Those seeking to invest in CAP or any stock for that matter should avoid contra trade which benefits no one except to skew market price as we have seen in the first half of this morning. It's amazing to see a stock trading several times below its expected PE for FYE 2015 / 2016. It's only toward end of first session close, did the stock exceed its opening price indicating a probable return in buying interest. It's time investors wise up to the forces at work quickly and avoid the pitfalls in trade that follows a contra purchase and strictly adhere to buying stock and other securities using surplus money in hand so as to ensure they're in a better position to reap the full value from their said investment. As far as CAP is concerned, investors should be aiming for a reasonable tp range that correspond with its expected PE for FYE 2015 / 2016.
I sold all cap liao. Profit a bit lah. I see no chance this stock will exceed 35 cents because of 300 million warrant. I will not touch this stock until warrant expiry
CAP should be trading rightly at 50 sen and above. The only reason for its recent decline was due to contra traders who were unable to stem the fall. Let's see whether sanity will return to market come next Monday and whether the stock will retest 55 sen per share last seen on 21 May 2015 before it lost momentum due to the market overreacting to 1MDB issue which in reality has zero effect on the Government's ability to repay. No matter who ascends or descends the political ladder, the Government's ability to honour its debt obligation and protect the financial market remains intact.
It's interesting to note from The Edge dd. 25 May 2015, the Australian mining company Siburan Resources Ltd (SBU) which is acquiring a 16.67% stake in China Automobile Parts Holdings Ltd (CAP) for 60 sen per share counts some prominent Malaysian corporate figures among its major shareholders e.g. Negeri Sembilan royalty Tunku NaquiyuddinTuanku Ja'afar who owns 5 million shares or a 2% stake and RH Resources Ltd an associate of Rimbunan Hijau Group which owns 10.33 million shares or a 4.18% stake.
The business alliance between SBU an upstream exploration company involved in a tungsten project in New Zealand and CAP will allow the latter to secure a new supply line of tungsten which is highly sought after and has high end applications in the automotive and mobile phone industries.
Hence, these factors explain why Credit Suisse was drawn to take a substantial 6% stake or some 39 million shares in CAP between late May and early June; they must have planned their investment ahead of news which broke out on Friday and made purchases the following week so as to avoid an impression of insider trading. Any subsequent divestment (which by the way is noticeably too small) is not unusual for a foreign investor seeking to protect its investment against a depreciating currency and has nothing to do with CAP whose fundamentals remain unchanged.
That's why the recent decline in CAP price was unwarranted. If the market understands the events better, the stock will be back trading at 50 sen and above come Monday. Any less than a fair price is a steal.
how to go back to 50 level from current? limit up 2 times? don really think it is possible with such weak market sentiment....those investor money may come easy from somewhere...manipulating the shares !!
Limit up 2 times? Now, that's quite a stretch of words there watchme.
It's a common knowledge for a penny stock the ceiling limit is 30 sen up. In other words, 66 sen per share is the maximum for today.
Of course, it's not going to shoot the ceiling unless another institutional investor were to join Credit Suisse.
What I'm saying at current prices, the stock is extremely undervalued.
If investors were wise enough, they'd not be disposing their shares for anything less than 50 sen or above should they wish for their shares to return to levels seen before the 1MDB rumours broke out last 21st May 2015.
The latter actually was a non-issue as it matters not who ascends or descends the political ladder, the Government's ability to honour its debt obligations remains intact.
Siburan is still at exploration stage in Kirwan and is not expected to bring revenue in the near term. However, the entry of an institutional player like Credit Suisse into CAP (aside from Siburan) and CAP's proposed rubber recycling JV in Xiamen, China with Sekhar Research Innovations Sdn Bhd with revenues streaming in by 2016 signals strongly that CAP's stock price is grossly undervalued (even for its existing business) and ought to be headed north.
Those wanting to sell high will not be able to do so unless those queuing to sell low were to unqueue their orders.
In simple English, if you were to buy say at 49 sen per share and if the lowest sell offer was 48.5 sen per share, Bursa will automatically register your purchase at the lower 48.5 sen per share.
The operators know this and love manipulating it to their advantage. And the rest of the market simply falls for it.
So it stands to reason, the only way to reverse the trend, is for the ordinary investor to understand this and immediately stop queuing at anything below 50 sen per share.
This will naturally push up the lowest sell offer to 50 sen and above per share. Market will have no choice but to buy whatever there's on the table.
That's the only way investors will be able to turn the tide against the bear and unlock CAP's price potential for what it's really worth.
I hope both SRI S/B 's JV and Siburan Res. investment will not be aborted and cancelled. AGM is coming, hopefully the management will release more infor on SRI and siburan.
For readers and those who're thinking about investing in CAP but are undecided due to the bad press that seem to colour discussions on Chinese stocks, here's a perspective on why fundamental investing matters http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/princeanpauperstocks/78654.jsp
the turmoils in politic and financial scandals are scaring the foreign investors, it is better to stay away from market for a while if you have note invested in the market...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Ezra
59 posts
Posted by Ezra > 2015-06-11 13:16 | Report Abuse
Those seeking to invest in CAP or any stock for that matter should avoid contra trade which benefits no one except to skew market price as we have seen in the first half of this morning. It's amazing to see a stock trading several times below its expected PE for FYE 2015 / 2016. It's only toward end of first session close, did the stock exceed its opening price indicating a probable return in buying interest. It's time investors wise up to the forces at work quickly and avoid the pitfalls in trade that follows a contra purchase and strictly adhere to buying stock and other securities using surplus money in hand so as to ensure they're in a better position to reap the full value from their said investment. As far as CAP is concerned, investors should be aiming for a reasonable tp range that correspond with its expected PE for FYE 2015 / 2016.