year end result to be announced in March 2014. The price for TGuan now is discounted and the price is likely to remain in this narrow range.
Is the ICULS that will be issued by TGuan, be able to be converted to mother share? Is it the same as Barakah LA? kindly enlighten me about ICULS, i hv no experience in it, TQ
Brendonyeap : ICULS is irredeemable meaning the company cannot redeem the loan stock. Unlike RCULS issued by Barakah, the company has the right to redeem with 20 cents. So theoretically it is safer than RCULS. Both can also convert to mother share after a certain period normally upon the anniversary date. As of now the company have not given the detail of the ICULS such as the subscription price and whether there is any exercise fee imposed.
TQ Jefftbk for ur enlightenment. If it holds true, then i do not see anhy negative impact of the implementation of ICULS by TGuan.
By the way, u meant that Barakah company has the rights to reddem with 20sen, meaning the company will buy back the Barakah LA at just 20sen while the price at market now is rm1.50++ ?That is a huge discount from current price. Do u mind to elaborate further on this? im new to ICULS/ RCULS aspect :)
Bredonyeap: It is still too early to judge whether TGUAN had made the right move by issuing ICULS. The news actually disappointed the investor as investor is expecting cash call come with bonus issue. As for the Barakah. I think you can refer the Barakah L forum. More detail is there. In summary the company has the right to redeem but according to HLIB analysts, it is unlikely since the company need cash for this operation and furthermore the directors themselves are owning the RCULS.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Goh Chu Hua
85 posts
Posted by Goh Chu Hua > 2014-01-21 10:23 | Report Abuse
stock sifu had recommended this stock
http://www.stocks-unleashed.com/