sslee thats why I said you shud stick to what you understand. You are already sitting there and know all info. No one can cheat you. Just dump INSAS when its profitable and never look back
Sslee
Indonesian DMO 30% where exporters need to prove 30% local sell before government give export permit is impractical to implement for the simple reason exporters already signed contracts with foreign buyer hence fail to deliver is contract default
To keep local CPO price low the government can just increase the levy so that the local CPO price is theoretical international price minus levy minus export duty.
So those Malaysia plantation company in Indonesia if they want to export their oil from Indonesia plantation then they have to pay the levy and export duty.
If they sell local the local price is international price minus levy minus export duty.
So whether they export or local sell their net income is the same.
Sorry to missed out that on top of export duty, there is existing EXPORT TAX of USD200, hence the price delta of domestic vs export is USD675+200=875, which is 58% lower than domestic price
Every month Indonesia will fixed the CPO reference Price USD/MT And from this reference price indonesia government will derived varies Levy and Tax for eack type of palm and palm kernal products.
Sslee, the reference price is for levy calculation, not price capping… it’s similar to how Malaysia export tax of 8% being determined. Once it’s determined, the tax/levy will be fixed for the subsequent month…the sales price still fluctuates
Reuters corrected- Increased from USD175 to USD375. Not USD375 to USD635 as previously stated. Delta vs domestic sales is USD400 not USD500 (incl export tax). Appologies.
yeah lor. like the time she say "prices may correct to RM4,000 per tonne", price drop. Like that, how foreign investor will come and invest plantation stock. XD
Soon, all these predictions depends on which position they are in. For sellers, they will always say it will go up. For buyers, they will say it will always go down.
There will not be any significant production increase of palm oil for the next 3-5 years, hence you can expect supply to be the same but demand continues to increase.
Production of palm oil in million metric tons Indonesia 2021 46.22 2020 44.76 2019 47.12 2018 42.88 2017 34.94 2016 31.73 2015 31.07 2014 29.28 2013 27.78 2012 26.02
The production volume in 2022 was expected to remain flat, due to the extreme wet weather at the beginning of the year.
Indonesia will not approve new palm oil permits even after the lapse of a moratorium on new plantations, a senior government official said on Friday, amid concerns from green groups about a watering down in protection for forests.
The moratorium, which was introduced in 2018 to stop deforestation and improve governance in the palm oil industry, ended on Sept. 19 without any clear replacement.
Traders are in other stocks such as retail, technology and gaming. These could be the reasons plantations stocks are moving sideway this morning l guess.
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Sslee
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Posted by Sslee > 2022-03-18 13:20 | Report Abuse
If with local CPO price and still the cooking oil price is above the controlled price then government subsidy come in.