Based on the FFB and CPO production for the months of Oct - Dec 2021 and matching with the price of CPO for the same period...my estimated revenue and core profit compared with the previous quarter result works out to be around RM 160 million and RM 120 respectively.
Strong possibility of BPlant reversing and write back the cost impairment. Kitchen sinking exercise [ Year 2018/2019 ] CPO was trading at between $2,400 per tonne to a low of $1,800 per tonne vs 2021 Year CPO price of $3,800 to a high $5,400 per tonne. Vs year 2022 current price of $5,500 - $6,000 per tonne
BPlant write back of thier cost impairment may be the hidden ace for a uplift in the share price. the kitchen sinking exercise resulted BPlant was hit by the write off cost and incurred a loss {a red herring on the bottom line} the price drop like a log. Strictly not a buy call just my own take. Please do your own research
""" Ukraine is projected to be the world's third largest exporter of corn in the 2021/22 season and fourth largest exporter of wheat, according to International Grains Council data. Russia is the world's top wheat exporter. """ ..... Russia is a BIG Player of WHEAT and EUROPE is going to have a tough time. Ukraine .. likely to have a "civil war" thus exports will be difficult ..... As for IMPACT of CPO.... FOOD prices WILL increase over time and EUROPE is going to be in DEEP INFLATION cycle. Of course US will be HAPPY with HIGH Oil prices as they are the WORLD major supplier. CPO ... Increase will be less link to Europe compared to CHINA.
"" Johnzhang """ Sslee's Q4 estimated PBT of $140 mil is very realistic. ...... How about the SALES of the Land ? How are they going to report the Capital Gains of ~~ RM400 million ?
Overall, excellent performance! Q4 2021 PBT of about $137 mil comes in line with my estimate, However, PAT is a bit lower than my expectation due to higher tax. By comparision, PAT Q4 2021 is 3.26 times higher or 226% increase YOY. Full year PAT is 5.62 times higher or 462% increase YOY. You can't complain , can you? 4th Interim dividend of 4 sen surprised me and total dividend adds up to 8.35sen DY is 8.9% based on today's closing . Dividend payout is therefore 78%, deem very generous like before. PE is 8.7x deem very cheap in view of high DY. Should fetch PE of 15X. Net cash generated from operations during 2021 is $441 mil, $240 mil used to repay loans, balance used to pay dividend, interest and finance current assets. CPO price realised for Q4 2021 was $5,044 and FY 2021 is $4,341 which are excellent. The contribution of disposal gain and cashflow from Kulai land disposal is not in 2021 account except 43 mi deposit is taken in.
FY2022 is expected to be even much better. Cheers!
Buy Jayatiasa? Is Jayatiasa paying 8.35sen dividend for FY 2021? I am optimistic that dividend from Bplant for FY 2022 may be as high as 22 sen (12 sen from operational profits + 10 sen from asset monetisation gain). Just my opinion for sharing. Cheers!
Gemfinder and John, I have given my deferred tax knowledge whn I left my audit firm a decade ago… but for bplant, most likely the Deferred Tax charge due to difference in the carrying value of its land… coz it’s recorded way lower than market rate… if it’s being recognised at market value, it would have higher depreciation… thts causes a temporary difference there…
You guys are more optimistic than me now. Previously, my estimate was 12-16sen. 12sen from operation and another 4sen from land disposal. That time the price was 60-70sen and I was asked to manage my expectations. =D
Johnzhang Buy Jayatiasa? Is Jayatiasa paying 8.35sen dividend for FY 2021? I am optimistic that dividend from Bplant for FY 2022 may be as high as 22 sen (12 sen from operational profits + 10 sen from asset monetisation gain). Just my opinion for sharing. Cheers! 21/02/2022 7:49 PM
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
brianklc
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Posted by brianklc > 2022-02-20 15:24 | Report Abuse
SSLee, I am getting that same number too… assuming no deferred tax charge, PATMI is around 106-109m…