if using previous PE of 6, the fair price should be RM0.879 only, with latest EPS 14.65, if anyone can accept PE of 10, this counter still worth RM1.465 geh...
what i can say is , treat this as a good chance to collect low ?? U know lah , our country , very hardworking to import bangla one mah.... 1.5million bangla = 1.5million eggs consume everyday....
who kena trap of erkongseng? he always trap ppl by recommending ppl to chase high...never ever trust on him..he will run earlier and ignore all of you..he only keep promoting when he bought in 1 stock, but never give sell signal, and he will exit quietly
wws2020, if you read what I posted. You will understand why I sell and why I would not buy again today, tomorrow, the next few weeks or the next few months.
But in the future? Maybe. Sometimes the unexpected might happen.
Posted by wws2020 > Feb 24, 2016 07:05 AM | Report Abuse
Shinado, once sold. you know can buy more it sure will up today.
The problem with general public is that when uptrend they don't believe you and waited till it going up till the top. And they start believe and buy high and waiting to go higher. But when the results since the 3rd qtr starting showing weakness they don't believe it until now 4th qtr disastrous results clearly going downtrend they still waiting for rebound! This called the Greater Fool theory!
You don't lose in a vital consumer industry such as eggs unless its cost is very uncompetitive and therefore badly managed. I don't think this is the case with Teoseng.
Read through the annual reports, the company is doing well! Growing reasonably fast and still able to maintain high profit margin. Revenue, profit, dividend has been increasing except FY 2012 where egg prices was low.
At operational level, it relies on heavy capital investment rather than higher level of technical knowledge. (PPB is at least 15 years ahead in that sense). Keep all birds in closed house, therefore safe from diseases and keep productivity sound. Fulfilled requirements for export therefore enjoy higher selling price.
Valuation is cheap, given steady growth and high dividend yield. Should be one of the darling while MYR appreciates.
Going forward, MYR up 10% which will reduce feed prices by approximately the same amount. Expect ROE will increase gradually as need for capital expenditure tends to reduce (these closed house and conveyor belt etc generally lasts decades).
80-90% shareholding in big hands. Seems like sensitive to egg prices more than cheaper feed.
Minor complaint: The company's slogan is "hatching for future". I think they don't have a hatchery, don't know why they use that slogan, probably from old times.
Posted by supersaiyan3 > Mar 22, 2016 10:12 PM | Report Abuse
Read through the annual reports, the company is doing well! Growing reasonably fast and still able to maintain high profit margin. Revenue, profit, dividend has been increasing except FY 2012 where egg prices was low.
At operational level, it relies on heavy capital investment rather than higher level of technical knowledge. (PPB is at least 15 years ahead in that sense). Keep all birds in closed house, therefore safe from diseases and keep productivity sound. Fulfilled requirements for export therefore enjoy higher selling price.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
upsidedown119
4,326 posts
Posted by upsidedown119 > 2016-02-23 10:12 | Report Abuse
Poorer results due to lower price of eggs. But egg production increased. and trading income too.