Hurm. Greed is starting to fill within me. haha. I wonder if I should sell once my TP reached or I should let it sail. I guess I will follow my TP and sell. I should not be too greedy. I might be wrong but it is okay.
Why u all need this non real wealth creation item like bonus ? No bonus never mind, the main point good business prospect, increasing profit, undervalue and growth loh...!!
The Group’s revenue increased by RM7.8 million or 12%, from RM62.9 million in the preceding year’s third quarter to RM70.8 million for the current quarter ended 30 April 2016 (“3QFY2016”), mainly because of higher demand for all services.
AS USUAL A VERY NEGATIVE COMMENT BY 3i ON KESM LOH....!!
Cyclical business
PE has expanded and contracted over the years.
Revenue growth is anaemic.
PBT and EPS has grown fast recently due to margin expansions for various reasons.
Price was below RM 1 in recent years and has climbed to 6 before dropping to present levels recently.
Best time to be enthusiastic on cyclical stocks:
1. When their PE is the highest in the cycle
2. When their profit margins are the lowest in the cycle.
Company has anout 50 m debts but is net cash positive.
Large capital expenditure expended last year.
ROE is improving, was single digit and now about 12%.
Dividend is miniscule, DPO is about 15%.
RAIDER STILL SAY 3i TALKING ABOUT THE SAME RUBBISH LOH...!! HAVE U NOT LEARN, FROM YOUR BAD SELL CALL ON EFORCE WHEN IT WAS RM 0.45 ? ( REMEMBER AEONCR V EFORCE AH ?)
THE TREND IS TOWARDS TECHNOLOGY MAH....!! KESM IS IN THE FORFRONT IN THIS INTERNET OF THINGS WORLD LOH....!!
BUYING UNDERVALUE KESM, WITH NET CASH, PE ABOUT 6X....NTA EXCEED RM 6.00 AND WITH EARNINGS GROWTH...CANNOT BE WRONG LOH....!!
IT IS A STRONG BUY....!! TARGET RM 8.00.....!! NOW CHASE IS NOT TOO LATE LOH....!!
KESM is growth stock but it could be at a slower pace judging from the past records. Is there any expansion in production lines or plant in coming 12 months?
Revenue: FY 2016 - 211 million ( 9 months ) FY 2015 - 263 million ( up 3.5% ) FY 2014 - 254 million ( up 2.4% ) FY 2013 - 248 million ( up 4.6% ) FY 2012 - 237 million
Revenue: 3rd Qtr 2016 - 71 million 2nd Qtr 2016 - 70 million 1st Qtr 2016 - 70 million 4th Qtr 2015 - 69 million
PBT: 3rd Qtr 2016 - 9.2 million 2nd Qtr 2016 - 7.8 million 1st Qtr 2016 - 9.9 million 4th Qtr 2015 - 9.8 million
If KESM is able to achieve revenue more than 5% in next QR, the market may give a thumbs-up to its growth potential. At current price, KESM would be considered seriously undervalued. If KESM fails to deliver growth, the market may perceive it as value trap.
Hard to say the growth will happen by relying heavily in depreciation of RM. There is a mixture of positive and negative growth in export electronic sector. You see below:
Revenue growth Inari ( - 5% ) Gtronic ( -34% ) PIE ( slow down to + 8% ) MPI ( 0 % ) Skpres ( slow down to + 19% )
Paperplane. Don't pull my legs la. It can be up and down latter in the ranking. It is not easy to guess KESM as compare to growth companies i.e. Tguan, Bpplas, Jhm, mikcrob....
When gtronic crash i am bit wprry, even 4 not dare to buy. But seems like their biz pretty prudent with some growth even more.... So i buy more after the result. I still think it is min rm10 stock, rm16 when you see it as growth and stable after corp action. Rm16 ultimately.
Paperplane. KESM's depreciation and purchase of P & M amount RM 41 million and RM 14 million respectively. They invested in P & M RM 69 million last year. Any idea why they don't buy more P & M this year?
I am not familiar with this industry so got no idea about its P & M or equipment physical useful life. Btw, KESM has invested RM 150 million in P & M for the last 2 FY.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
JeanL
46 posts
Posted by JeanL > 2016-06-05 14:34 | Report Abuse
luckily hold tight tight, drop 10% also didnt cut loss. Now wait for the price to go up. My tp at least 6