Yes chart seems good and healthy, fundamental seems in tact, now just wait for that 200-300mil profit on 30th Oct. It will definitely catch the eye of the press, funds and re-rating for sure.
The good thing about Lctitan is good corporate practice, uphold minority shareholder interest. There is no long term incentive that grant FREE share ,no cheap ESOS, nor private placement at discount etc to dilute shareholding. Management instead opt for dividend reinvestment plan to rectify public spread issue
Yes aliyusof, I think and expect the same too. This kind of healthy chart is better, once QR out, definitely a sharp jump and then will be re-rated and will be all over the news, hold on tight for another QR will see shares shoot to RM4-5
Still have some time before Q result release, significant marked up price will happen, its a matter of time as cup and handle chart already form., bullish chart already affirm
No need insider, pastic maker already said clearly that their feedstock resin in on rising...
Resin price is now about US$1,000 per tonne, compared with about US$800 per tonne three months ago.
“This increase has spurred panic buying of resin-based products. We expect the sales of our flexible packaging materials to improve by 5% to 10% this fourth quarter, compared to the second and third quarters.
“From March to July, resin prices hovered between US$680 per tonne and US$800 per tonne. Resin prices have risen because of the hurricane season in the US that has halted the production and export of oil
strong demand for resin from the automotive, footwear and household sectors that have caused the ethylene feedstock price to stay high. We expect resin prices to stay firm until December
Asia Supply was tight in Q3 due to the planned and unplanned outages in Asia. The influx of deep-sea cargoes from Europe had also dwindled due to the resurgence in demand in Europe. Disruptions in BD supply in the US due to weather-related issues further curtailed global supply. Demand in Asia exceeded supply as the downstream synthetic rubber plants in Asia increased their operating rates following the reopening of most Asian economies in Q3.
Demand strengthened as economies in Asia reopened after their lockdown measures were eased or lifted following the decline in coronavirus infections in most Asian countries. The downstream synthetic rubber plants in Asia ramped up their operating rates to meet increasing demand for end-products such replacement tyres, footwear or industrial belts. China’s automotive industry, the world’s largest car market, continued to show increased sales and production, underlining strong demand for synthetic rubber.
Europe Supply continued to be heavily cutback to offset the still very much below normal demand levels at the start of Q3. Some unexpected cracker outages also served to reduce any surpluses. Towards the end of Q3, there were signs of improved operating rates driven by improvements in spot export opportunities, particularly given the limitations ex-US due to hurricane disruption.
Demand slowly but surely started to pick up. Inventories down the chain were eventually drawn down and synthetic rubber producers were able to ramp rates up. Supply driven demand in Asia saw a pick-up in BD as well as synthetic rubber exports and sentiment in general was much more positive than in the previous five months.
US Supply was largely sufficient to meet contractual obligations as demand remained subdued because of the pandemic. Spot availability was tighter because one of the largest producers, BASF Total, had its cracker down for a large part of the quarter. This halted export activity. BD production was mixed as some crackers had outages but operational units were yielding more BD than in Q2, when significant co-cracking was taking place amid sidelined BD demand.
Demand rose as tyre producers ramped up their operating rates, following widespread closures during Q2 because of the coronavirus pandemic. Replacement-tyre demand was stronger than expected as tyre producers replenished their inventories of after-market tyres. Demand for other end-uses such as nylon and ABS lagged as automakers were slow to ramp up their operations. Demand was strong in Asia, but tighter availability due to some unexpected outages halted US exports to the region.
hng33, also to add Naphtha now still trading below $400 for the past 6 months (near historic lows) and oil price is still below $45/barrel. Continue like this High Resin, low naphtha and oil, it feels like rubber gloves at the very beginning of the curve, where ASP is getting higher and higher, while cost remains low, increasing the PROFIT MARGIN like CRAZY!
Once a vaccine for covid 19 is available, the demand for medical syringes and it's packaging would skyrocket. Lctitan produces Transparent impact resistant Polypropylene primarily used for syringes. Happy investing.
Crude oil price remain low due to most of the refine product are at low demand (jet fuel, Gasoline, diesel). Naphtha only form about 11% of crude refine product.
Petrochemical company import these naphtha from refining company to crack into resin product.
These resin product now is in elevated price and on high demand, supply to plastic maker, automotive part maker, healthcare maker (syringe, face shield, mask, swabs for nasal/mouth testing, glove maker (nitrite glove, vinyl glove)
Many healthcare related stock either in glove, chemical, plastic, mask are all in multiyear high level. But, Lctitan, a main base feedstock supplier is still at low level, lower than its IPO price significantly.
Petronas chemical IPO price at RM 5.04 vs, current market price RM 6.06
LCtitan IPO price at RM 6.50 vs, current market price RM 2.35
Lctitan still keep most of its capital raise from IPO intact, still on track to expand 2x bigger capacity in 2 year time.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Bigbull99
1,104 posts
Posted by Bigbull99 > 2020-10-14 19:19 | Report Abuse
Let's wait and see. =) first thing first, 200-300mil here we come!