Over the past 2 weeks, mkt operator has not attempted to bring Rubberex down lower than RM 1(a temporary bottom for now).
Mkt is very dynamic and evolving. With Fed Reserve starting to forecast 2 rate hikes in 2023, funds have started to reposition their portfolios to prepare for a rising US $ and a less dovish trading environment. With this new development, we could expect ringgit to weaken against the US $ near term and this is likely to benefit our export sector in general(which also includes the cash-rich glove sector).
A share price is usually dependent upon a number of counteracting factors at play. It is interesting to see how things work out in such a dynamic trading environment, much like how virus variants could mutate.
It is always prudent to do our own homework before investing!
If you check back my previous posting on 6 May 21, I had mentioned that Rubberex, Comfort and Careplus were like 3 musketeers, trading at about the same prices:
KUALA LUMPUR (June 21): PublicInvest Research has downgraded the rubber glove sector to "neutral" as it expects average selling prices (ASPs) for the sector to decline gradually in the second half of the year (2H21), following the improving Covid-19 situation in both the largest glove consuming markets, the US and the European Union (EU).
Its analyst Chua Siu Li in a note today cut her earnings forecasts for the sector by 10% to 35% on the back of lower ASP assumptions.
According to her, the improving Covid-19 situations in the US and EU resulted in much lesser urgency for distributors to immediately replenish inventories back to usual levels of two to three months.
“The buyers are adopting a more careful stance currently to avoid locking in purchases at high prices.
“We expect ASPs of gloves to start trending lower in the second half, supported by the improved Covid-19 situation as well as lower raw material prices as tight supply of nitrile butadiene latex continues to ease and [with a] better yield for latex concentrate after the end of the wintering season in May,” she said.
She also noted that glove makers’ commitment to stepping up on their social compliance practices will also translate into higher costs going forward, and she reckoned that it would take time for glove makers to fully pass on the cost increase to buyers, so it should result in margin compression in the near term.
Chua downgraded her rating of Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd to "neutral", with a lower target price (TP) of RM3.65.
“We cut our FY21 to FY23 earnings forecasts for Kossan by 37% to 51% to account for the expected decline in ASPs,” she said.
She also maintained her "neutral" call on Top Glove Corp Bhd but lowered her TP to RM4.40.
so. analyst is there to give opinion. previously 3 consecutive quarter gloves company has outperformed their expectation. what did they do? increase forecast, cut target price. then when met expectation after 3 times being wrong what did they do? cut target price and maintain forecast. when slightly below their expectation what did they do? cut target price and reduce their forecast. what can glove need to do to make analyst increase their target price? nothing. lol. their report is to get some insights but if you can analyse your own is better. lol.
Omg PP. Haih. These people. No dividend say keep money for expansion. Then still need raise money. This is bad. I wonder who will be the one buying the PP. If it's big fund like EPF then ok. If some individuals then this definitely bad.
Those analysts are being paid to do the analysis and analysis is always part of their games, with agenda. I was one of them previously. Take an example, how CIMB forecasted 0.005cents for AIR ASIA. I read them, but with second thoughts of analysis. Yes the ASP is going down but not like free fall price like SERBADINAMIK (huh).
They forget to read and probably not able to understand it. Nitrile glove is always there and increases unless Covid-19 is achieving zero cases.
Another thought for those "big losses cut". Don't be traders, be investors. I have done and success in these years without failed. Of course the shares up and down, nothing wrong with those prices.
rubberex like zaifru, useless,does not know how to help rakyat but banks,he never feels those have no money to pay loan,pls let the blanket moratorium run.
Ruberex cannot lah... price go up, major shareholder sell down price, earn big money but no give dividend, almost same to serbadk and jaks, keep giving a lot of sweet promise to make u put your money in their share, then keep diluting the value of share!!! Hopeless counter!!!
Rubberex directors after earn money all profit go in pockets.... and still want to ask for PP...This is a bad gloves company ....look at Harta , Kossan , Comfort Supermx.....they only shares split but seldom PP..... if want ti invest better put your money in the right person...
Making tons of money and still asking for PP ? Sound fishy..... another way of letting major shareholders' cronies to own more share of the company at the expense of minority share holders
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
marubozuu
53 posts
Posted by marubozuu > 2021-06-19 16:15 | Report Abuse
Don't buy this Rubbish stock when up a bit operator will dump and push price down, will drop below rm1, sell