Posted by kbtsyl68 > Dec 11, 2021 10:05 AM | Report Abuse
For the quarter ended November,the utilisation rate is 55%.Despite the low utilisation rate,the TG still managed to book EPS of 2 cents. All overstock carry forward from 2020 order has fully cleared at end of 2021. TG should report increase profit in the coming quarter. If my prediction is true,then there will be SBB beginning of January 2022.
Is yr prediction on Glove accurate so far in 2021??
If not what makes u to think yr prediction will be chun in 2022 leh???
Remember guys, all this while the price hiking in this glove mania is without Stanley Thai o! Once Stanley back as CEO, all back to normal dump price!!!
@Charles T No one can predict the lock down and the ban by us . Even the management with many years of experience in glove manufacturing unable to predict there will be a u turn by our government to imposed lock down. Likewise for the dropped in sales due to us ban and the severe consequences. Now all these unfavourable conditions are no longer apply and based on current circumstances, I will predict TG worse is over and profitability will be on the uptrend. TG has a policy to distribute 50% of their profit to shareholders and anyone buying now will start to enjoy the good dividend every QTR. The number of shares short also reduced to half from 4 million to 2 million yesterday. If the future for TG is bleak, there is no reason the fund reduce the no of shares short. In additions they are planning to be listed in HK too. If the results are getting worse from this QTR,do you think the TG management will go ahead with the listing in HK . I am optimistic on the glove industry because of the business and the management. To me buying in glove industry just like buying a piece of land. Every dollar increase will have a great impact on the profitability of the company as this is the volume business and need a good management and economic of scale to be profitable and sustain the business. To me this is good time to accumulate. No one will know when is the lowest. As long as the investor think is value for money,then is worth to buy. In share investing,you are lucky if you can sell at the highest and buy at the lowest. For me I don't have this luck. I don't buy at the lowest,but eventually I will able to sell with good profit. I didn't buy dnex at 22 cents. I bought at 66 cents to 72 cents. But I already manage to cash out at 80 cents to 88 cents. I don't trade in shares daily. I buy shares for medium to long term. With the current share price,there is high probability the management will do GO If we do not average down,then if the GO really take place at RM 2.50, then those purchase above RM 2.50 will lost in their investment.
Aiyo..... No wonder so many lose big time here. Kindergarten math failed. Boost sale by 10% is additional 158m lo... 8% profit margin is additional 12.6m profit before tax. After cukai makmur how much left? Still below prepandemic eps as a result of 2to1 bonus. Conclusion is TG below prepandemic price. I m pondering. U can't figure it out with all given facts or u refuse to accept the outcomes?
Many couldnt see this co relation btw ASP n profit
Why profit of most glove co jumped by so much, more than 10 times,some even 20 to 30 times last year even their sales quantity of glove doesnt go up that much...
@Charles T. Knowing the fact that TG goods are banned by US until end of sep. The factory produce the gloves in billions every month. Therefore TG has no choice and need to sell at lower ASP to clear the goods produced. The coming QTR will reflect the actual operating environment. The banned is also a blessing for TG as they have found a new market in Africa countries as evidenced by the 47% in sales to the African continent.
SINGAPORE: Another airport frontline worker was among three new COVID-19 cases that have tested preliminarily positive for the Omicron variant, said the Ministry of Health (MOH) on Friday (Dec 10).
@Monetary. Maybe you have miss out the utilisation rate of only 55% in the QTR just announced. Cost of production will be much higher due to low utilisation rate. Currently they are operating at 80% capacity. I am not good at maths. Maybe you need to calculate again the profit based on 80% utilisation rate . Your calculation is based on utilisation rate and may not be correct and distorted. Correct me if I am wrong.
TG poor sales bc of poor marketing of gloves. They didn't not promote sales of gloves in international exhibition after the CBP banned lifted. TG just waited for international customers to order. While SPMX had promoted heavily on international exhibition A+A 2021, Medica 2021 etc in Europe and US. That's difference between OBM business and OEM business.
Another information I would like to share here is currently the cases in China are rising and most province is require to do mass testing . China current policy is zero COVID policy and although each province has cases of less than 100,however all the population are require to go for testing . Assess yourself whether this info is useful to arrive in your decision to invest in glove industry.
Mass testing & Vaccination not necessary to wear Gloves mah!
Lu tau boh ?
Posted by kbtsyl68 > Dec 11, 2021 12:32 PM | Report Abuse
Another information I would like to share here is currently the cases in China are rising and most province is require to do mass testing . China current policy is zero COVID policy and although each province has cases of less than 100,however all the population are require to go for testing . Assess yourself whether this info is useful to arrive in your decision to invest in glove industry.
Many things still unknown about this new variant omicron. It may look mild n not severce but highly transmissible, still scientists are still doing studies on it. Still in early days, more will be known about this variant in coming days.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
myinvestor
1,219 posts
Posted by myinvestor > 2021-12-11 10:35 | Report Abuse
Bursa will hit by high stamp duty in Jan 1, 2022. This will increase cost of trading especially for those short high trading investors.
https://themalaysianreserve.com/2021/12/10/bursa-malaysia-to-be-negatively-impacted-by-stamp-duty-hike/