Being local, tekseng has good chance of getting a slice of the 2 billon solar energy cake early next year. Solar cell is one of their core businesses. Not surprising that the share has been going up lately
Initially, I was hoping that the temporary closure of the solar panel business would help reduce the losses and potentially return back the company’s bottom line to profit. This is because the PVC division has always been able to deliver a profit to the group of more than RM10mil. So, if the losses of the solar business decrease substantially, investors can actually buy into Tek Seng at a potential PE of only around 8.5x (current market cap of RM85mil/ PVC pat of RM10mil = 8.5x PE). But looking at the 4Q18 result, it does not seem to be the case. Even after excluding the impairments and provisions on inventories, the solar division still recorded a core net loss of RM5mil. Given that the PVC sheet business can only deliver RM1-3mil profit per quarter, the future quarter results for Tek Seng would most probably still be negative.
Even if there is a trade deal agreement between US and China, Tek Seng sales to Taiwan Solartech Energy would still be affected as the tariff on solar panel import into the US is a blanket tariff to all solar panel manufacturers outside of US.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.5x PE based on FY18 profit of RM166mil. PB is low at only 0.7x BV.
FY19 should deliver another profit growth year to the company. Profit growth will again be driven by the performance of Perodua (via MBMR 22.6% holdings in Perodua) from the still strong sales of new Myvi, sales of SUV Aruz and the introduction of the newly revamp Alza sometime in the 2H19. Aruz which commands a higher margin compared to other models, will help improve the total profit margin of Perodua (which will flow to MBMR’s bottom line as well).
MBMR is expected to achieve a profit of RM200mil in 2019. At the current share price, the company is being valued at only 5.4x which is a lot lower than the industry average of 15x PE. As an example, UMW (another company with exposure to Perodua) is currently trading at a PE multiple of almost 20x.
BUKIT MINYAK: Tek Seng Holdings Bhd expects to return to the black in the 2019 financial year ending Dec 31.
Group managing director Loh Kok Beng told StarBiz that the group’s first quarter results had already shown improvement over the previous year’s corresponding period.
“The improved sales of polyvinyl-chloride (PVC) sheets to Indonesia, Africa, the Middle-East, and Italy were instrumental in helping the group to remain profitable,” he said.
For the first quarter ended March 31, the group posted RM476,000 in net profit on the back of a RM44mil revenue, compared to a loss of RM2.1mil and RM50mil achieved in the previous year same period.
“This year we will ramp up our exports to Africa, the Middle-East, and Italy.
“Our PVC flooring sheets are exported to 38 countries worldwide.
“We expect the contribution from Indonesia to increase to about 50% this year.
“Currently, Indonesia contributes about 30% to the group’s PVC flooring product business segment,” he added.
Tek Seng will work on maintaining its competitive edge as one of the leading PVC sheet producers in Malaysia.
“We are innovating to penetrate into different segments of the vinyl flooring market.
“We are also enhancing our product offerings to further strengthen our position in Malaysia and other export markets,” he said.
Loh added that the PVC flooring sheet production capacity would be raised by about 10% this year.
“Presently, the PVC production floor is about 80% utilised,” he added.
Tek Seng will start production of polypropylene (PP) sheets in the third quarter 2019 for the stationery market in Europe.
“We have invested in four machines to produce PP sheets,” he added.
According to Loh, the group plans to introduce PVC and PP luxury vinyl tiles (LVT) for the renovation industry in the third quarter.
“We plan to sell the LVT products in Malaysia and Europe.”
“We should see the new products contributing to the revenue in 2020,” he added.
On the solar business, Loh said the group had decided to temporarily cease the operation of the photovoltaic solar business mainly due to unforeseen market uncertainties as well as the demand.
“The photovoltaic solar industry has been facing challenges from price pressure, government unfavourable policies, as well as the implementation of anti-dumping taxes,” he said.
On the group’s trade receivables, Loh said the trade and other receivables as at end of the fiscal year (FY) 2018 decreased by RM7.62 mil or 22.75% to RM25.88mil from RM33.50mil in FY 2017.
“This is mainly due to the settlement of receivables and impairment losses of RM1.32 million,” he added.
The group’s inventories stood at RM40.10mil at the end of FY 2018 from RM55.61mil at the end of FY 2017.
---------------------------- Posted by skyrider > Feb 9, 2019 10:10 PM | Report Abuse
Solar production already stopped since 17 sept 2018, so no more bleeding. ---- Posted by skyrider > Feb 9, 2019 10:25 PM | Report Abuse X
Director Loh kept buying company shares from open market since 28 Aug 2018. Time to relook at ah seng, especially since it is now at/near bottom. ---- Posted by skyrider > Feb 9, 2019 10:35 PM | Report Abuse X
Furthermorr at price 24.5 sen and dividend 1 sen, dividend yield is 4.08%, better than fd. ---- Posted by skyrider > Feb 9, 2019 10:49 PM | Report Abuse X
With the profitable pvc sector and selling of solar power, ah seng is worth at least 30 sen, now price is cheap.
when all the extra contribution is recognised in the QR in 2020, by then ah seng will be at least 40 sen. Those who buy now/recently will be the early birds to reap good profit !!
As I said earlier "With the profitable pvc sector and selling of solar power, ah seng is worth at least 30 sen", let us see how soon will ah seng reach there! .... and where are you wahahaha ???
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Eric Fong
1,196 posts
Posted by Eric Fong > 2018-11-16 00:21 | Report Abuse
Might take advantage in future solar plan by government