coolio, your comment "fair Value is RM5.79, potential gain of 64% from current price". Is KC also agreed with what your study above? If he agreed, I will sure to jump in and buy more Magni share. I know KC is very but I don't have time now. I am working long hours daily. I am going to retire, I will join his study team then.
m00077, KC have said many times in his article, DCFA assumption is very subjective. The assumption that i used for Magni analysis is very conservative estimate as what probability said. I believe investing in this kind of stock is very safe, downside is low.
This company should start make use of the 120 mil+ cash that it has generated all this while. The director has been saying to expand the business since last year September but until now no movement at all! A low profit margin business which could be one of the reason why it is selling at such a low PE ratio.
Noted your comment coolio. I will keep the Magni shares that I have in hand now instead of selling and at the same time waiting for the opportunity to accumulate more as Magni has very health and strong balance sheet.
This stock volume so low, doubt KYY will be interested hahaha, nevertheless good result posted (y), if they can maintain the same profit margin and growth, the share is expected to see similar growth in the next few quarters as well. It appears Magni spent another 20 mil in unit trust (other investment)?
Table 1.1: Current stock price $3.52 Share outstanding (Mil) 108488 This year FCF (3 years Avg) $31,199 Next year's FCF (mil) $32,759 Growth for the next 5 and 10 years 5.0% Teminal growth rate, g 3.00% Discount rate, R 10.0%
Table 1.2: DCFA PV of FCFF of core operations $532,000 Non-operating cash $71,268 Investment in Properties $0 Investment Securities $24,464 Debts $0 PV of FCFE $627,732 Less minority interest ($35) 0.01% FCFE $627,697 Number of shares 108488 FCF per share $5.79 64% MOS 39%
Fair Value is RM5.79, potential gain of 64% from current price
Based on current price RM3.9x and its IV RM5.79, Magni still have a lot of upside potential to invest, invest a right company is definitely important. If you want excitement, please take RM50k and go Genting, here is not the right place to invest, we are investing, not gambling. Now is Magni, hopefully Scientex is next. Thank you. Regards, Chua
Chua..coolio...Hope to know more about you guys...perhaps we can start to work as a group in identifying great stocks...and share our 'counter' opinions frankly.
If you dont mind - please send a test mail to nathanarjunan@gmail.com
Hope to establish some good stock analyzing friends. My FB is with the same name. Thanks
At current price 3.87, compare to other export orientated companies, which their share price already shot up…magni got more upside potential. With strong fundamental+many years of stable earning,the risk of magni is much lower than above-mentioned companies. If compare to some of the popular furniture companies , now their PE almost at the same level as magni. But in the past few years, which furniture companies were given lower PE, now their PE already gone up to between 8-14 times, and their share price outdistance magni. So, isn’t it more worth to invest in magni? • Rev increase continuosly for 5 years, 2015 +10% • Net profit increase continuosly for 8 years, 2015 +24% • Profit margin increase continuosly for 4 years, 2015 +7% • ROE many years maintained between 17-19. • Currently PE=8.1, DY=3.88%.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
m00077
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Posted by m00077 > 2015-06-11 13:17 | Report Abuse
coolio, what is DCFA, FCFF, FCFE?