In this quarter, the Supermax Group suffered losses before and after tax mainly due to several one-off charges as follows: • Impairment of plant and machinery, factory equipment, mould & tools at an old plant, which has stopped production during the quarter amounting to RM27.1 million; • provision for old and obsolete stock of packaging materials and certain down-graded glove inventory at the old plants amounting to RM3.3 million; • write-down of high price inventory at an overseas subsidiary amounting to RM72.85 million; • pre-operating expenses of the new US plant amounting to RM421,223 (RM880,745 for FYE 30.6.2024); • additional tax charged at certain manufacturing units for prior years charges amounting to RM30.8 million; and • Unrealised foreign exchange losses for the quarter amounting to RM9.9 million (RM27.9 million for FYE 30.6.2024)
With the impending tariff hike by the US government on imports, and the government’s policies to catalyse more domestic manufacturing, the development of Supermax’s first overseas manufacturing operations in the USA is poised to benefit from these such policies. The Supermax Group anticipates that market prices for personal protective equipment (“PPE”) including gloves and face-masks in North America would stabilise and rebound starting from the first quarter of CY2025. The US government’s policies to boost domestic manufacturing are designed to accelerate the buildout of domestic infrastructure and manufacturing capabilities in key industries and incentivise more investment from the private sector. The USA venture provides a domestic production and supply capability to serve primarily the US domestic demand for gloves.
I think Super US plant will suffer continue losses for atleast 3 years.......This what I heard from Chinese Manufacturer from China. You have to train very expensive Labours and they are All bound by Labor Union standard ( Malaysia Bangla where got working Standard ). In China Management works 16hours a Day---USA they leave at 5PM sharp
Supermax threw in the kitchen sink to get a completely clean start in the next financial year? Management’s decision to continue share buy back to capitalize on what’s to come when results starts to turn really rosy in the new year is comforting.
--------- quote ------------ Stock: [SUPERMX]: SUPERMAX CORPORATION BHD
2024-05-25 10:31 | Report Abuse
Back to basic, this coming QR will still losing money, if based on forward eps 4x18, the fair value only 0.72, today closing 0.94, think about that.......... --------- unquote -------- Today closing 0.785 !!!
Supermax will most likely record profits in the next quarter. They’re in the 2nd month of the quarter when management did their share buy back. If it’s going to lose more money, they might as well wait. Doubt this buy back is only to frighten or punish short sellers.
Keep BUY, higher MYR1.04 TP (DCF) from MYR1.01, 27% upside. 4QFY24 (Jun) core profit swing back to the black (MYR6.4m), bringing Supermax Corp’s FY24 core losses to MYR36m. Results were lower-than-expected, as SUCB has continued to execute low-price contracts for two years at certain distribution and manufacturing plants since 1QFY23. Nonetheless, we see the light at the end of the tunnel, premised on its recovery in profitability, given that global demand for gloves are gradually picking up.
Results overview. SUCB reported a core profit of MYR6.4m in 4QFY24 (3QFY24: -MYR15m). Core profit was primarily adjusted for MYR27m (impairment of PPE), MYR72.9m (write-down of high price inventory), and additional tax charged at certain manufacturing units for prior years (amounting to MYR30.8m). On a sequential basis, the group saw higher sales (+25.6% QoQ), attributed to the increase in sales orders as customers ramp- up their stock replenishments. Assuming a blended ASP of USD20.50/1,000 pieces, this should work out to an estimated volume sold of 1.85bn pieces during this quarter (implying a 22% QoQ growth).
Cost outlook. We expect key raw material costs to normalise in the coming quarters on the back of lower nitrile prices (4% lower in 3Q24 as at August). Meanwhile, natural gas prices are set to be lower QoQ in 3Q24 (-8% QoQ as at August) on the back of a lingering global demand outlook.
Operating landscape turns favourable. Industry demand-supply dynamics continue to show signs of recovery on: i) The inventory destocking cycle coming to an end, ii) improving order visibility (with recent July exports showing signs of improvement; +11.8% MoM), and iii) customers being more receptive of price hikes. With the industry excess capacity gradually phasing out, we expect the gloves industry to achieve demand-supply equilibrium by 2H24. All in, we retain our view that gloves demand will continue picking up in the coming quarters, as client inventory levels continue to deplete – this is on top of gloves inventory levels (stockpiled since 2020) approaching their expiry dates (typical shelf life for gloves: 3-5 years).
Earnings adjustments. Post results, we raise our FY25F earnings (FY26 unchanged) by 5%, taking into account of a favourable cost outlook that should be able to offset against the weakening USD/MYR exchange rate. Our TP is incorporated with a 14% ESG discount, as SUCB’s 2.3 ESG score is below our 3.0 country median. Post our earnings adjustment, our DCF-derived TP is now raised to MYR1.04. Our TP implies 0.9x FY25F P/BV against its pre- COVID-19 historical mean of 1.3x.
Key risks: Higher-than-expected sales volumes, weaker-than-expected USD against the MYR, and lower-than-expected raw material prices.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
EngineeringProfit
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Posted by EngineeringProfit > 2024-08-20 12:34 | Report Abuse
Right timing kah?