When it comes to risk, its whether it is high risk or low risk. Although there is a single customer risk, I believe the risk is relatively low. In the past, the Nike brand was hurt when their manufacturers use forced labour and child labour etc. Nike's strongest competitive advantage is thier brand and cannot afford to lose. Thats why anyone who wants to become a manufacturer for Nike first needs to go through strict production audit and checks and I believe Magni is not exempted (You can read more at here: http://help-us.nikeinc.com/app/answers/detail/a_id/20878/~/nike-supply-chain-disclosure). SIG have been with Nike for more than 10 years already. Logically, as a business owner, if you work with a partner who knows exactly what you want and how to deliver it for more than 10 years, will you just cut them off? Especially when Nike have to focus more on selling more instead of keep on changing manufacturers. During the AGM, the management shared that they did diversify but Nike ordered so much that they become the largest customer again. You can also see this in their financial statements. In the 2016 annual report, they bought a very large amount of inventories (Based on cash flow statement) and in the last 2 quarters, with the forex maintained at about 4.40 - 4.50, revenue grew by 30-40% in each quarter. To me, this is evidence of massive sales. Don't get me wrong, it is still a risk, but consider whether the risk is low or high. Also, just to share, in the contract manufacturing industry, it normally runs on contracts for about 5 years each. The biggest risk for Magni I feel is whether they can keep up with Nike's demand so need to pay attention to their manpower management (which explains why they are collaborated with a Vietnamese partner to manufacture: http://www.magni-tech.com.my/?mod=pages&function=show_page&page_id=67). If they cannot meet the demands as per contract, they have to actually compensate the contracting company. Hope this helps
I started buying some export-oriented stocks to prepare for a rate hike in the US. Export-oriented stocks are expected to perform well under further depreciation of ringgit due to a rake hike in the US this month.
Top 10 Stock Picks for 2017 TheEdgeMon, Jan 09, 2017
Magni-Tech Industries Bhd
Magni-Tech Industries Bhd, the largest original equipment manufacturer for Nike in Malaysia for apparel products, could ride on the sportswear giant’s impressive growth story as Nike’s latest second quarter for fiscal year 2017 beat estimates on both sales and earnings per share.
Last year, Magni-Tech’s share price performance was disappointing as it fell by 6.47% to close at RM4.19 on the last day of 2016 despite an increase of 31.9% in its net profit for the second financial quarter ended Oct 31, 2016 to RM28.5 million.
Inter-Pacific Research Sdn Bhd has maintained its “buy” call on the apparel manufacturer with a target price of RM5.72, indicating a 36.5% upside from its last closing price on Dec 30, 2016.
With a price-earnings ratio of about 8.5 times (below the industry’s average of 9.3 times) and a strong balance sheet, the year ahead looks bright for Magni-Tech although Inter-Pacific Research cautioned that upside might take some time to materialise. It has zero debt with a total cash holding of RM62.6 million and RM74.1 million invested in investment securities.
With its dividend yield of about 3% expected to continue, its proven track record in the industry, excellent balance sheet, a stronger US dollar and an expected earnings growth riding on Nike, Magni-Tech could just entice investors to give it a second thought for 2017 after being overlooked for most of 2016. — By Billy Toh http://www.klsescreener.com/v2/news/view/177061
During the tabling of Budget 2017, Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Abdul Razak announced the setting up of a special fund of up to RM3 billion to invest in potential small and medium-cap companies, besides conducting research on 300 companies. http://m.thesundaily.my/node/432428
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
optimus9199
2,794 posts
Posted by optimus9199 > 2017-03-02 23:02 | Report Abuse
Bonus issue in the making.