I am seeing a "confluence" of FACTORS that are going to PUSH .. CPO prices really high. Maybe I am dreaming but ...... a) War in Europe b) World Weather patters impacting Planting and Growth of eatable oils. c) High Crude OIL/COAL/gas prices d) Shortage of RAW materials for Fertilizers d) Countries limiting exports ( indonesia and Russia ) of eatable oils ??? e) ..... Uncertainly of EUROPE ......... ?? ..... Interesting Times ahead.
Mutts, you are NOT dreaming. The multiple threats to edible oil supply is real. There are so much challenges to produce more edible oil. wild weather itself is a big problem. Supply hiccups for fertilizers and herbicides i.e. Glyphosate which are essential for GMO crops will hamper production too. I think more soya and corn farmers may switch to planting wheat which require less fertilizers and herbicide and at the same time enjoying high returns. As such, supply of edible oil crop will further be capped.
Posted by MuttsInvestor > Feb 28, 2022 2:20 AM | Report Abuse
I am seeing a "confluence" of FACTORS that are going to PUSH .. CPO prices really high. Maybe I am dreaming but ...... a) War in Europe b) World Weather patters impacting Planting and Growth of eatable oils. c) High Crude OIL/COAL/gas prices d) Shortage of RAW materials for Fertilizers d) Countries limiting exports ( indonesia and Russia ) of eatable oils ??? e) ..... Uncertainly of EUROPE ......... ?? ..... Interesting Times ahead.
Flood won’t effect much. Palm oil mostly are in Sabah and Sarawak. Even it is flood, they can transfer to another day to harvest the fruit. Not much affected. Don’t worry
Must ..... Salute John who HELD and believe that CPO will have it days this year. Of course Calvin has be a vocal supporter too...... Congrats to ALL WHO HAVE invested and Held plantations !..Now to enjoy the benefits ....
June will be 1.70, Sept will be 1.90+ and Dec is above RM2. This shortage is here to stay and the bull will keep running like how glove did in 2020. ================================ Skylight8
Continuous dividend pay out, the management seriously want to hike up its stoke price. I don’t see any reason for ppl to short sell it. :-) it will rise over its hike. Stay tune
Bstead holdings holds app. 57% of BPlant issued shares with another 12%+ under LTAT. Other institutional & Glic funds hold another 4 or 5 %. The free float of BPlant is very small. LTAT is the ultimate controlling shareholder of Bstead Holdings. The disposal of LTAT might be done thru LTAT external fund manager { similar to KWSP} which outsourced part of their portfolio. Just my personal take
There should be some plantation stocks hitting limit up, just like some glove manufacturers at thier peaks! Lower price counter such as Bplant have better chance! Good nite and good luck to all!
FCPO Last done price on 1/3/2022 : Mar $8,170, Apr $7,435, May $6,749, Jun $6,265 The exceptionally high premium for March and Apr delivery is due to international buyers scrambling to cover their edible requirement against hiccup of sunflower oil shipments from black sea. The big beneficiaries are Malaysia based plantations who sell their production on spot or current month basis. These companies are Cepat, MHC, Bplant, Swkplant, Hsplant, SOP, Taann, KMloonhg. You may already know that these companies average realised CPO prices for last year were very close to Spot Market prices reported by MPOB which was $4,417 for FY2021. Average realized price for FY2021 for Cepat/MHC was $4,427, Bplant $4,341, Swkplant $4,389, Hsplant $4,416, SOP $4,564, Taann & KMLoong about $4,400.
Considering that Bplant's FY2021 EPS of about 11sen is achieved based on CPO realised price of $4,341, FY2022 earning will blow your mind if average realised CPO price is $6,000! Don't forget the 15sen/share capital gain realised in Jan 2022 for Kulai land sales. More asset monetisation to come this year.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
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Posted by Jonathan Keung > 2022-02-27 22:11 | Report Abuse
Floods hitting Kelantan & Terengganu. Next will be Pahang { all substantial palm oil areas }